Abdallah, B., Mouhous-Voyneau, N. and Denoeux, T. 2014. Combining statistical and expert evidence using belief functions: application to centennial sea level estimation taking into account climate change. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 55, 341–354.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Adams, P., Hewitson, B., Vaughan, C., et al. 2015. Call for an ethical framework for climate services. WMO Bulletin, 64, 51–54.Google Scholar

Adger, W.N., Arnell, N.W. and Tompkins, E.L. 2005. Successful adaptation to climate change across scales. Global Environmental Change, 15, 77–86.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Adger, W.N., Dessai, S., Goulden, M., et al. 2009. Are there social limits to adaptation to climate change? Climatic Change, 93, 335–354.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Adger, W.N., Huq, S., Brown, K., Conway, D. and Hulme, M. 2003. Adaptation to climate change in the developing world. Progress in Development Studies, 3, 179–195.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Adler, R.F., Huffman, G.J., Chang, A., et al. 2003. The Version 2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Monthly Precipitation Analysis (1979–present). Journal of Hydrometeorology, 4, 1147–1167.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Aklilu, Y. and Wekesa, M. 2002. Drought, Livestock and Livelihood Lessons from the 1999–2001 Emergency Response in the Pastoral Sector in Kenya. Humanitarian Practice Network Paper 40. Overseas Development Institute, London.Google Scholar

Alcamo, J., Flörke, M. and Märker, M. 2007. Future long-term changes in global water resources driven by socio-economic and climatic changes. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 52, 247–275.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Allen, M.R. 2003. Liability for climate change. Nature, 421, 892.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Allen, M.R., Frame, D.J., Huntingford, C., et al. 2009. Warming caused by cumulative carbon emissions towards the trillionth tonne. Nature, 458, 1163–1166.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Amaral, L.P., Martins, N. and Gouveia, J.B. 2015. Quest for a sustainable university: a review. International Journal of Sustainability in Higher Education, 16, 155–172.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Amengual, A., Homar, V., Romero, R., et al. 2014. Projections of heat waves with high impact on human health in Europe. Global Planetary Change, 119, 71–84.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Amos, J. 2015. ‘Next Pinatubo’ a test of geoengineering. BBC News Science and Environment, 15 February 2015. www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-31475761 [accessed 21/4/16].Google Scholar

Anderegg, W.R.L., Prall, J.W., Harold, J. and Schneider, S.H. 2010. Expert credibility in climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107, 12107–12109.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Anderson, K. 2012. Climate change going beyond dangerous: brutal numbers and tenuous hope. Development Dialogue, 61, 16–39.Google Scholar

Annamalai, H., Hamilton, K. and Sperber, K.R. 2007. The South Asian summer monsoon and its relationship with ENSO in the IPCC AR4 simulations. Journal of Climate, 20, 1071–1092.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Antwi-Agyei, P., Dougill, A.J. and Stringer, L.C. 2014. Barriers to climate change adaptation: evidence from northeast Ghana in the context of a systematic literature review. Climate and Development, 14, 1615–1626.Google Scholar

Appelquist, L.R. and Balstrøm, T. 2014. Application of the Coastal Hazard Wheel methodology for coastal multi-hazard assessment and management in the state of Djibouti. Climate Risk Management, 3, 79–95.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Applegate, P.J. and Keller, K. 2015. How effective is albedo modification (solar radiation management geoengineering) in preventing sea-level rise from the Greenland Ice Sheet? Environmental Research Letters, 10, 084018.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Arnell, N.W. and Gosling, S.N. 2016. The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale. Climatic Change, 134, 387–401.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Arrhenius, S. 1908. Worlds in the Making: The Evolution of the Universe. Harper, New York.Google Scholar

Averchenkova, A. and Bassi, S. 2016. Beyond the Targets: Assessing the Political Credibility of Pledges for the Paris Agreement. London School of Economics, London.Google Scholar

Baettig, M., Wild, M. and Imboden, D.M. 2007. A climate change index: where climate change may be most prominent in the 21st century. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L01705.Google Scholar

Bakker, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., Martrat, B., et al. 2014. Temperature trends during the Present and Last Interglacial periods: a multi-model-data comparison. Quaternary Science Reviews, 99, 224–243.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Bamber, J.L. and Aspinall, W.P. 2013. An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from ice sheets. Nature Climate Change, 3, 434–427.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Barney, J.N. and DiTomasco, J.M. 2008. Nonnative species and bioenergy: are we cultivating the next invader? BioScience, 58, 64–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Bastagli, F. and Harman, L. 2015. The Role of Index-Based Triggers in Social Protection Response. Overseas Development Institute, London.Google Scholar

Bauer, E., Claussen, M., Bovkin, V. and Huenerbein, A. 2003. Assessing climate forcings of the Earth system for the past millennium. Geophysical Research Letters, 30, 1276.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Bealey, C. and Rayaleh, H.A. 2006. Understanding the status of the Djibouti Francolin. Annual Review of the World Pheasant Association 2005/2006, 20.Google Scholar

Beck, S. 2012. The challenges of building cosmopolitan climate expertise: the case of Germany. WIREs Climate Change, 3, 1–17.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Beddington, J. 2009. Food, Energy, Water and the Climate: A Perfect Storm of Global Events? Government Office for Science, London.Google Scholar

Bellenger, H., Guilyardi, E., Leloup, J., Lengaigne, M. and Vialard, J. 2013. ENSO representation in climate models: from CMIP3 to CMIP5. Climate Dynamics, 42, 1999–2018.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Benjaminsen, T.A., Alinon, K., Buhaug, H. and Buseth, J.T. 2012. Does climate change drive land-use conflicts in the Sahel? Journal of Peace Research, 49, 97–111.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Berger, W.H. 2013. Milankovitch tuning of deep-sea records: implications for maximum rates of change of sea level. Global and Planetary Change, 101, 131–143.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Berrittella, M., Certa, A., Enea, M. and Zito, P. 2008. Transport policy and climate change: how to decide when experts disagree. Environmental Science and Policy, 11, 307–314.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Blokker, E.J.M., van Osch, A.M., Hogveen, R. and Mudde, C. 2013. Thermal energy from drinking water and cost benefit analysis for an entire city. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 4, 11–16.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Bloodhart, B., Maibach, E., Myers, T. and Zhao, X.Q. 2015. Local climate experts: the influence of local TV weather information on climate change perceptions. PLOS ONE, 10, e0141526.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Bodenstein, L. 2010. Regarding Anderegg et al. and climate change credibility. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107, E188.Google ScholarPubMed

Boucher, O., Lowe, J.A. and Jones, C.D. 2009. Implications of delayed actions in addressing carbon dioxide emission reduction in the context of geo-engineering. Climatic Change, 92, 261–273.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Bowman, T.E., Maibach, E., Mann, M.E., et al. 2010. Time to take action on climate communication. Science, 330, 1044.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Boykoff, M.T. 2007. From convergence to contention: United States mass media representations of anthropogenic climate change science. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers, 32, 477–489.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Boykoff, M.T. 2008a. The cultural politics of climate change discourse in UK tabloids. Political Geography, 27, 549–569.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Boykoff, M.T. 2008b. Lost in translation? United States television news coverage of anthropogenic climate change, 1995–2004. Climatic Change, 86, 1–11.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Boykoff, M.T. 2013. Public enemy no. 1?: understanding media representations of outlier views on climate change. American Behavioural Scientist, 57, 796–817.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Boykoff, M.T. and Boykoff, J.M. 2004. Balance as bias: global warming and the US prestige press. Global Environmental Change, 14, 125–136.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Boykoff, M., Daly, M., Gifford, L., et al. 2016. Australian newspaper coverage of climate change or global warming, 2004–2016. Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado [accessed 1/6/16].CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Brecht, H., Dasgupta, S., Laplante, B., Murray, S. and Wheeler, D. 2012. Sea-level rise and storm surges: high stakes for a small number of developing countries. Journal of Environment and Development, 21, 120–138.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Brekke, L.D., Maurer, E.P., Anderson, J.D., et al. 2009. Assessing reservoir operations risk under climate change. Water Resources Research, 45, W04411.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Brooks, N., Adger, W.N. and Kelly, P.M. 2005. The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implications for adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 15, 151–163.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Brown, C. and Wilby, R.L. 2012. An alternate approach to assessing climate risks. Eos, 92, 401–403.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Brown, C., Werick, W., Leger, W. and Fay, D. 2011. A decision-analytic approach to managing climate risks: application to the Upper Great Lakes. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47, 524–534.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Bryden, H.L., Longworth, H.R. and Cunningham, S.A. 2005. Slowing of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 25° N. Nature, 438, 655–657.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Buhaug, H. 2010. Climate not to blame for African civil wars. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107, 16477–16482.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Buhaug, H., Gleditsch, N.P. and Theisen, O.M. 2008. Implications of climate change for armed conflict. Social Dimensions of Climate Change, World Bank, Washington DC.Google Scholar

