Published online by Cambridge University Press: 14 July 2016
In their 2014 article in the British Journal of Political Science, Eleanor Neff Powell and Joshua A. Tucker examine the determinants of party system volatility in post-communist Europe. Their central conclusion is that replacement volatility – volatility caused by new party entry and old party exit – is driven by long-term economic performance. This article shows that this conclusion is based entirely on a miscalculation of the long-term economic performance of a single country, Bosnia-Herzegovina. The study’s reanalysis suggests that little is known about what causes party system volatility in post-communist Europe. Given the negative consequences traditionally associated with party system volatility, this area of research cries out for new theoretical development.
Pennsylvania State University, Department of Political Science (emails: email@example.com, firstname.lastname@example.org). We thank Sarah Birch, Chris Fariss, Sona Nadenichek Golder and Daniel Mallinson for their helpful comments on this article. We also thank Eleanor Powell, Joshua Tucker and Grigore Pop-Eleches for providing data and comments during the replication process. All data and computer code necessary to verify the results in this analysis will be made publicly available at https://charlescrabtree.com and http://mattgolder.com after publication. Stata 12 and R 3.1.0 were the statistical packages used in this study. Data replication sets are available at https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/BJPolS.