Skip to main content
×
Home
Brexit

Book description

In June 2016, the United Kingdom shocked the world by voting to leave the European Union. As this book reveals, the historic vote for Brexit marked the culmination of trends in domestic politics and in the UK's relationship with the EU that have been building over many years. Drawing on a wealth of survey evidence collected over more than ten years, this book explains why most people decided to ignore much of the national and international community and vote for Brexit. Drawing on past research on voting in major referendums in Europe and elsewhere, a team of leading academic experts analyse changes in the UK's party system that were catalysts for the referendum vote, including the rise of the UK Independence Party (UKIP), the dynamics of public opinion during an unforgettable and divisive referendum campaign, the factors that influenced how people voted and the likely economic and political impact of this historic decision.

Reviews

‘It would be hard to come up with a better line-up of analysts to dig into both the long- and short-term drivers of Britain's decision to leave the EU. Whether you're a Leaver or a Remainer, the vote for Brexit needs explaining - and this is just the book to do it.'

Tim Bale - Queen Mary University of London and author of The Conservative Party from Thatcher to Cameron

'Do not read Brexit - unless you want truth rather than propaganda, objectivity rather than bias and evidence rather than prejudice. Harold D. Clarke, Matthew Goodwin and Paul F. Whiteley have written a book that will still be standing when the post-truth claims of those on both sides of the referendum have rightly crumbled to dust.'

Peter Kellner - former President of YouGov

'Clarke, Goodwin and Whiteley have written what is sure to be a standard reference on Brexit. A wonderfully written history of the rise of the UKIP and the Brexit referendum lead to a diverse array of empirical analyses: a survey of UKIP members, longitudinal national surveys and pre-post referendum surveys. Instead of simple explanations, they show the variety of diverse factors that produced the final referendum outcome and discuss the implications for British politics going forward.'

Russell J. Dalton - University of California, Irvine

‘An empirically rich and insightful analysis of the dynamics of the Brexit vote. Essential reading for understanding the social and political forces underlying one of the most important and consequential electoral decisions of our times.’

Lawrence LeDuc - Professor Emeritus, University of Toronto

'Brexit: Why Britain Voted to Leave the European Union isn't a book of opinions about why the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union but a close look at what the statistics tell us. It's an … informative read.'

Sue Magee Source: The Bookbag (www.thebookbag.co.uk)

'The British public does not have a settled view on Europe. … The authors conclude that the British are not unusually racist among Europeans … The British appear easily swayed.'

Danny Dorling Source: The Times Higher Education

    • Aa
    • Aa
Refine List
Actions for selected content:
Select all | Deselect all
  • View selected items
  • Export citations
  • Download PDF (zip)
  • Send to Kindle
  • Send to Dropbox
  • Send to Google Drive
  • Send content to

    To send content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about sending content to .

    To send content to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about sending to your Kindle.

    Note you can select to send to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be sent to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

    Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

    Please be advised that item(s) you selected are not available.
    You are about to send:
    ×

Save Search

You can save your searches here and later view and run them again in "My saved searches".

Please provide a title, maximum of 40 characters.
×

This list contains references from the content that can be linked to their source. For a full set of references and notes please see the PDF or HTML where available.


Daron Acemoglu , Simon Johnson and James A. Robinson. 2001. ‘The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation’. American Economic Review 91: 1369–401.

Klause Armingeon and Basir Ceka . 2014. ‘The Loss of Trust in the European Union during the Great Recession since 2007: The Role of Heuristics from the National Political System’. European Union Politics 15: 82107.

Kenneth Arrow and Gerard Debreu . 1954. ‘Existence of an Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy’. Econometrica 22: 265–90.

K. Arzheimer 2009. ‘Contextual Factors and the Extreme Right Vote in Western Europe, 1980–2002’. American Journal of Political Science 53: 259–75.