Burke, M.B., Miguel, E., Satyanath, S., Dykema, J.A. and Lobell, D.B. 2009. Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106, 20670–20674.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Burkett, V.R., Suarez, A.G., Bindi, M., et al. 2014. Point of departure. In Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., Barros, V.R., Dokken, D.J., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Burrows, K. and Kinney, P.L. 2016. Exploring the climate change, migration and conflict nexus. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 13, 443.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Bybee, R., McCrae, B. and Laurie, R. 2009. PISA 2006: an assessment of scientific literacy. Journal of Research in Science Teaching, 46, 865–883.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Byers, E.A., Qadrdan, M., Kilsby, C.G., et al. 2015. Cooling water for Britain’s future electricity supply. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Energy, 168, 188–204.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Cahill, N., Rahmstorf, S. and Parnell, A.C. 2015. Change points of global temperature. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 084002.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Callendar, G.S. 1938. The artificial production of carbon dioxide and its influence on temperature. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 64, 223–240.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Camargo, S.J. and Sobel, A.H. 2005. Western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity and ENSO. Journal of Climate, 18, 2996–3006.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Capstick, S.B. and Pidgeon, N.F. 2014. What is climate change scepticism? Examination of the concept using a mixed methods study of the UK public. Global Environmental Change, 24, 389–401.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Carbon Trust, 2006. The Carbon Emissions Generated in All That We Consume. The Carbon Trust, London.Google Scholar

Carbon Trust, 2014. Homeworking: Helping Businesses Cut Costs and Reduce Their Carbon Footprint. The Carbon Trust, London.Google Scholar

Carlton, J.S. and Jacobson, S.K. 2016. Using expert and non-expert models of climate change to enhance communication. Environmental Communication, 10, 1–24.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Carlton, J.S., Mase, A.S., Knutson, C.L., et al. 2016. The effects of extreme drought on climate change beliefs, risk perceptions, and adaptation attitudes. Climatic Change, 135, 211–226.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Carvalho, A. and Burgess, J. 2005. Cultural circuits of climate change in UK broadsheet newspapers, 1985–2003. Risk Analysis, 25, 1457–1469.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Casanueva, A., Frías, M.D., Herrera, S., et al. 2014. Statistical downscaling of climate impact indices: testing the direct approach. Climatic Change, 127, 547–560.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Castro, C.L., Pielke, R.A. and Leoncini, G. 2005. Dynamical downscaling: assessment of value retained and added using the regional atmospheric modelling system (RAMS). Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 110, D05108.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Chapagain, A.K. and Hoekstra, A.Y. 2008. The global component of freshwater demand and supply: an assessment of virtual water flows between nations as a result of trade in agricultural and industrial products. Water International, 33, 19–32.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Chaudhary, A. and Kastner, T. 2016. Land use biodiversity impacts embodied in international food trade. Global Environmental Change, 38, 195–204.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Chen, X. and Tung, K.-K. 2014. Varying planetary heat sink to global-warming slowdown and acceleration. Science, 345, 897–903.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Chevallier, P., Pouyard, M., Bolgov, M., et al. 2012. Trends for snow cover and river flows in the Pamirs (Central Asia). Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 9, 29–64.Google Scholar

Christen, A., Coops, N.C., Crawford, C.R., et al. 2011. Validation of modeled carbon-dioxide emissions from an urban neighbourhood with direct eddy-covariance measurements. Atmospheric Environment, 45, 6057–6069.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Cicerone, R.J. 2006. Geoengineering: encouraging research and overseeing implementation. Climatic Change, 77, 221–226.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Collins, H.M. and Evans, R. 2002. The third wave of science studies: studies of expertise and experience. Social Studies of Science, 32, 235–296.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Collins, W.J., Bellouin, N., Doutriaux-Boucher, M., et al. 2011. Development and evaluation of an Earth-system model: HadGEM2. Geoscientific Model Development, 4, 1051–1075.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Comité National pour l’Environnement (CNE), 1991. Rapport National Environnement. Secrétariat Technique du Comité National pour l’Environnement, Djibouti.Google Scholar

Committee on Climate Change (CCC), 2015a. The Fifth Carbon Budget: The Next Step Towards a Low-Carbon Economy. Committee on Climate Change, London.Google Scholar

Committee on Climate Change (CCC), 2015b. Sectoral Scenarios for the Fifth Carbon Budget. Technical Report. Committee on Climate Change, London.Google Scholar

Committee on Climate Change (CCC), 2015c. Progress in Preparing for Climate Change. Adaptation Sub Committee, London.Google Scholar

Committee on Climate Change (CCC), 2016. UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017. Synthesis Report: Priorities for the Next Five Years. Committee on Climate Change, London.Google Scholar

Contamin, R. and Ellison, A.M. 2009. Indicators of regime shifts in ecological systems: what we need to know and when do we need to know it? Ecological Applications, 19, 799–816.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Cook, E.R., Seager, R., Heim, R.R., et al. 2009. Megadroughts in North America: placing IPCC projections of hydroclimatic change in a long-term palaeoclimate context. Journal of Quaternary Science, 25, 48–61.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Cook, J., Nuccitelli, D., Green, S.A., et al. 2013. Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature. Environmental Research Letters, 8, 024024.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Corner, A. and Pidgeon, N. 2010. Geoengineering the climate: the social and ethical implications. Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 52, 24–37.Google Scholar

Corner, A. and Pidgeon, N. 2015. Like artificial trees? The effect of framing by natural analogy on public perceptions of geoengineering. Climatic Change, 130, 425–438.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Covey, C., AchutaRao, K.M., Cubasch, U., et al. 2003. An overview of results from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Global and Planetary Change, 37, 103–133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Crawford, E. 1997. Arrhenius’ 1896 model of the greenhouse effect in context. Ambio, 26, 6-11.Google Scholar

Crawford, T., Betts, N.L. and Favis-Mortlock, D.T. 2007. GCM grid box choice and predictor selection associated with statistical downscaling of daily precipitation over Northern Ireland. Climate Research, 34, 145–160.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Cressey, D. 2012. Cancelled project spurs debate over geoengineering patents. Nature, 485, 429.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Crook, J.A. and Forster, P.M. 2011. A balance between radiative forcing and climate feedback in the modelled 20th century temperature response. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D17108.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Crook, J.A., Jackson, L.S., Osprey, S.M. and Forster, P.M. 2015. A comparison of temperature and precipitation responses to different Earth radiation management geoengineering schemes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120, 9352–9373.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Crowley, T.J. 2000. Causes of climate change over the past 1000 years. Science, 289, 270–277.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Crutzen, P.J. 2006. Albedo enhancement by stratospheric sulphate injections: a contribution to resolve a policy dilemma. Climatic Change, 77, 211–219.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Cubasch, U., Wuebbles, D., Chen, D., et al. 2013. Introduction. In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Curry, J.A. 2014a. Climate science: uncertain temperature trends. Nature Geoscience, 7, 83–84.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Curry, J.A. 2014b. End of climate exceptionalism. https://judithcurry.com/2014/04/04/end-of-climate-exceptionalism/ [accessed 16/06/16]Google Scholar

