Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-4hhp2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-20T00:04:56.870Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Chapter 32 - Scholarship in and on South Asia

from Section IV - Human Well-Being

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 September 2013

Ali Riaz
Affiliation:
Illinois State University
Get access

Summary

The primary objective of this article is to outline scenario(s) of South Asian scholarship in the next half a century. It is a challenging task in many ways; two deserve special mention: first, forecasting is a perilous business, particularly on social and political issues. Secondly, my effort involves a region with eight countries, each of which is not only diverse on many counts but has also previously defied almost all predictions. There are several methods for forecasting, each has its own merits but none can be appropriate for all situations. However, in social sciences there is a proclivity towards quantitative method. When quantitative data is either unavailable or unreliable, and qualitative information can be gleaned from various sources to increase accuracy, relevance, or acceptability of forecasts, the preferred option among researchers has been to adopt the judgmental method (Makridakis, Wheelwright and Hyndman 1998; Adler and Ziglio 1996; Lawrence, Goodwin, O'Connor and Onkal 2006; and Surowiecki 2004). In this exercise, a simple trend-line extrapolation is neither expected nor helpful as scholarship is a precursor to imaginative innovation and by definition expected to influence trends in the future that are yet to exist. Inherent elements of the judgmental methods are based on certain assumptions and subjective bias. My approach in this paper is not devoid of these elements; I have adopted the subjective approach within the judgmental-qualitative method.

Type
Chapter
Information
South Asia 2060
Envisioning Regional Futures
, pp. 254 - 260
Publisher: Anthem Press
Print publication year: 2013

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×