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Introduction. Climate Variability, Climate Change and Vulnerability: Moving Forward by Looking Back

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 December 2009

Jesse C. Ribot
Affiliation:
World Resources Institute, Washington DC
Antonio Rocha Magalhães
Affiliation:
Ministry of Planning, Brazil
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Summary

… Somos muitos Severinos

iguais em tudo e na sina:

a de abrandar estas pedras

suando-se muito em cima,

a de tentar despertar

terra sempre mais extinta,

a de querer arrancar

algum roçado da cinza.

Mas, para que me conheçam

melhor Vossas Senhorias

e melhor possam seguir

a historia de minha vida,

passo a ser o Severino

que em vossa presença emigra.

João Cabral de Melo Neto, Morte é Vida Severina, 1966

Severina is a common name in the dry Northeast of Brazil – it is a name akin to the word for severity, reflecting rural life in these drylands. The experience of severe deprivation is widespread in the semi-arid tropics. Indeed, there are many Severinos living lives of constant vulnerability to hunger, famine, dislocation and material loss. Extreme climatic events, such as droughts, simply unveil this underlying chronic state. Such vulnerability is not caused by climate variability or climate change alone (Sen 1981; Watts 1983a). It is a result of the configuration of forces that shape the ability of farm and pastoral populations to produce, reproduce and develop. Climate extremes are an expected characteristic of semi-arid lands. Most populations know from local history the frequency and likely consequences of extreme climatic events. And most populations in highly variable or extreme climatic zones shape their livelihood systems to buffer against potential catastrophes. They prepare with the means at their disposal for these expected, yet unpredictable, threats.

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