Curry, J.A. 2015. Has NOAA ‘busted’ the pause in global warming? https://judithcurry.com/2015/06/04/has-noaa-busted-the-pause-in-global-warming/ [accessed 29/06/16]Google Scholar

Curry, J.A. and Webster, P.J. 2011. Climate science and the uncertainty monster. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92, 1667–1682.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Dahan-Dalmedico, A. 2008. Climate expertise: between scientific credibility and geopolitical imperatives. Interdisciplinary Science Reviews, 33, 71–81.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Dai, A. 2011. Drought under global warming: a review. Wiley Interdisciplinary Science Reviews, 2, 45–65.Google Scholar

Dai, A. 2013. Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nature Climate Change, 3, 52–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

d’Amour, C.B., Wenz, L., Kalkul, M., Steckel, J.C. and Creutzig, F. 2016. Teleconnected food supply shocks. Environmental Research Letters, 11, 035007.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Dasgupta, S., Laplante, B., Murray, S. and Wheeler, D. 2009. Climate Change and the Future Impacts of Storm-Surge Disasters in Developing Countries. Working Paper 182, Center for Global Development, Washington DC.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Davey, C.A. and Pielke, R.A. 2005. Microclimate exposures of surface-based weather stations: implications for the assessment of long-term temperature trends. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 86, 497–504.Google Scholar

Davin, E.L., Seneviratne, S.I., Cias, P., Olioso, A. and Wange, T. 2014. Preferential cooling of hot extremes from cropland albedo management. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111, 9757–9761.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Davis, M. 2001. Late Victorian Holocausts: El Niño Famines and the Making of the Third World. Verso, London.Google Scholar

Davis, S.J. and Caldeira, K. 2010. Consumption-based accounting of CO₂ emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107, 5687–5692.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Dawson, R.J. 2011. Potential pitfalls on the transition to more sustainable cities and how they might be avoided. Carbon Management, 2, 175–188.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

De Martino, B., Kumaran, D., Seymour, B. and Dolan, R.J. 2006. Frames, biases, and rational decision-making in the human brain. Science, 313, 684–687.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

de Wit, M. and Stankiewicz, J. 2006. Changes in surface water supply across Africa with predicted climate change. Science, 311, 1917–1921.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

De’ath, G., Lough, J.M. and Fabricius, K.E. 2009. Declining coral calcification on the Great Barrier Reef. Science, 323, 116–119.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Defra, 2012. Summary of the Key Findings from the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012. HM Government, London.Google Scholar

Delta Commission, 2008. Working Together with Water: A Living Land Builds for its Future. Delta Commission, The Netherlands.Google Scholar

DeNicola, E., Aburizaiza, O.S., Siddique, A., Khwaja, H. and Carpenter, D.O. 2015. Climate change and water scarcity: the case of Saudi Arabia. Annals of Global Health, 81, 342–353.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Deser, C., Phillips, A.S., Alexander, M.A. and Smoliak, B. 2014. Projecting North American climate over the next 50 years: uncertainty due to internal variability. Journal of Climate, 27, 2271–2296.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Dessai, S., Adger, W.N., Hulme, M., et al. 2004. Defining and experiencing dangerous climate change. Climatic Change, 64, 11–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Dessai, S., Lu, X. and Risbey, J.S. 2005. On the role of climate scenarios for adaptation planning. Global Environmental Change, 15, 87–97.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Di Luca, A., de Elia, R. and Laprise, R. 2013. Potential for small scale added value of RCM’s downscaled climate change signal. Climate Dynamics, 40, 601–618.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Diaz-Nieto, J. and Wilby, R.L. 2005. A comparison of statistical downscaling and climate change factor methods: impacts on low flows in the River Thames, United Kingdom. Climatic Change, 69, 245–268.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Diffenbaugh, N.S. and Scherer, M. 2013. Likelihood of July 2012 U.S. temperatures in preindustrial and current forcing regimes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94, S6–S9.Google Scholar

Direction de L’Aménagement du Territoire et de l’Environnement (DATE), 2001. Communication Nationale Initiale de la Republique de Djibouti a la Convention Cadres des Nations Unies sur les Changements Climatiques. Ministère de l’Habitat, de l’Urbanisme, de l’Environnement et de l’Aménagement du Territoire, République de Djibouti.Google Scholar

Direction de L’Aménagement du Territoire et de l’Environnement (DATE), 2006. Programme d’Action National d’Aptation aux Changements Climatiques. Ministère de l’Habitat, de l’Urbanisme, de l’Environnement et de l’Aménagement du Territoire, République de Djibouti.Google Scholar

Dobler, C., Hagemann, S., Wilby, R.L. and Stötter, J. 2012. Quantifying different sources of uncertainty in hydrological projections at the catchment scale. Hydrology and Earth Systems Science, 16, 4343–4360.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Dole, R., Hoerling, M., Perlwitz, J., et al. 2011. Was there a basis for anticipating the 2010 Russian heatwave? Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L06702.Google Scholar

Doll, R., Peto, R., Boreham, J. and Sutherland, I. 2004. Mortality in relation to smoking: 50 years’ observations on male British doctors. British Medical Journal, 328, 1519–1527.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Doria, M.D., Boyd, E., Tompkins, E.L. and Adger, W.N. 2009. Using expert elicitation to define successful adaptation to climate change. Environmental Science and Policy, 12, 810–819.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Doulton, H. and Brown, K. 2009. Ten years to prevent catastrophe? Discourses of climate change and international development in the UK press. Global Environmental Change, 19, 191–202.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Druckman, A. and Jackson, T. 2009. The carbon footprint of UK households 1990–2004: a socio-economically disaggregated, quasi-multi-regional input-output model. Ecological Economics, 68, 2066–2077.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Dutra, E., Magnusson, L., Wetterhall, F., et al. 2013. The 2010–2011 drought in the Horn of Africa in ECMWF reanalysis and seasonal forecast products. International Journal of Climatology, 33, 1720–1729.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Easterling, D.R. and Wehner, M.F. 2009. Is the climate warming or cooling? Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L08706.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Economist, 2014. Climate change: in the balance. The Economist, 5 April 2014.Google Scholar

Economist, 2016. Particular about particulates. The Economist, 16 January 2016, 56–57.Google Scholar

Edenhofer, O., Pichs-Madruga, R., Sokona, Y., et al. 2014. Technical Summary. In Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Edenhofer, O., Pichs-Madruga, R., Sokona, Y., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Edwards, P.N. 2011. History of climate modelling. WIREs Climate Change, 2, 128–139.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Eggers, J., Tröltzsch, K., Falcucci, A., et al. 2009. Is biofuel harming biodiversity in Europe? Global Change Biology: Bioenergy, 1, 18–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

England, M.H., McGregor, S., Spence, P., et al. 2014. Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus. Nature Climate Change, 4, 222–227.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Engler, S., Mauelshagen, F., Werner, J. and Luterbacher, J. 2013. The Irish famine of 1740–1741: famine vulnerability and “climate migration”. Climate of the Past, 9, 1161–1179.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Entman, R.M. 1993. Framing: toward clarification of a fractured paradigm. Journal of Communication, 43, 51–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Environment Agency, 2011. Advice for Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management. Environment Agency, Bristol.Google Scholar

Environment Agency, 2012. Getting Ready for Climate Change by Creating Riparian Shade. Environment Agency, Bristol.Google Scholar

Ereaut, G. and Segnit, N. 2006. Warm Words: How Are We Telling the Climate Story and Can We Tell It Better? Institute for Public Policy Research, London.Google Scholar

