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The ‘Minimax Blame' Rule for Voter Choice: Help for the Undecided Voter on Novembere, 1988

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 September 2013

A. Wuffle*
Affiliation:
School of Social Sciences University of California, Irvine

Extract

Consider an election in which all the choices are dismal, albeit some perhaps even more dismal than others. How should voters in such an election choose whom to vote for or whether or not to vote?

It has been suggested (Riker and Ordeshook, 1973; cf. Weisberg and Grofman, 1981) that a voter is unlikely to vote if no choice exists whose election would yield him any appreciable degree of delight. Such a voter is alienated from the system. Consider, now, an election whose outcome is virtually certain. The conventional wisdom is that such certainty as to outcome should depress turnout, since ceteris paribus, voters who come to see their vote as making no difference should be less likely to vote than when they saw themselves as having a chance, however remote, to influence the outcome.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The American Political Science Association 1988

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Footnotes

*

This research was not supported by NSF Grant SES 80–07915. I am indebted to Morris Fiorina for calling to my attention the strong empirical support (N = 3) for the existence of the minimax-blame voters in Nashua, New Hampshire (as attested to by Mary McCrory in 1984)

References

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