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Who Votes: City Election Timing and Voter Composition

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 August 2021

ZOLTAN L. HAJNAL Open the ORCID record for ZOLTAN L. HAJNAL [Opens in a new window] ,
VLADIMIR KOGAN Open the ORCID record for VLADIMIR KOGAN [Opens in a new window]  and
G. AGUSTIN MARKARIAN Open the ORCID record for G. AGUSTIN MARKARIAN [Opens in a new window]
ZOLTAN L. HAJNAL*
Affiliation:
University of California, San Diego, United States
VLADIMIR KOGAN*
Affiliation:
Ohio State University, United States
G. AGUSTIN MARKARIAN*
Affiliation:
University of California, San Diego, United States
*
Zoltan L. Hajnal, Professor, School of Global Policy and Strategy, University of California, San Diego, United States, zhajnal@ucsd.edu.
Vladimir Kogan, Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Ohio State University, United States, kogan.18@osu.edu.
G. Agustin Markarian, PhD Candidate, Department of Political Science, University of California, San Diego, United States, gmarkari@ucsd.edu.
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Abstract

Low and uneven turnout is a serious problem for local democracy. Fortunately, one simple reform—shifting the timing of local elections so they are held on the same day as national contests—can substantially increase participation. Considerable research shows that on-cycle November elections generally double local voter turnout compared with stand-alone local contests. But does higher turnout mean a more representative electorate? On that critical question, the evidence is slim and mixed. We combine information on election timing with detailed microtargeting data that includes voter demographic information to examine how election timing influences voter composition in city elections. We find that moving to on-cycle elections in California leads to an electorate that is considerably more representative in terms of race, age, and partisanship—especially when these local elections coincide with a presidential election. Our results suggest that on-cycle elections can improve local democracy.

Type
Letter
Information
American Political Science Review , Volume 116 , Issue 1 , February 2022 , pp. 374 - 383
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association

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References

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Supplementary material: Link

Hajnal et al. Dataset

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https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/FBKO6N
Link
Supplementary material: PDF

Hajnal et al. supplementary material

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