Esmaeili, H. 2010. International law responses to climate change. In Lever-Tracy, C. (ed.), Routledge Handbook of Climate Change and Society. Routledge, Abingdon.Google Scholar

Estrada, F., Guerrero, V.M., Gay-García, C. and Martínez-López, B. 2013. A cautionary note on automated downscaling methods for climate change. Climate Change, 120, 263–276.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), 2011. Tajikistan Pilot Programme for Climate Resilience (PPCR) Project A4 - Improving the Climate Resilience of Tajikistan’s Hydropower Sector (Final report). Acclimatise and Sinclair Knight Mertz, Oxford.Google Scholar

European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), 2015. Qairokkum Hydropower: Planning Ahead for a Changing Climate. Sustainable Energy Initiative, EBRD, London.Google Scholar

Farbotko, C. and Lazrus, H. 2012. The first climate refugees? Contesting global narratives of climate change in Tuvalu. Global Environmental Change, 22, 382–390.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Fargione, J., Hill, J., Tilman, D., Polasky, S. and Hawthorne, P. 2008. Land clearing and the biofuel carbon debt. Science, 319, 1235–1238.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Feng, X., Porporato, A. and Rodriguez-Iturbe, I. 2013. Changes in rainfall seasonality in the tropics. Nature Climate Change, 3, 811–815.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Ferkany, M. 2015. Is it arrogant to deny climate change or is it arrogant to say it is arrogant? Understanding arrogance and cultivating humility in climate change discourse and education. Environmental Values, 24, 705–724.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Field, C.B., Barros, V.R., Mach, K.J., et al. 2014. Technical summary. In Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., Barros, V.R., Dokken, D.J. et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Fields, D., Kochnakyan, A., Stuggins, G. and Besant-Jones, J. 2012. Tajikistan’s Winter Energy Crisis: Electricity Supply and Demand Alternatives. World Bank, Washington DC.Google Scholar

Fischer, E.M. and Schär, C. 2010. Consistent geographical patterns of changes in high-impact European heatwaves. Nature Geoscience, 3, 398–403.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Fisher, Z.S., Cartwright, S., Bealey, C., et al. 2009. The Djibouti francolin and juniper forest in Djibouti: the need for both ecosystem and species-specific conservation. Oryx, 43, 542–551.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Flato, G.J., Marotzke, B., Abiodun, P., et al. 2013. Evaluation of climate models. In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Foresight Futures, 2011. The Future of Food and Farming: Challenges and Choices for Global Sustainability. Government Office for Science, London.Google Scholar

Fowler, H.J. and Wilby, R.L. 2007. Editorial: Beyond the downscaling comparison study. International Journal of Climatology, 27, 1543–1545.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Francis, P. 2004. The impact of UK households on the environment. In Economic Trends 611. Office of National Statistics, London.Google Scholar

Frigg, R., Smith, L.A., Stainforth, D.A. 2013. The myopia of imperfect climate models: the case of UKCP09. Philosophy of Science, 80, 886–897.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Frijns, J. 2012. Towards a common carbon footprint assessment methodology for the water sector. Water and Environment Journal, 25, 63–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Fung, F., Lopez, A. and New, M. 2011. Water availability in +2°C and +4°C worlds. Transactions of the Royal Society A, 369, 99–116.Google ScholarPubMed

Funk, C., Hoell, A., Shukla, S., et al. 2014. Predicting East African spring droughts using Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature indices. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 4965–4978.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Funke, G. 2010. The Munich Re view on climate change litigation. In Munich Re: Liability for climate change? Munich Re, Munich, Germany.Google Scholar

Fuss, S., Canadell, J. G., Peters, G. P., et al. 2014. Betting on negative emissions. Nature Climate Change, 4, 850–853.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Fuss, S., Reuter, W.H., Szolgayova, J. and Obersteiner, M. 2013. Optimal mitigation strategies with negative emission technologies and carbon sinks under uncertainty. Climatic Change, 118, 73–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Füssel, H.-M. and Klein, R.J. 2006. Climate change vulnerability assessments: an evolution of conceptual thinking. Climatic Change, 75, 301–329.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Gabriel, C.J. and Robock, A. 2015. Stratospheric geoengineering impacts on El Nino/Southern Oscillation. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15, 11949–11966.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Gemenne, F., Barnett, J., Adger, W.N. and Dabelko, G.D. 2014. Climate and security: evidence, emerging risks, and a new agenda. Climatic Change, 123, 1–9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Gençsü, I. and Hino, M. 2015. Raising Ambition to Reduce International Aviation and Maritime Emissions. New Climate Economy, London and Washington DC.Google Scholar

Ghosh, S., Sharma, A., Arora, S. and Desouza, G. 2016. A geoengineering approach toward tackling tropical cyclones over the Bay of Bengal. Atmospheric Science Letters, 17, 208–215.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Gleckler, P.J., Wigley, T.M.L., Santer, B.D., et al. 2006. Krakatoa’s signature persists in the ocean. Nature, 439, 675.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Gleick, P.H. 2014. Water, drought, climate change, and conflict in Syria. Weather Climate and Society, 6, 331–340.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Gleick, P.H., Yolles, P. and Hatami, H. 1994. Water, war and peace in the Middle East. Environment, 36, 6–42.Google Scholar

Goklany, I.M. 2015. Carbon Dioxide: The Good News. Global Warming Policy Foundation, London.Google Scholar

Gonzalez, A., Cardinale, B.J., Allington, G.R.H., et al. 2016. Estimating local biodiversity change: a critique of papers claiming no net loss of local diversity. Ecology, 97, 1949–1960.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Grundmann, R. 2012. The legacy of Climategate: revitalizing or undermining climate science and policy? WIREs Climate Change, 3, 281–288.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Grundmann, R. 2013. “Climategate” and the scientific ethos. Science Technology Human Values, 38, 67–93.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Gustafson, W.I., Qian, Y. and Fast, J.D. 2011. Downscaling aerosols and the impact of neglected subgrid processes on direct aerosol radiative forcing for a representative global climate model grid spacing. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D13303.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Gynther, I., Waller, N. and Leung, L.K.-P. 2016. Confirmation of the Extinction of the Bramble Cay Melomys Melomys Rubicola on Bramble Cay, Torres Strait: Results and Conclusions from a Comprehensive Survey in August–September 2014. Unpublished report to the Department of Environment and Heritage Protection, Queensland Government, Brisbane.Google Scholar

Haensler, A., Hagemann, S. and Jacob, D. 2011. Dynamical downscaling of ERA40 reanalysis data over southern Africa: added value in the simulation of the seasonal rainfall characteristics. International Journal of Climatology, 31, 2338–2349.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hahn, M.B., Riederer, A.M and Foster, S.O. 2009. The Livelihood Vulnerability Index: a pragmatic approach to assessing risks from climate variability and change – A case study in Mozambique. Global Environmental Change, 19, 74–88.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hajat, S., Kovats, R.S., Atkinson, R.W. and Haines, A. 2002. Impact of hot temperatures on death in London: a time series approach. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 56, 367–372.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hallegatte, S. 2009. Strategies to adapt to an uncertain climate. Global Environmental Change, 19, 240–247.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hallegatte, S., Green, C., Nicholls, R.J. and Corfee-Morlot, J. 2013. Future flood losses in major coastal cities. Nature Climate Change, 3, 802–806.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hanjra, M.A. and Qureshi, M.E. 2010. Global water crisis and future food security in an era of climate change. Food Policy, 35, 365–377.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hardisty, J., Taylor, D.M. and Metcalfe, S.E. 1993. Computerised Environmental Modelling: A Practical Introduction Using Excel. Wiley, Chichester.Google Scholar

