Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-pftt2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-11T09:02:30.637Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Busy Voters, Agenda Control, and the Power of Information

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 September 2013

Arthur Lupia*
Affiliation:
University of California, San Diego

Abstract

The correspondence between individual preferences and electoral outcomes is often affected by the existence of information asymmetries among electoral participants and the presence of individuals or groups who exercise some form of agenda control. While the effects of agenda control in political decision making are widely recognized, the effects of information asymmetries are not as well understood. Since information asymmetries are fundamental characteristics of most elections, a deep understanding of the correspondence between individual preferences and electoral outcomes requires a serious consideration of the “effects” of information. I develop a generalizable agenda control model that takes as given the observation that most voters are not naturally inclined to invest in political information. The model allows me to provide a dynamic description of how voters and political elites can adapt to the information problems that characterize political decision making. It also allows me to demonstrate the effect of these adaptations on electoral outcomes.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1992 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Alesina, Alberto, and Rosenthal, Howard. 1989. “Partisan Cycles in Congressional Elections and the Macroeconomy.” American Political Science Review 83:373–98.10.2307/1962396Google Scholar
Banks, Jeffrey S. 1990. “Monopoly Agenda Control and Asymmetric Information.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 105:445–64.10.2307/2937795Google Scholar
Berelson, Bernard R., Lazarsfeld, Paul F., and McPhee, William N.. 1954. Voting: A Study of Opinion Formation in a Presidential Campaign. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Calvert, Randall. 1985. “The Value of Biased Information: A Rational Choice Model of Political Advice.” Journal of Politics 47:530–55.10.2307/2130895Google Scholar
Campbell, Angus, Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E., and Stokes, Donald E.. 1960. American Voter. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Cronin, Thomas E. 1989. Direct Democracy: The Politics of Referendum, Initiative, and Recall. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.10.4159/harvard.9780674330092Google Scholar
Denzau, Arthur, and Mackay, Robert. 1983. “Gatekeeping and Monopoly Power of Committees: An Analysis of Sincere and Sophisticated Behavior.” American Journal of Political Science 27:740–61.10.2307/2110891Google Scholar
Downs, Anthony. 1957. An Economic Theory of Democracy. New York: Harper & Row.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1981. Retrospective Voting in American National Elections. New York: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Herzberg, Roberta, and Wilson, Rick. 1990. “Voting as a Public Bad: Theoretical and Experimental Results on Voting Costs.” Presented at the annual meeting of the Western Political Science Association, Newport Beach, CA.Google Scholar
Huber, John. 1990. “Reign of Terror? The Guillotine and the Vote en Bloc in Fifth Republic France.” Presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco.Google Scholar
Kreps, David M., and Wilson, Robert. 1982. “Sequential Equilibria.” Econometrica 50:863–94.10.2307/1912767Google Scholar
Lupia, Arthur. 1991. “Voter Information, Endorsements, and Electoral Outcomes: Insurance Reform in California.” Presented at the annual APSA Political Methodology Section meetings, Durham, NC.Google Scholar
Lupia, Arthur. N.d.(a). “The Effect of Information on Voting Behavior and Electoral Outcomes: An Experimental Study of Direct Legislation.” Public Choice. Forthcoming.Google Scholar
Lupia, Arthur. N.d.(b). “The Effect of Credibility on Electoral Behavior and Outcomes in Direct Legislation.” In International Symposia on Economic Theory and Econometrics, vol. 8, ed. Schofield, Norman. New York: Cambridge University Press. Forthcoming.Google Scholar
McCubbins, Mathew, and Schwartz, Thomas. 1984. “Congressional Oversight Overlooked: Police Patrols Versus Fire Alarms.” American Journal of Political Science 28:165–79.10.2307/2110792Google Scholar
McKelvey, Richard D., and Ordeshook, Peter C.. 1985. “Elections with Limited Information: A Fulfilled Expectations Model Using Contemporaneous Poll and Endorsement Data as Information Sources.” Journal of Economic Theory 36:5585.10.1016/0022-0531(85)90079-1Google Scholar
McKelvey, Richard D., and Ordeshook, Peter C.. 1986. “Information, Electoral Equilibria, and the Democratic Ideal.” Journal of Politics 48:909–37.10.2307/2131005Google Scholar
Magleby, David B. 1984. Direct Legislation: Voting on Ballot Propositions in the United States. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.10.56021/9780801828447Google Scholar
Milgrom, Paul, and Roberts, John. 1986. “Relying on the Information of Interested Parties.” Rand Journal of Economics 17:1832.10.2307/2555625Google Scholar
Morton, Sanford. 1988. “Strategic Voting in Repeated Referenda.” Social Choice and Welfare 5:4568.10.1007/BF00435497Google Scholar
Niskanen, William. 1971. Bureaucracy and Representative Government. Chicago: Aldine–Atherton.Google Scholar
Popkin, Samuel L. 1991. The Reasoning Voter: Communication and Persuasion in Presidential Campaigns. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.10.7208/chicago/9780226772875.001.0001Google Scholar
Popkin, Samuel, Gorman, John W., Phillips, Charles, and Smith, Jeffrey A.. 1976. “What Have You Done for Me Lately? Toward An Investment Theory of Voting.” American Political Science Review 70:779805.10.1017/S0003055400174246Google Scholar
Price, Charles M. 1988. “Initiative Campaigns: Afloat on a Sea of Cash.” California Journal, November 1988, p. 481.Google Scholar
Romer, Thomas, and Rosenthal, Howard. 1978. “Political Resource Allocation, Controlled Agendas, and the Status Quo.” Public Choice 33:2744.10.1007/BF03187594Google Scholar
Romer, Thomas, and Rosenthal, Howard. 1979. “Bureaucrats Versus Voters: On the Political Economy of Resource Allocation by Direct Democracy.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 93:563–87.10.2307/1884470Google Scholar
Rosenthal, Howard. 1990. “The Setter Model.” In Advances in the Spatial Theory of Voting, ed. Enelow, James M. and Hinich, Melvin J.. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Spence, Michael. 1973. “Job Market Signaling.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 87:355–74.10.2307/1882010Google Scholar