Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-vvkck Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T13:56:48.299Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

1 - American Macroeconomic Growth in the Era of Knowledge-Based Progress: The Long-Run Perspective

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 March 2008

Moses Abramovitz
Affiliation:
Stanford University, Emeritus
Paul David
Affiliation:
All Souls College, University of Oxford and Stanford University
Stanley L. Engerman
Affiliation:
University of Rochester, New York
Robert E. Gallman
Affiliation:
University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill
Get access

Summary

OVERVIEW AND ORGANIZATION OF THE CHAPTER

This chapter focuses on the nature of the macroeconomic growth process that has characterized the United States experience, and manifested itself in the changing pace and sources of the rise of real output per capita in the U.S. economy during the past two hundred years. Our main interest is, indeed, in the twentieth century, but we believe that its major characteristics and the nature of the underlying forces at work are most clearly seen in comparisons between the century just past and the one that came before.

A key observation that emerges from the long-term quantitative economic record is that the proximate sources of increases in real gross domestic product per capita in the century between 1889 and 1989 were quite different from those which obtained during the first one hundred years of the American national experience. Baldly put, the national ecomomy moved from an extensive to an increasingly intensive mode of growth, and its development at the intensive margin has become more and more dependent upon the acquisition and exploitation of technological and organizational knowledge.

Our first objective, therefore, must be to assemble and describe the components of the U.S. macroeconomic record in some quantitative detail, in a manner that exposes the nature and dimensions of the contrast between the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. We approach this task within the well-established framework of “growth accounting.” This enables us to show the secular acceleration that occurred in the growth rate of total factor productivity, which is the weighted average of the productivities of capital and labor, and the growth in the importance of total factor productivity as a source of labor productivity and per capita output increases.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2000