Harvey, C.A., Rakotobe, Z.L., Rao, N.S., et al. 2014. Extreme vulnerability of smallholder farmers in Madagascar. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 369, 20130089.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Haszeldine, R.S. 2009. Carbon capture and storage: how green can black be? Science, 325, 1647–1652.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Haug, G.H., Gunther, D., Peterson, L.C., et al. 2003. Climate and the collapse of Maya civilization. Science, 299, 1731–1735.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Hawkins, E. 2015a. Graphics: scrap rainbow colour scales. Nature, 519, 291.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Hawkins, E. 2015b. Was there ever a ‘pause’? www.climate-lab-book.ac.uk/2015/was-there-ever-a-pause/ [accessed 25/06/16]Google Scholar

Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R. 2010. The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Climate Dynamics, 37, 407–418.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hawkins, E., Smith, R.S., Gregory, J.M. and Stainforth, D.A. 2016. Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections. Climate Dynamics, 46, 3807–3819.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Haylock, M.R., Cawley, G.C., Harpham, C., Wilby, R.L. and Goodess, C.M. 2006. Downscaling heavy precipitation over the UK: a comparison of dynamical and statistical methods and their future scenarios. International Journal of Climatology, 26, 1397–1415.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Heimann, M. and Reichstein, M. 2008. Terrestrial ecosystem carbon dynamics and climate feedbacks. Nature, 451, 289–292.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Hellmuth, M.E., Mason, S.J., Vaughan, C., van Aalst, M.K. and Choularton, R. (eds.) 2011. A Better Climate for Disaster Risk Management. International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia University, New York.Google Scholar

Heltberg, R., Siegel, P.B. and Jorgensen, S.L. 2009. Addressing human vulnerability to climate change: toward a ‘no regret’ approach. Global Environmental Change, 19, 89–99.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Henson, R. 2014. The Thinking Person's Guide to Climate Change. The American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA.Google Scholar

Hochrainer, S. and Mechler, R. 2011. Natural disaster risk in Asian megacities: a case for risk pooling? Cities, 28, 53–61.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Holderness, T., Barr, S., Dawson, R. and Hall, J. 2013. An evaluation of thermal Earth observation for characterizing urban heatwave event dynamics using the urban heat island intensity metric. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 34, 864–884.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Honda, Y., Kondo, M., McGregor, G., et al. 2014. Heat-related mortality risk model for climate change impact projection. Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine, 19, 56–63.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Hoornweg, D., Sugar, L. and Gómez, C.L.T. 2011. Cities and greenhouse gas emissions: moving forward. Environment and Urbanization, 23, 207–227.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

House of Commons Science and Technology Committee, 2014. Communicating Climate Science. Eighth Report of Session 2013-14, The Stationery Office, London.Google Scholar

House of Commons, 2015. Future of Carbon Capture and Storage in the UK. Energy and Climate Change Committee, The Stationery Office, London.Google Scholar

Houssein, I. and Jalludin, M. 1995. The salinity of Djibouti’s aquifer. Journal of African Earth Sciences, 22, 409–414.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Houssein, M.A. 2005. Vulnérabilité des Zones Côtières aux Changements Climatiques: De l’État des Lieux à l’Élargissement de la Problématique. Ministère de l’Habitat, de l’Urbanisme, de l’Environnement et de l’Aménagement du Territoire, République de Djibouti.Google Scholar

Howe, P.D., Thaker, J. and Leiserowitz, A. 2014. Public perceptions of rainfall change in India. Climatic Change, 127, 211–225.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hughes, T.P., Day, J.C. and Brodie, J. 2015. Securing the future of the Great Barrier Reef. Nature Climate Change, 5, 508–511.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hulme, M. 2007. Newspaper scare headlines can be counter-productive. Nature, 445, 818.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Hulme, M. 2008. The conquering of climate: discourses of fear and their dissolution. Geographical Journal, 174, 5–16.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hulme, M. 2009. The communication of risk. In Why We Disagree about Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hulme, M. and Dessai, S. 2008. Negotiating future climates for public policy: a critical assessment of the development of climate scenarios for the UK. Environmental Science and Policy, 11, 54–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Hunt, A.S.P., Wilby, R.L., Dale, N., Sura, K. and Watkiss, P. 2014. Embodied water imports to the UK under climate change. Climate Research, 59, 89–101.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Idso, C.D., Carter, R.M. and Singer, S.F. 2015. Why Scientists Disagree about Global Warming. The Heartland Institute, Arlington Heights, IL.Google Scholar

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2001. Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [McCarthy, J.J., Canziani, O.F., Leary, N.A., Dokken, D.J. and White, K.S. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2006. National Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry. Institute of Global Environmental Strategies, Hayama, Japan.Google Scholar

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2012. Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Field, C.B., Barros, V., Stocker, T.F. et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2013a. Summary for Policymakers. In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K. et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2013b. Technical Summary. In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., Qin, D. Plattner, G.-K. et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2014. Summary for Policymakers. In Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Edenhofer, O., Pichs-Madruga, R., Sokona, Y. et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

International Organization for Standardization (ISO), 2013. Greenhouse Gases – Carbon Footprints of Products – Requirements and Guidelines for Quantification and Communication. ISO/TS 14067:2013. ISO, Geneva, Switzerland.Google Scholar

Ioannidis, J.P.A. 2013. Informed consent, big data, and the oxymoron of research that is not research. The American Journal of Bioethics, 13, 40–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Irvine, P.J., Ridgwell, A. and Lunt, D.J. 2011. Climatic effects of surface albedo geoengineering. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D24112.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Jacob, D., Peterson, J., Eggert, B., et al. 2014. EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research. Regional Environmental Change, 2, 563–578.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Jacques, P.J. 2012. A general theory of climate denial. Global Environmental Politics, 12, 9-17.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Jacques, P.J., Dunlap, R. and Freeman, M. 2008. The organisation of denial: Conservative think tanks and environmental scepticism. Environmental Politics, 17, 349–385.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Janko, F., Moricz, N. and Vancso, J.P. 2014. Reviewing the climate change reviewers: exploring controversy through report references and citations. Geoforum, 56, 17–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Johnson, M.F. and Wilby, R.L. 2013. Shield or not to shield: effects of solar radiation on water temperature sensor accuracy. Water, 5, 1622–1637.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Johnson, M.F. and Wilby, R.L. 2015. Seeing the landscape from the trees: metrics to guide riparian shade management in river catchments. Water Resources Research, 51, 3754–3767.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Johnson, M.F., Wilby, R.L. and Toone, J.A. 2014. Inferring air–water temperature relationships from river and catchment properties. Hydrological Processes, 28, 2912–2928.Google Scholar

