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A 500 yr speleothem-derived reconstruction of late autumn–winter precipitation, northeast Turkey

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2017

Catherine N. Jex ,
Andy Baker ,
Jonathan M. Eden ,
Warren J. Eastwood ,
Ian J. Fairchild ,
Melanie J. Leng ,
Louise Thomas  and
Hilary J. Sloane
Catherine N. Jex*
Affiliation:
Connected Waters Initiative, affiliated to National Centre for Ground Water Research and Training, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New South Wales, 110 King St, Manly Vale, NSW 2093, Australia
Andy Baker
Affiliation:
Connected Waters Initiative, affiliated to National Centre for Ground Water Research and Training, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of New South Wales, 110 King St, Manly Vale, NSW 2093, Australia
Jonathan M. Eden
Affiliation:
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK
Warren J. Eastwood
Affiliation:
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK
Ian J. Fairchild
Affiliation:
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK
Melanie J. Leng
Affiliation:
NERC Isotope Geosciences Laboratory, British Geological Survey, Keyworth, Nottingham, NG12 5GG, UK
Louise Thomas
Affiliation:
Faculty of Science, Open University, Walton Hall, Milton Keynes, MK7 6AA, UK
Hilary J. Sloane
Affiliation:
NERC Isotope Geosciences Laboratory, British Geological Survey, Keyworth, Nottingham, NG12 5GG, UK
*
⁎Corresponding author. Fax: +61 2 9949 4188.
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Abstract

A verified instrumental calibration of annually resolved δ18O for a stalagmite from Gümüşhane in northeast Turkey is presented and cross-validated using a ‘leave-one-out’ technique. The amount of late autumn to winter precipitation is negatively correlated with stalagmite δ18O between AD 1938 and 2004. The observed relationship is extrapolated back to ~ AD 1500 leading to the first long winter precipitation reconstruction for this region. Modern day October to January precipitation is linked to pressure fields in Western Russia. Anomalously lower reconstructed rainfall is recorded in AD 1540–1560 at which time higher pressure over the Caspian Sea region is inferred.

Keywords

SpeleothemOxygen isotopesTurkeyPrecipitation reconstructionCaspian SeaBlack Sea
Type
Short Paper
Information
Quaternary Research , Volume 75 , Issue 3 , May 2011 , pp. 399 - 405
Copyright
University of Washington

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