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2 - A Formal Model of Outbidding

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 September 2021

Justin Conrad
Affiliation:
University of Georgia
William Spaniel
Affiliation:
University of Pittsburgh
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Summary

This chapter develops the workhorse model we explore throughout the book. We begin by substantively motivating many aspects of competitive violence: the marketplace has limited resources, violence is costly but increases a group’s share of those resources, opposing violence decreases one’s own share, and others. These components lead us to conclude that a "contest" model is ideal to study the implications of competition. Doing so allows us to recover a central implication from existing theories of outbidding: that more groups imply more total violence output. However, our model concludes that outbidding is a collective effect rather than an individual one. Even as total violence increases in group numbers, the per-group rate of violence drops. These central results are robust to a variety of alternative assumptions.

Type
Chapter
Information
Militant Competition
How Terrorists and Insurgents Advertise with Violence and How They Can Be Stopped
, pp. 20 - 56
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2021

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