Johnstone, S. and Mazo, J. 2011. Global warming and the Arab spring. Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, 53, 11–17.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Jones, L., Dougill, A., Jones, R.G., et al. 2015. Ensuring climate information guides long-term development. Nature Climate Change, 5, 812–814.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Jones, P.D. 2008. Historical climatology: a state of the art. Weather, 63, 181–186.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Jones, P.D. and Mann, M.E. 2004. Climate over past millennia. Review of Geophysics, 42, RG2002.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Jones, P.D. and Wigley, T.M.L. 2010. Estimation of global temperature trends: what’s important and what isn’t. Climatic Change, 100, 59–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Jones, P.D., Lister, D.H. and Li, Q. 2008. Urbanization effects in large-scale temperature records, with an emphasis on China. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113, D16122.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Jones, P.D., Lister, D.H., Osborn, T.J., et al. 2012. Hemispheric and large-scale land surface air temperature variations: an extensive revision and an update to 2010. Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D05127.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Junk, J., Kouadio, L., Delfosse, P. and El Jarroudi, M. 2016. Effects of regional climate change on brown rust disease in winter wheat. Climatic Change, 135, 439–451.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kallis, G. and Zografos, C. 2014. Hydro-climatic change, conflict and security. Climatic Change, 123, 69–82.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kanamitsu, M. and DeHaan, L. 2011. The added value index: a new metric to quantify the added value of regional models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 116, D11106.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Karim, P., Qureshi, A.S., Bahramloo, R., and Molden, D. 2012. Reducing carbon emissions through improved irrigation and groundwater management: a case study from Iran. Agricultural Water Management, 108, 52–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Karl, T.R., Arguez, A., Huang, B., et al. 2015. Possible artefacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus. Science, 348, 1469–1472.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Keith, D.W. 2009. Why capture CO₂ from the atmosphere? Science, 325, 1654–1655.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Keller, K., Hall, M., Rim, S.-R., Bradford, D.F. and Oppenheimer, M. 2005. Avoiding dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Climatic Change, 73, 227–238.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kellstedt, P.M., Zahran, S. and Vedlitz, A. 2008. Personal efficacy, the information environment, and attitudes towards global warming and climate change in the United States. Risk Analysis, 28, 113–126.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kelly, N.M.S. 2014. The scientific and political legacy of the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09). Area, 46, 111–113.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kelly, P.M. and Adger, W.N. 2000. Theory and practice in assessing vulnerability to climate change and facilitating adaptation. Climatic Change, 47, 325–352.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kendon, E.J., Roberts, N.M., Fowler, H.J., et al. 2014. Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model. Nature Climate Change, 4, 570–576.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kennedy, J., Steinberger, J., Barrie, G., et al. 2009. Greenhouse gas emissions from global cities. Environmental Science and Technology, 43, 7297–7302.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Kern, F., Gaede, J., Meadowcroft, J. and Watson, J. 2016. The political economy of carbon capture and storage: an analysis of two demonstration projects. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 102, 250–260.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kerr, R.A. 2009. Amid worrisome signs of warming, ‘climate fatigue’ sets in. Science, 326, 926–928.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kerr, R.A. 2013. Forecasting regional climate change flunks its first test. Science, 239, 638.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kharin, V.V., Zwiers, F.W., Zhang, X. and Wehner, M. 2013. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the CMIP5 ensemble. Climatic Change, 119, 345–357.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kim, J.J. and Guha-Sapir, D. 2012. Famines in Africa: is early warning early enough? Global Health Action, 5, 18481.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Kintisch, E. 2014. Is Atlantic holding Earth’s missing heat? Science, 345, 860–861.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Kniveton, D.R., Smith, C.D. and Black, R. 2012. Emerging migration flows in a changing climate in dryland Africa. Nature Climate Change, 2, 444–447.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Knutti, R. 2008. Why are climate models reproducing the observed global surface warming so well? Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L18704.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Knutti, R. 2010. The end of model democracy? An editorial comment. Climatic Change, 102, 395–404.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Knutti, R. and Sedláček, J. 2012. Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections. Nature Climate Change, 3, 369–373.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Knutti, R., Rogelj, J., Sedláček, J. and Fischer, E.M. 2016. A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target. Nature Geoscience, 9, 13–18.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Koo, C., Hong, T., Park, H.S. and Yun, G. 2014. Framework for the analysis of the potential of the rooftop photovoltaic system to achieve the net-zero energy solar buildings. Progress in Photovoltaics, 22, 462–478.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kosaka, Y. and Xie, S.-P. 2013. Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling. Nature, 501, 403–407.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Kossin, J.P., Olander, T.L. and Knapp, K.P. 2013. Trend analysis with a new global record of tropical cyclone intensity. Journal of Climate, 26, 9960–9976.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Koteyko, N., Jaspal, R. and Nerlich, B. 2013. Climate change and ‘climategate’ in online reader comments: a mixed methods study. Geographical Journal, 179, 74–86.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

KPMG, 2014. Future State 2030: The Global Megatrends Shaping Governments. www.kpmg.com/ID/en/IssuesAndInsights/ArticlesPublications/Documents/Future-State-2030.pdf [accessed 23/06/16].Google Scholar

Kuhlbrodt, T. and Gregory, J. 2012. Ocean heat uptake and its consequences for the magnitude of sea level rise and climate change. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L18608.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kumar, K.K., Kumar, K.R., Ashrit, R.G., et al. 2004. Climate impacts on Indian agriculture. International Journal of Climatology, 24, 1375–1393.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kundzewicz, Z.W. and Stakhiv, E.Z. 2010. Are climate models “ready for prime time” in water resources management applications, or is more research needed? Hydrological Sciences Journal, 55, 1085–1089.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Kuntzmann, L.E. and Drake, J.L. 2016. Framing matters in communicating crisis. In Drake, J.L., Kontar, Y.Y., Eichelberger, J.C., Rupp, T.S. and Taylor, K.M. (eds.), Communicating Climate-Change and Natural Hazard Risk and Cultivating Resilience. Springer, London.Google Scholar

Kure, S., Jang, S., Ohara, N., Kavvas, M.L. and Chen, Z.Q. 2013. Hydrologic impact of regional climate change for the snowfed and glacierfed river basins in the Republic of Tajikistan: hydrological response of flow to climate change. Hydrological Processes, 27, 4057–4070.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lagmay, A.M.F., Agaton, R.P., Bahala, M.A.C., et al. 2015. Devastating storm surges of Typhoon Haiyan. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 11, 1–12.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lahsen, M. 2013. Climategate: the role of the social sciences. Climatic Change, 119, 547–558.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lancet Commissions, 2015. Health and climate change: policy responses to protect public health. The Lancet, 386, 1861–1914.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Le Quéré, C., Raupach, M.R., Canadell, J.G., et al. 2009. Trends in the sources and sinks of carbon dioxide. Nature Geoscience, 2, 831–836.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lee, J-W. and Hong, S-Y. 2014. Potential for added value to downscaled climate extremes over Korea by increased resolution of a regional climate model. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 117, 667–677.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Leichenko, R., Thomas, A. and Barnes, M. 2010. Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change. In Lever-Tracy, C. (ed.), Routledge Handbook of Climate Change and Society, Chapter 7. Routledge, Abingdon.Google Scholar

Leiserowitz, A.A., Maibach, E.W., Roser-Renouf, C., Smith, N. and Dawson, E. 2013. Climategate, public opinion, and the loss of trust. American Behavioural Scientist, 57, 818–837.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lemonsu, A., Beaulant, A.L., Somot, S. and Masson, V. 2014. Evolution of heat wave occurrence over the Paris basin (France) in the 21st century. Climate Research, 61, 75–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lempert, R.J. and Collins, M.T. 2007. Managing the risk of uncertain threshold responses: comparison of robust, optimum and precautionary approaches. Risk Analysis, 27, 1009–1026.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Lenton, T.M. 1998. Gaia and natural selection. Nature, 394, 439–447.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Lenton, T.M., Held, H., Kriegler, E., et al. 2008. Tipping elements in the Earth’s climate system. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 105, 1786–1793.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Lever-Tracy, C. 2010. Routledge Handbook of Climate Change and Society. Routledge, Abingdon.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Leviticus, S., Antonov, J.I., Boyer, T.P., et al. 2012. World ocean heat content and thermosteric sea level change (0–2000 m), 1955–2010. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L10603.Google Scholar

Lewandowsky, S., Ecker, U.K.H., Seifert, C.M. and Schwartz, N. 2012. Misinformation and its correction: continued influence and successful debiasing. Psychological Science in the Public Interest, 13, 106–131.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Lewandowsky, S., Gignac, G.E. and Vaughan, S. 2013. The pivotal role of perceived scientific consensus in acceptance of science. Nature Climate Change, 3, 399–404.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lewandowsky, S., Oreskes, N., Risbey, J.S., Newell, B.R. and Smithson, M. 2015. Seepage: climate change denial and its effect on the scientific community. Global Environmental Change, 33, 1–13.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lewandowsky, S., Risbey, J. and Oreskes, N. 2016. The “pause” in global warming: turning a routine fluctuation into a problem for science. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, 723–733.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lewis, N. and Crok, M. 2014. Oversensitive: How the IPCC Hid the Good News on Global Warming. Report 12, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, London.Google Scholar

