Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-45l2p Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T20:05:12.326Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Impact of Financial Futures on the Cash Market for Treasury Bills

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 April 2009

Abstract

This paper is concerned with the effect of futures trading in Treasury bills on the volatility of yields in the cash market. It is found that futures trading led to a decrease in volatility initially, but the effect disappeared when futures volume became large and possibly resulted in increased volatility in the secondary cash market. The results also indicated that the deliverable bill appears to sell at a small premium relative to the adjacent maturities prior to the delivery date.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1985

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

[1]An Analysis of Financial Futures Markets. Part III of a Report to Congress, Commodity Futures Trading Commission (05 29, 1981).Google Scholar
[2]Baumol, William J.Speculation, Profitability, and Stability.” Review of Economics andStatistics, Vol. 39 (08 1957), pp. 263271.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[3]Cagan, Phillip. “Financial Futures Markets: Is More Regulation Needed? Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 1 (Summer 1981), pp. 169189.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[4]Cox, Charles C. “The Effect of Futures Trading on the Variability of Spot Prices.” Unpublished manuscript, Texas A&M University (08 1980).Google Scholar
[5]Dale, Charles, and Workman, Rosemarie. “Measuring Patterns of Price Movements in the Treasury Bill Futures Market.” Journal of Economics and Business, Vol. 33 (Winter 1981), pp. 8187.Google Scholar
[6]Figlewski, Stephen. “Futures Trading and Volatility in the GNMA Market.” Journal of Finance, Vol. 36 (05 1981), pp. 445456.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[7]Friedman, Milton. “The Case for Flexible Exchange Rates.” Essays in Positive Economics. Chicago: University of Chicago Press (1953).Google Scholar
[8]Froewiss, Kenneth C. “GNMA Futures: Stabilizing or Destabilizing?” Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (Spring 1978), pp. 2029.Google Scholar
[9]Johnston, J.Econometric Methods, 2nd Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc. (1972).Google Scholar
[10]Kaldor, Nicholas. “Speculation and Economic Stability.” Review of Economics Studies, Vol. 7 (Spring 1939), pp. 127.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[11]Pindyck, Robert S., and Rubinfeld, Daniel L.. Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts, 2nd Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc. (1981).Google Scholar
[12]Treasury/Federal Reserve Study of Treasury Futures Markets: A Study by the Staffs of the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve System. U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. (05 1979).Google Scholar