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Authors' reply

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2018

Anne Duffy
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, University of Calgary, Canada. Email: acduffy@ucalgary.ca
Julie Horrocks
Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Guelph, Canada
Charles Keown-Stoneman
Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Guelph, Canada
Sarah Doucette
Affiliation:
Department of Community Health and Epidemiology, Dalhousie University, Canada
Paul Grof
Affiliation:
Mood Disorders Centre of Ottawa and Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto, Canada
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Abstract

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Columns
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Copyright © Royal College of Psychiatrists, 2014 

The clinical staging model proposed represents an aggregate view based on results from an ongoing, prospective study of a unique, high-risk cohort. In prior analyses, we found evidence that ADHD and other childhood neurodevelopmental presentations occurred at a higher unadjusted rate in the offspring of parents with lithium-non-responsive illness compared with the offspring of parents with lithium-responsive illness.Reference Duffy, Alda, Hajek, Sherry and Grof1,Reference Duffy, Alda, Crawford, Milin and Grof2 In this updated analysis, instead of unadjusted lifetime rates we used cumulative incidence, which takes into account censoring and variable age at last assessment and Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for sibling correlation, gender and socioeconomic status. With longer observation, the unadjusted rate of psychotic disorders is now significantly elevated in the offspring of parents with lithium-non-responsive illness compared with the offspring of parents with lithium-responsive illness.

Second, cluster A traits and cognitive deficits are known antecedents to psychotic disorders and therefore we argue that these do in fact ‘fit’ with ADHD and learning disabilities as early risk syndromes in this high-risk population.Reference Murray, Sham, Van Os, Zanelli, Cannon and McDonald3 Third, schizo-affective disorder was included as an end-stage illness in this analysis given the overlap between schizoaffective and psychotic bipolar disorders.Reference Pearlson and Ford4 Fourth, all offspring (control and high-risk) were assessed in the same way and all assessments were reviewed masked to family affiliation and diagnoses made by consensus using the same criteria. Therefore, the difference in rates of bipolar disorder not otherwise specified or any other diagnosis cannot be explained by modified diagnostic criteria for high-risk offspring as speculated by Chenard-Poirier & Paris.

Finally, given the high heritability and estimated likelihood that recurrent major depression in these families reflects the bipolar diathesis,Reference Blacker, Lavori, Faraone and Tsuang5 we expanded recruitment to include the offspring of parents who were siblings of the original bipolar proband and who themselves met lifetime criteria for bipolar disorder or recurrent major depression (n = 20). Therefore, every high-risk offspring had one parent with a bipolar or bipolar-related recurrent major depressive disorder. We thank Chenard-Poirier & Paris for raising these points and the Journal for allowing us to provide this clarification.

References

1 Duffy, A, Alda, M, Hajek, T, Sherry, SB, Grof, P. Early stages in the development of bipolar disorder. J Affect Disord 2010; 121: 127–35.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
2 Duffy, A, Alda, M, Crawford, L, Milin, R, Grof, P. The early manifestations of bipolar disorder: a longitudinal prospective study of the offspring of bipolar parents. Bipolar Disord 2007; 9: 828–38.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
3 Murray, RM, Sham, P, Van Os, J, Zanelli, J, Cannon, M, McDonald, C. A developmental model for similarities and dissimilarities between schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Schizophr Res 2004; 71: 405–16.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
4 Pearlson, GD, Ford, JM. Distinguishing between schizophrenia and other psychotic disorders. Schizophr Bull 2014; 40: 501–3.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
5 Blacker, D, Lavori, PW, Faraone, SV, Tsuang, MT. Unipolar relatives in bipolar pedigrees: a search for indicators of underlying bipolarity. Am J Med Genet 1993; 48: 192–9.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
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