Liepert, B.G. and Lo, F. 2013. CMIP5 update of ‘Inter-model variability and biases of the global water cycle in CMIP3 coupled climate models’. Environmental Research Letters, 8, 029401.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Liepert, B.G. and Previdi, M. 2012. Inter-model variability and biases of the global water cycle in CMIP3 coupled climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 7, 014006.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Link, P.M., Brucher, T., Claussen, M., Link, J.S.A. and Scheffran, J. 2015. The nexus of climate change, land use, and conflict: complex human–environment interactions in Northern Africa. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, 1561–1564.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Liu, J.G., Mooney, H., Hull, V., et al. 2015b. Systems integration for global sustainability. Science, 347, 1258832.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Liu, M., Zhu, X., Pan, C., et al. 2015a. Spatial variation of near-surface CO₂ concentration during spring in Shanghai. Atmospheric Pollution Research, 7, 31–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Liu, Z. 2015. China’s Carbon Emissions Report 2015. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School, Cambridge, MA.Google Scholar

Liu, Z., He, C., Zhou, Y. and Wu, J. 2014. How much of the world’s land has been urbanized, really? A hierarchical framework for avoiding confusion. Landscape Ecology, 29, 763–771.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lopez, A., Fung, F., New, M., et al. 2009. From climate model ensembles to climate change impacts: a case study of water resource management in the South West of England. Water Resources Research, 45, W08419.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lovelock, J.E. and Margulis, L. 1974. Atmospheric homeostasis by and for the biosphere: the Gaia hypothesis. Tellus, 26, 2-10.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lowe, T., Brown, K., Dessai, S., et al. 2006. Does tomorrow ever come? Disaster narrative and public perceptions of climate change. Public Understanding of Science, 15, 435–457.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Lutz, A.F., Immerzeel, W.W., Gobiet, A., Pellicciotti, F. and Bierkens, M.F.P. 2013. Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 3661–3677.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

MacCracken, M.C. 2009. On the possible use of geoengineering to moderate specific climate change impacts. Environmental Research Letters, 4, 045107.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Maibach, E., Witte, J. and Wilson, K. 2011. “Climategate” undermined belief in global warming among many American TV meteorologists. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92, 31–37.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Mainka, S.A. and Howard, G.W. 2010. Climate change and invasive species: double jeopardy. Integrative Zoology, 5, 102–111.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Manabe, S. and Wetherald, R.T. 1975. The effects of doubling CO₂ concentration on the climate of a general circulation model. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 32, 3–15.2.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Mann, M. 2014. Earth will cross the climate danger threshold by 2036. Scientific American, 1 April 2014.Google Scholar

Maraun, D., Wetterhall, F., Ireson, A.M., et al. 2010. Precipitation downscaling under climate change: recent development to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user. Reviews of Geophysics, 48, RG3003.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Markowitz, D.M. and Hancock, J.T. 2015. Linguistic obfuscation in fraudulent science. Journal of Language and Social Psychology, 4, 435–445.Google Scholar

Marotzke, J. and Forster, P.M. 2015. Forcing, feedback and internal variability in global temperature trends. Nature, 517, 565–570.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Martin, G.M. and The HadGEM2 Development Team, 2011. The HadGEM2 family of Met Office Unified Model climate configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, 4, 723–757.Google Scholar

Masato, G., Hoskins, B.J. and Woollings, T. 2013. Winter and summer Northern Hemisphere blocking in CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 26, 7044–7059.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Masson, D. and Knutti, R. 2011. Climate model genealogy. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L08703.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Matthews, T., Mullan, D., Wilby, R.L., Broderick, C. and Murphy, C. 2016. Past and future climate change in the context of memorable seasonal extremes. Climate Risk Management, 11, 37–52.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Maussion, F., Scherer, D., Molg, T., et al. 2014. Precipitation seasonality and variability over the Tibetan Plateau as resolved by the High Asia Reanalysis. Journal of Climate, 27, 1910–1927.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

McCright, A.M. 2010. Anti-reflexivity: the American conservative movement’s success in undermining climate science and policy. Theory, Culture and Society, 27, 100–133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

McCright, A.M. and Dunlap, R.E. 2003. Defeating Kyoto: the conservative movement’s impact on U.S. climate change policy. Social Problems, 50, 348–373.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

McCusker, K.E., Battisti, D.S. and Bitz, C.M. 2015. Inability of stratospheric sulfate aerosol injections to preserve the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 4989–4997.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

McDonald, S., Oates, C.J., Thyne, M., Timmis, A.J. and Carlile, C. 2015. Flying in the face of environmental concern: why green consumers continue to fly. Journal of Marketing Management, 31, 1503–1528.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

McGuffie, K. and Henderson-Sellers, A. 2001. Forty years of numerical climate modelling. International Journal of Climatology, 21, 1067–1109.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

McGuffie, K. and Henderson-Sellers, A. 2014. The Climate Model Primer, Fourth Edition. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.Google Scholar

McMichael, A.J. 2012. Insights from past millennia into climatic impacts on human health and survival. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109, 4730–4737.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

McMichael, A.J., Wilkinson, P., Kovats, R.S., et al. 2008. International study of temperature, heat and urban mortality: the ‘ISOTHURM’ project. International Journal of Epidemiology, 37, 1121–1131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Meckler, A.N., Sigman, D.M., Gibson, K.A., et al. 2013. Deglacial pulses of deep-ocean silicate into the subtropical North Atlantic Ocean. Nature, 495, 495–498.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Meinshausen, M., Meinshausen, N., Hare, W., et al. 2009. Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C. Nature, 458, 1158–1163.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Mekonnen, M.M. and Hoekstra, A.Y. 2010. A global and high-resolution assessment of the green, blue and grey water footprint of wheat. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 14, 1259–1276.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Mendelsohn, R., Emanuel, K., Chonabayashi, S. and Bakkensen, L. 2012. The impact of climate change on tropical cyclone damage. Nature Climate Change, 2, 205–209.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Milfont, T.L., Evans, L., Sibley, C.G., Ries, J. and Cunningham, A. 2014. Proximity to coast is linked to climate change belief. PLOS ONE, 9, e103180.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Millner, A., Calel, R., Stainforth, D.A. and MacKerron, G. 2013. Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists’ uncertainty about climate change? Climatic Change, 116, 427–436.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Milly, P.C.D., Betancourt, J., Falkenmark, M., et al. 2008. Stationarity is dead: whither water management? Science, 319, 573–574.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Minx, J., Baiocchi, G., Wiedmann, T., et al. 2013. Carbon footprints of cities and other human settlements in the UK. Environmental Research Letters, 8, 035039.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Mitchell, T.D. and Hulme, M. 1999. Predicting regional climate change: living with uncertainty. Progress in Physical Geography, 23, 57–78.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Monastersky, R. 2009. A burden beyond bearing. Nature, 458, 1091–1094.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Moomaw, W., Burgherr, P., Heath, G., et al. 2011. Annex II: Methodology. In IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation [Edenhofer, O., Pichs-Madruga, R., Sokona, Y. et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Moore, J., Kissinger, M. and Rees, W.E. 2013. An urban metabolism and ecological footprint assessment of Metro Vancouver. Journal of Environmental Management, 124, 51–61.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Moore, J.C., Grinsted, A., Guo, X.R., et al. 2015. Atlantic hurricane surge response to geoengineering. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112, 13794–13799.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Mora, S., Jalludin, M., Mahdi, D.R. and Ortiz, A. 2010. Modelling and quantifying risk in Djibouti. Proceedings of the Eleventh Congress of the International Association of Engineering Geology and the Environment, Auckland, 5-10 September 2010.Google Scholar

Morgan, M.G. and Keith, D.W. 1995. Subjective judgments by climate experts. Environmental Science and Technology, 29, A468–A476.Google ScholarPubMed

