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2 - Introduction to the historical case studies: research questions, methods and case selection

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 September 2009

Mark H. Hayes
Affiliation:
Research Fellow, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
David G. Victor
Affiliation:
Director, Program on Energy and Sustainable DevelopmentFreeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University
David G. Victor
Affiliation:
Stanford University, California
Amy M. Jaffe
Affiliation:
Rice University, Houston
Mark H. Hayes
Affiliation:
Stanford University, California
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Summary

International transport of gas on a large scale is hardly a new phenomenon; since 1970, especially, governments and private investors have chosen to build and operate ever-larger gas trade projects, involving both pipelines and trains of tankers hauling LNG. This part of the book (chapters 2–10) looks to that historical experience to glean useful lessons about the factors that determine where governments and private firms have built international gas projects. In Part III, (chapters 11–13) we look to the future, building on our insights on the factors that affect expansion of gas trade infrastructures with economic models to project the development of global gas trade over the coming decades.

In probing history, we have focused on projects that extend outside the sphere of the advanced industrialized nations. If gasifying the world involved building more projects such as the pipelines that export gas from Canada to the United States, or from Norway and the Netherlands to the rest of Europe, the barriers to gasification and the geopolitical consequences of new interconnections would be few. Governments and firms have demonstrated ample interest in building and managing risks in such projects, and the advanced industrialized nations are already richly interconnected in myriad ways. What makes the shift to gas challenging – and potentially seismic in geopolitical importance – is that it requires securing supplies that originate in, cross and arrive in countries where contracts are difficult to enforce, regulatory systems are immature, and investors have been wary in deploying capital.

Type
Chapter
Information
Natural Gas and Geopolitics
From 1970 to 2040
, pp. 27 - 48
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2006

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References

Appert, Olivier (2002). Cross-Border Gas Trade Conference: Concluding Remarks. Paris, International Energy Agency (Paris)Google Scholar
BP (2004). Statistical Review of World Energy, available at http://www.bp.com
ESMAP (2003). Removing Obstacles to Cross-Border Oil and Gas Pipelines: Problems and Prospects. Washington, DC: UNDP/World Bank, p. 130
Hayes, Mark H. and David G. Victor (2004). Factors that Explain Investment in Cross-Border Natural Gas Transport Infrastructures: A Research Protocol for Historical Case Studies. Stanford, CA, Program on Energy and Sustainable Development; available at: http://pesd.stanford.edu/gas.htm
Henisz, Witold Jerzy (2002). Politics and International Investment: Measuring Risks and Protecting Profits. Northampton, MA: Edward ElgarGoogle Scholar
ICRG (2002). International Country Risk Guide. Political Risk Services (IBC USA, Inc.). New York: International Reports
IEA (2002). World Energy Outlook (WEO). Paris: International Energy Agency
Levy, Brian and Spiller, Pablo T. (1994). “The institutional foundations of regulatory commitment: a comparative analysis of telecommunications regulation.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, 10(2) pp. 201–246Google Scholar
PESD (2002). “Rapporteur's report.” Geopolitics of Gas Meeting, Stanford: Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, October 17–18; available at: http://pesd.stanford.edu/gas.htm
Vernon, Raymond (1971). Sovereignty at Bay: The Multinational Spread of US Enterprises. New York: Basic BooksGoogle Scholar

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