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abramovitz, Moses and David, Paul A., “Convergence and Deferred Catch-up: Productivity Leadership and the Waning of American Exceptionalism.” In Landau, Ralph, Taylor, Timothy, and Wright, Gavin (eds.), The Mosaic of Economic Growth (Stanford 1996).Google Scholar
Abramovitz, Moses and David, Paul A., “Technological Change and the Rise of Intangible Investments: The U.S. Economy’s Growth-Path in the Twentieth Century,” in Employment and Growth in the Knowledge-Based Economy: OECD Documents (Paris, 1996).Google Scholar
Abramovitz, Moses, “Rapid Growth Potential and Its Realization: the Experience of Capitalist Economies in the Postwar Period,” in Malinvaud, Edmond, ed., Economic Growth and Resources, vol. I, The Major Issues (London, 1979)Google Scholar
Abramovitz, Moses, Inventories and Business Cycles, with Special Reference to Manufacturers’ Inventories (New York, 1950).Google Scholar
Abramovitz, Moses, Thinking About Growth [New York, 1989], chap. 6).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arora, Ashish, Landau, Ralph, and Rosenberg, Nathan (eds.), Chemicals and Long-Term Economic Growth: Insights from the Chemical Industry (New York, 1998).Google Scholar
Atack, Jeremy, “Economies of Scale and Efficiency Gains in the Rise of the Factory in America, 1820–1900,” in Kilby, Peter (ed.), Quantity and Quiddity: Essays in U.S. Economic History (Middle-town, CT, 1987)Google Scholar
Baumol, William J., Blackman, Sue Ann Batey, and Wolff, Edward N., Productivity and American Leadership: The Long View (Cambridge, MA, 1989)Google Scholar
Beniger, James R., The Control Revolution: Technological and Economic Origins of the Information Society (Cambridge, MA, 1986).Google Scholar
Bresnahan, Timothy F. and Trajtenberg, Manuel, “General Purpose Technologies: Engines of Growth,” Journal of Econometrics, 65 (1995)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Broadberry, S. N., The Productivity Race: British Manufacturing in International Perspective, 1850–1990 (Cambridge, England, 1997).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chandler, Alfred D. Jr., The Visible Hand: The Managerial Revolution in American Business (Cambridge, MA, 1977).Google Scholar
Christensen, Laurits R. and Jorgenson, Dale W., “Measuring Economic Performance in the Private Sector,” in Moss, Milton (ed.), The Measurement of Economic and Social Performance, Studies in Income and Wealth, vol. 38 (Chicago, 1973).Google Scholar
David, Paul A. and Wright, Gavin, “Increasing Returns and the Genesis of American Resource Abundance,” Industrial and Corporate Change, 6 (1997).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
David, Paul A. and Wright, Gavin, “Early Twentieth Century Productivity Growth Dynamics: An Inquiry into the Economic History of ‘Our Ignorance’.” Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper No. 98–3, (1999).Google Scholar
David, Paul A. and Wright, Gavin, “General Purpose Technologies and Surges in Productivity: Historical Reflections on the Future of the ICT Revolution,” University of Oxford Discussion Papers in Economic and Social History (1999).Google Scholar
David, Paul A., “Computer and Dynamo: The Modern Productivity Paradox in a Not-Too-Distant Mirror,” in ,OECD, Technology and Productivity: The Challenge for Economic Policy (Paris, 1991).Google Scholar
David, Paul A., “General-purpose Engines, Investment and Productivity Growth: from the Dynamo Revolution to the Computer Revolution,” in Deiaco, E., Hornell, E., and Vickery, G. (eds.), Technology and Investment: Crucial Issues for the 1990s (London, 1991)Google Scholar
David, Paul A., “The Dynamo and the Computer: An Historical Perspective on the Productivity Paradox”, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 80 (1990)Google Scholar
David, Paul A., “Real Income and Economic Welfare Growth in the Early Republic” (1996).Google Scholar
David, Paul A., Technical Choice, Innovation, and Economic Growth (Cambridge, England, 1975)Google Scholar
Davis, Lance E., Eastetlin, Richard A., Parker, William N., et al., American Economic Growth: An Economist’s History of the United States (New York, 1972)Google Scholar
de la Escosura, Leandro Prados [“International Comparisons of Real Product, 1820–1990: An Alternative Data Set,” Explorations in Economic History 37 (2000)Google Scholar
de Tocqueville, Alexis, Democracy in America (1840; reprint, New York, 1945), vol. II.Google Scholar
Denison, Edward F. and Chung, William, How Japan’s Economy Grew So Fast (Washington, D.C., 1976)Google Scholar
Denison, Edward F., The Sources of Growth in the United States and the Alternatives before Us (New York, 1962).Google Scholar
Denison, Edward F., Why Growth Rates Differ (Washington, D.C., 1967)Google Scholar
Duesenberry, James, Business Cycles and Economic Growth (New York, 1958).Google Scholar
Easterlin, Richard, “Industrial Revolution and Mortality Revolution: Two of a Kind?Evolutionary Economics, 5 (1995)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Easterlin, Richard, Population, Labor Force, and Long Swings in Economic Growth: The American Experience (New York, 1968).Google Scholar
Field, Alexander J., “Modern Business Enterprise as a Capital-Saving Innovation,” Journal of Economic History, 47 (1987).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Field, Alexander J., “The Relative Productivity of American Distribution, 1869–1992,” Research in Economic History, 16 (1996).Google Scholar
Fishlow, Albert, “Productivity and Technological Growth in the Railroad Sector, 1840–1910, in Brady, Dorothy S. (ed.), Output Employment and Productivity in the United States after 1800, Studie in Income and Wealth, vol. 30 (New York, 1966)Google Scholar
Goldin, Claudia and Katz, Lawrence F., “The Origins of Technology-Skill Complementarity,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113 (1998).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldin, Claudia, “America’s Graduation from High School,” Journal of Economic History, 58 (1998).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldsmith, Raymond, A Study of Savings in the United States, vol. 3 (Princeton, 1956).Google Scholar
Gustavus, Susan O. and Nam, Charles B., “Estimates of the ‘True’ Educational Distribution of the Adult Population of the United States from 1910 to 1960,” Demography, 5 (1968).Google Scholar
Helpman, Elhanan, ed., General Purpose Technologies and Economic Growth (Cambridge, MA, 1998)Google Scholar
Hounshell, David, From the American System to Mass Production, 1800–1932 (Baltimore, 1984).Google Scholar
Jorgenson, Dale W., Gollop, Frank, and Fraumeni, Barbara, Productivity and U.S. Economic Growth (Cambridge, MA, 1987).Google Scholar
Kendrick, John W., Productivity Trends in the United States (Princeton, 1961)Google Scholar
Kuznets, Simon, National Product since 1869 (New York, 1946).Google Scholar
Licht, Walter (Getting Work: Philadelphia, 1840–1950, Cambridge MA, 1992Google Scholar
Maddison, Angus, Dynamic Forces of Capitalist Development (Oxford, 1991).Google Scholar
Maddison, Angus, Monitoring the World Economy (Paris, 1995).Google Scholar
Nelson, Richard, “Aggregate Production Functions and Medium-Range Growth Projections,” American Economic Review, 54 (1964).Google Scholar
Ohkawa, Kazushi and Rosovsky, Henry, Japanese Economic Growth: Trend Acceleration in the Twentieth Century (Stanford, 1973).Google Scholar
Rosenberg, Nathan, Perspectives on Technology (Cambridge, England, 1976).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rosovsky, Henry, Capital Formation in Japan, 1868–1940 (New York, 1961)Google Scholar
Sokoloff, Kenneth L., “Productivity Growth in Manufacturing during Early Industrialization: Evidence from the American Northeast, 1820–1860,” in Engerman, Stanley L. and Gallman, Robert E. (eds.), Long-Term Factors in American Economic Growth, Studies in Income and Wealth, vol. 51 (Chicago, 1986).Google Scholar
,U.S. Bureau of the Census, Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970 (Washington, D.C., 1975).
Williamson, H. F. and Daum, A. R., The American Petroleum Industry (Evanston, 1959)Google Scholar
Williamson, H. F. et al., The American Petroleum Industry: The Age of Energy, 1899–1959 (Evanston, 1963)Google Scholar
Wright, Gavin, “The Origin of American Industrial Success, 1879–1940,” American Economic Review, 80 (1990).Google Scholar
Yates, JoAnne, Control through Communication: The Rise of System in American Management (Baltimore, 1989).Google Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×