Morton, O. 2009. Great white hope. Nature, 458, 1097–1100.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Moser, S.C. 2010. Communicating climate change: history, challenges, process and future directions. WIREs Climate Change, 1, 31–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Moss, R.H. 1995. Avoiding ‘dangerous’ interference in the climate system: the roles of values, science and policy. Global Environmental Change, 5, 3–6.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Moss, R.H., Edmonds, J.A., Hibbard, K.A., et al. 2010. The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature, 463, 747–756.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Mulholland, P.J., Best, G.R., Coutant, C.C., et al. 1997. Effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems of the south-eastern United States and the Gulf Coast of Mexico. Hydrological Processes, 11, 949-70.3.0.CO;2-G>CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Murari, K.K., Ghosh, S., Patwardhan, A., Daly, E. and Salvi, K. 2015. Intensification of future severe heatwaves in India and their effect on heat stress and mortality. Regional Environmental Change, 15, 569–579.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Murphy, J.M., Booth, B.B.B., Collins, M., et al. 2007. A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 365, 1993–2028.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Murphy, J.M., Sexton, D.M.H., Jenkins, G.J., et al. 2009. UK Climate Projections Science Report: Climate Change Projections. Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter.Google Scholar

Murtaugh, P.A. and Schlax, M.G. 2009. Reproduction and the carbon legacies of individuals. Global Environmental Change, 19, 14–20.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Mwangi, E., Wetterhall, F., Dutram, E., et al. 2014. Forecasting droughts in East Africa. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 611–620.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Myers, T.A., Maibach, E.E., Roser-Renouf, C., Akerlof, K. and Leiserowitz, A.A. 2013. The relationship between personal experience and belief in the reality of global warming. Nature Climate Change, 3, 343–347.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Nachmany, M., Frankhauser, S., Davidová, J., et al. 2015. The 2015 Global Climate Legislation Summary: A Review of Climate Change Legislation in 99 Countries. Grantham Institute, London.Google Scholar

Nagle, J.C. 2009. Climate exceptionalism. Environmental Law, 40, 53–88.Google Scholar

Nakamura, S. 2009. Spatial Analysis of Urban Poverty in Manila, Philippines. Cornell University. https://courses.cit.cornell.edu/crp408/papers/nakamura.pdf [accessed 22/10/2015]Google Scholar

Nakhooda, S., Watson, C. and Schalatek, L. 2013. The Global Climate Finance Architecture. Overseas Development Institute, London.Google Scholar

Nakicenovich, N. and Swart, R. 2000. IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Google Scholar

Nerlich, B., Koteyko, N. and Brown, B. 2010. Theory and language of climate change communication. WIREs Climate Change, 1, 97–110.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Neukkom, R., Gergis, J., Karoly, D.J., et al. 2014. Inter-hemispheric temperature variability over the past millennium. Nature Climate Change, 4, 362–367.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Nicholls, R.J., Marinova, N., Lowe, J.A., et al. 2011. Sea-level rise and its possible impacts given a ‘beyond 4°C world’ in the twenty-first century. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 369, 161–181.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Nicholson, S. 2014. The predictability of rainfall over the Greater Horn of Africa. Part I: Prediction of seasonal rainfall. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15, 1011–1027.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Nordbo, A., Järvi, L., Haapanala, S., Wood, C.R. and Vesala, T. 2012. Fraction of natural area as main predictor of net CO₂ emissions from cities. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L20802.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Nordhaus, W.D. 2007. A review of the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change. Journal of Economic Literature, 45, 686–702.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Normile, D. 2008. China’s living laboratory in urbanization. Science, 319, 740–743.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

O’Brien, K., Leichenko, R., Kelkar, U., et al. 2004. Mapping vulnerability to multiple stressors: climate change and globalization in India. Global Environmental Change, 14, 303–313.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

O’Hare, G. 2011. Updating our understanding of climate in the North Atlantic: the role of global warming and the Gulf Stream. Geography, 96, 5-15.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

O’Hare, G., Sweeney, J. and Wilby, R.L. 2005. Changes in the climate system. Weather, Climate and Climate Change: Human Perspectives. Pearson Education, Harlow, UK, pp. 143–175.Google Scholar

O’Neill, S. and Nicholson-Cole, S. 2009. “Fear won’t do it”: Promoting positive engagement with climate change through visual iconic representations. Science Communication, 30, 355–379.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

O’Neill, S.J., Osborn, T.J., Hulme, M., Lorenzoni, I. and Watkinson, A.R. 2008. Using expert knowledge to assess uncertainties in future polar bear populations under climate change. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45, 1649–1659.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Obradovich, N. and Guenther, S.M. 2016. Collective responsibility amplifies mitigation behaviours. Climatic Change, 137, 307–319.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Ogutu, J.O. and Owen-Smith, N. 2003. ENSO, rainfall and temperature influences on extreme population decline among Africa savannah ungulates. Ecology Letters, 6, 412–419.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Olivier, J.G.J., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Muntean, M. and Peters, J.A.H.W. 2015. Trends in global CO₂ emissions: 2015 Report. PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, and the European Commission Joint Research Centre. The Hague, The Netherlands.Google Scholar

Olson, R.L. 2012. Soft geoengineering: a gentler approach to addressing climate change. Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 54, 29–39.Google Scholar

Opiyo, E.O., Wasonga, O.V. and Nyangito, M.M. 2014. Measuring household vulnerability to climate-induced stresses in pastoral rangelands of Kenya: implications for resilience programming. Pastoralism, 4, 10.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Oppenheimer, M. and Petsonk, A. 2005. Article 2 of the UNFCCC: historical origins, recent interpretations. Climatic Change, 73, 195–226.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Oppenheimer, M., Little, C.M. and Cooke, R.M. 2016. Expert judgment and uncertainty quantification for climate change. Nature Climate Change, 6, 445–451.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Oreskes, N. 2004. The scientific consensus on climate change. Science, 306, 1686.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Orlove, B., Lazrus, H., Hovelsrud, G.K. and Giannini, A. 2014. Recognition and responsibilities on the origins and consequences of the uneven attention to climate change around the world. Current Anthropology, 55, 249–275.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Otto, F.E.L., Massey, N., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Jones, R. G. and Allen, M.R. 2012. Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L04702.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Overseas Development Institute (ODI), 2015. Geography of Poverty, Climate and Disasters II. Overseas Development Institute, London.Google Scholar

Oxfam, 2010. Climate Change, Shrinking Glaciers and Poverty in Tajikistan. Oxfam International, Dushanbe, Tajikistan.Google Scholar

Pacsi, A.P., Alhajeri, N.S., Webster, M.D., Webber, M.E. and Allen, D.T. 2013. Changing the spatial location of electricity generation to increase water availability in areas with drought: a feasibility study and quantification of air quality impacts in Texas. Environmental Research Letters, 8, 035029.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Paeth, H., Scholten, A., Friederichs, P. and Hense, A. 2008. Uncertainties in climate change prediction: El-Niño–Southern Oscillation and monsoons. Global and Planetary Change, 60, 265–288.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

PAGES 2k Consortium, 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, 6, 339–346.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Pandey, D., Agrawal, M. and Pandey, J.S. 2011. Carbon footprint: current methods of estimation. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 178, 135–160.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed

Parker, D.E. 2004. Large-scale warming is not urban. Nature, 432, 290.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Parker, D.E. 2010. Urban heat island effects on estimates of observed climate change. WIREs Climate Change, 1, 123–133.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Parry, M., Lowe, J. and Hanson, C. 2009. Overshoot, adapt and recover. Nature, 485, 1102–1103.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Parson, E.A. and Keith, D.W. 2013. End the deadlock on governance of geoengineering research. Science, 239, 1278–1279.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Pearce, W., Brown, B., Nerlich, B. and Koteyko, N. 2015. Communicating climate change: conduits, content, and consensus. WIREs Climate Change, 6, 613–626.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Pfaff, A., Broad, K. and Glantz, M. 1999. Who benefits from climate forecasts? Nature, 397, 646.CrossRefGoogle Scholar