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4 - Artificial Intelligence and Government Formation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 February 2023

Scott de Marchi
Affiliation:
Duke University, North Carolina
Michael Laver
Affiliation:
New York University
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Summary

We set out an alternative, “top down”, approach to agent-based modeling. We develop an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm to navigate the governance cycle using what we can think of as computational game theory. AI models have had formidable success in solving games like Chess, Go, and especially a bluffing game like Poker, suggesting they also have the potential to attack difficult political games. Addressing a simplified version of the government formation process as a noncooperative game, the AI algorithm deploys Monte Carlo Counterfactual Regret (MCCFR). During in massively repeated self-play, it samples paths though the vast game tree to relentlessly learn near optimal strategies.

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The Governance Cycle in Parliamentary Democracies
A Computational Social Science Approach
, pp. 83 - 100
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2023

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