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3 - Relative returns on equities in Pacific Basin countries

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 May 2010

Reuven Glick
Affiliation:
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Michael Hutchison
Affiliation:
University of California
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Summary

Capital mobility

Equity markets have grown rapidly and restrictions on investments have declined equally rapidly in Pacific Basin countries in the 1980s. The return on equities now provides a good measure of the opportunity cost of capital in the eleven countries that are the focus of this study: Australia, Canada, Chile, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, and the United States.

The purpose of equity markets is to allocate capital to its most efficient use. In the absence of uncertainty, efficient equity markets ensure that the marginal product of capital is equalized among its various uses. In the presence of uncertainty, equity markets price assets to reflect not only the expected return on the asset, but the riskiness of projects as well.

A great deal of attention has been focused in recent years on the international mobility of capital. If there are restrictions on capital flows between countries, then investors will not be able to allocate their resources toward their most desirable use. There appears to have been a global trend toward liberalization of capital markets and toward allowing foreigners access to local markets. However, there is no consensus as to whether these moves have achieved true integration of international capital markets.

Feldstein and Horioka (1980) questioned the degree of integration of international capital markets. They argued that if capital could flow freely between countries, savers would have no bias toward channeling their funds toward domestic projects.

Type
Chapter
Information
Exchange Rate Policy and Interdependence
Perspectives from the Pacific Basin
, pp. 48 - 67
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1994

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