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2 - Interpreting effects

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Paul D. Ellis
Affiliation:
Hong Kong Polytechnic University
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Summary

Investigators must learn to argue for the significance of their results without reference to inferential statistics.

~ John P. Campbell (1982: 698)

An age-old debate – rugby versus soccer

A few years ago a National IQ Test was conducted during a live TV show in Australia. Questions measuring intelligence were asked on the show and viewers were able to provide answers via a special website. People completing the online questionnaire were also asked to provide some information about themselves such as their preferred football code. When the results of the test were published it was revealed that rugby union fans were, on average, two points smarter than soccer fans. Now two points does not seem to be an especially big difference – it was actually smaller than the gap separating mums from dads – but the difference was big enough to trigger no small amount of gloating from vociferous rugby watchers. As far as these fans were concerned, two percentage points was large enough to substantiate a number of stereotypes regarding the mental capabilities of people who watch soccer.

How large does an effect have to be for it to be important, useful, or meaningful? As the National IQ story shows, the answer to this question depends a lot on who is doing the asking. Rugby fans interpreted a 2-point difference in IQ as meaningful, legitimate, and significant. Soccer fans no doubt interpreted the difference as trivial, meaningless, and insignificant.

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The Essential Guide to Effect Sizes
Statistical Power, Meta-Analysis, and the Interpretation of Research Results
, pp. 31 - 44
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2010

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  • Interpreting effects
  • Paul D. Ellis, Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • Book: The Essential Guide to Effect Sizes
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511761676.003
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  • Interpreting effects
  • Paul D. Ellis, Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • Book: The Essential Guide to Effect Sizes
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511761676.003
Available formats
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To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Interpreting effects
  • Paul D. Ellis, Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • Book: The Essential Guide to Effect Sizes
  • Online publication: 05 June 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511761676.003
Available formats
×