Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-dfsvx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-29T23:11:48.042Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

19 - Defender-Attacker Decision Tree Analysis to Combat Terrorism

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  13 December 2017

Ali E. Abbas
Affiliation:
University of Southern California
Milind Tambe
Affiliation:
University of Southern California
Detlof von Winterfeldt
Affiliation:
University of Southern California
Get access

Summary

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2017

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Bakir, N. O., & von Winterfeldt, D. (2011). Is better nuclear weapons detection capability justified? Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 8(1), 118.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bedford, T., & Cooke, R. (2001). Probabilistic risk analysis: Foundations and methods. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Bennett, R. K. (2003, August 14). Think the unthinkable. Tech Central Station. www.techcentralstation.com/081403D.html.Google Scholar
Bier, V., & Cox, L., Jr. (2007). Probabilistic risk analysis for engineered systems. In Edwards, W., Miles, R. F., & von Winterfeldt, D. (Eds.), Advances in decision analysis (pp. 279–310). New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Bolkcom, C., & Elias, B. (2006, February 16). Homeland security: Protecting airliners from terrorist missiles. National Defense. Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division: Congressional Research Service (CRS).Google Scholar
Chow, J., Chiesa, J., Dreyer, P., Eisman, P., Karasik, T. W., Kvitky, J., Linger, S., Ochmanek, D., & Shirley., C. (2005). Protecting commercial aviation against the shoulder-fired missile threat. Santa Monica, CA: The RAND Corporation.Google Scholar
Clemen, R., & Reilly, T. (2013). Making hard decisions. Mason, OH: South-Western Cengage Learning.Google Scholar
DelBoca, R. (2003). Washington, DC: Prepared testimony before the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, Aviation Subcommittee.Google Scholar
Ezell, C. E., Bennett, S. P., von Winterfeldt, D., Sokolowski, J., & Collins, A. J. (2010). Probabilistic risk analysis and terrorism risk. Risk Analysis, 30(4), 575589.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Gordon., P., Kim, S., Moore, J. E., Park, H., & Richardson, H. (2006). The economic impacts of a terrorist attack on the U.S. aviation system. Risk Analysis, 27(3), 505512.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grau, L. R. (2008, May–August). The RPG-7 on the battlefields of today and tomorrow. Infantry.Google Scholar
Howard, R. A., & Abbas, A. E. (2015). Foundations of decision analysis. New York: Pearson Education.Google Scholar
Hunter, T. B. (2002, November 28). The proliferation of MANPADS. Jane’s Intelligence Review.Google Scholar
Keeney, R. L., & von Winterfeldt, D. (2007). Practical value models. In Edwards, E., Miles, R. F., & von Winterfeldt, D. (Eds.), Advances in decision analysis (pp. 232–252). New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Merrick, J., & Parnell, G. (2011). A comparative analysis of PRA and intelligent adversary methods for counterterrorism risk management. Risk Analysis, 31(9), 14881510.Google Scholar
National Research Council. (2008). Department of Homeland Security bioterrorism risk assessment: A call for change. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.Google Scholar
O’Sullivan, T M. (2004, November). External terrorist threats to civilian airliners: A summary risk analysis of MANPADS, other ballistic weapons risks, future threats, and possible countermeasures policies. University of Southern California: Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE). Revised February 2005.Google Scholar
Parnell, G. S., Smith, C. M., & Moxley, F. I. (2009). Intelligent adversary risk analysis: A bioterrorism risk management model. Risk Analysis, 30, 3248.Google Scholar
Pate-Cornell, M. E. (2007). The engineering risk analysis method and some applications. In Edwards, W., Miles, R. F., & von Winterfeldt, D. (Eds.), Advances in decision analysis (pp. 302–324). New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Pate-Cornell, E., & Guikema, S. (2002). Probabilistic modeling of terrorist threats: A systematic analysis approach to setting priorities among countermeasures. Military Operations Research, 7(4), 520.Google Scholar
Phelps, M. (2003, January). Do SAMs pose a real threat to civil aviation? Aviation International News.Google Scholar
Raiffa, H. (1968). Decision analysis. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.Google Scholar
Santos, J. R., & Haimes, Y. Y. (2004). Modeling the demand reduction input-output (I-O) inoperability due to terrorism on interconnected structures. Risk Analysis, 24 14371451.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shanker, . (2002, November 29). Ideal terror weapons: Portable, plentiful missiles. New York Times.Google Scholar
Tambe, M. (2011). Security and game theory: Algorithms, deployed systems, lessons learned. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO). (2004). The Department of Homeland Security needs to fully adopt a knowledge-based approach to its Counter-MANPADS Development Program. Washington, DC: Author, GAO-04-341R.Google Scholar
Violence Policy Center. (2002). Sitting ducks: The threat to chemical and refinery industry from 50 caliber sniper rifles. www.vpc.org/50caliber.html.Google Scholar
von Winterfeldt, D., & Edwards, W. (1986). Decision analysis and behavioral research. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
von Winterfeldt, D., & O’Sullivan, T. (2006). Should we protect commercial airplanes against surface-to-air missile attacks by terrorists? Decision Analysis, 3, 6375.Google Scholar
Weselby, H. (2012). Fuel burn vs. maintenance cost. Washington, DC: IIATA Maintenance Cost Conference.Google Scholar
Willis, H. H., Morral, A. R., Kelly, T. K., & Medby, J. J. (2005). Estimating terrorism risk. MG-388-RC, RAND Corporation. Santa Monica, CA.Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×