Robert Barro . 1991. ‘Economic Growth in a Cross-Section of Countries’. Quarterly Journal of Economics 106: 407–33.

242 Robert Barro . 1999. ‘Determinants of Democracy’, Journal of Political Economy 107(6.2): S158S183.

Robert Barro and J. W. Lee . 1994. ‘Sources of Economic Growth’. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 40(June): 146.

H.-G. Betz 1993. ‘The New Politics of Resentment: Radical Right-Wing Populist Parties in Western Europe’. Comparative Politics 25: 413–27.

Vernon Bogdanor . 2016. ‘Europe and the Sovereignty of the People’. Political Quarterly 87: 348–51.

Hajo G. Boomgaarden , Andreas R. T. Schuck , Matthijs Elenbaas and Claes H. deVreese . 2011. ‘Mapping EU Attitudes: Conceptual and Empirical Dimensions of Euroscepticism and EU Support’. European Union Politics 12: 241–66.

C. Boix 1998. Political Parties, Growth and Equality: Conservative and Social Democratic Strategies in the World Economy. Cambridge University Press.

David Butler and Uwe W. Kitzinger . 1996. The 1975 Referendum, 2nd edn. London: Macmillan.

David Butler and Austin Ranney , eds. 1994. Referendums around the World: The Growing Use of Direct Democracy. London: Macmillan.

Sean Carey . 2002. ‘Undivided Loyalties: Is National Identity an Obstacle to European Integration?’. European Union Politics 3: 387413.

Harold D. Clarke , David Sanders , Marianne C. Stewart and Paul Whiteley . 2004. Political Choice in Britain. Oxford University Press.

Harold D. Clarke , Allan Kornberg and Thomas J. Scotto . 2009a. Performance Politics and the British Voter. Cambridge University Press.

Harold D. Clarke , Paul Whiteley , Walter Borges , David Sanders and Marianne C. Stewart . 2016b. ‘Modelling the Dynamics of Support for a Right-Wing Populist Party: The Case of UKIP’. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 26: 135–54.

Daniel Daianu , Giorgio Basevi , Carlo D’Adda and Rajeesh Kumar , eds. 2014. The Eurozone Crisis and the Future of Europe. London: Palgrave Macmillan.

Gerard Debreu . 1974. ‘Excess Demand Functions’. Journal of Mathematical Economics 1: 1523.

Claes H. DeVreese and Hajo G. Boomgaarden . 2005. ‘Projecting EU Referendums: Fear of Immigration and Support for European Integration’. European Union Politics 6: 5982.

D. Dickey and W. Fuller . 1979. ‘Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root’. Journal of the American Statistical Association 74(366): 427–31.

C. Dustmann , T. Frattini and I. P. Preston . 2013. ‘The Effect of Immigration along the Distribution of Wages’. Review of Economic Studies 80(1): 145–73.

Richard C. Eichenberg and Russell J. Dalton. 1993. ‘Europeans and the European Community: The Dynamics of Public Support for European Integration’. International Organization 47: 507–34.

K Featherston . and C. M. Radaelli , eds. 2003. The Politics of Europeanization. Oxford University Press.

R. C. Feenstra , R. Inklaar and M. P. Timmer . 2015. ‘The Next Generation of the Penn World Table’. American Economic Review 105: 3150–82.

Robert Ford and Matthew J. Goodwin . 2011. ‘Angry White Men: Individual and Contextual Predictors of Support for the British National Party’. Political Studies 58: 125.

Mark Franklin , Michael Marsh and Lauren McLaren . 1994. ‘Uncorking the Bottle: Popular Opposition to European Unification in the Wake of Maastricht’. Journal of Common Market Studies 32: 455–73.

Mark Franklin , Cees van der Eijk and Michael Marsh .1995. ‘Referendum Outcomes and Trust in Government: Public Support for Europe in the Wake of Maastricht’. West European Politics 18: 101–17.

Matthew. Gabel 1998. Public Support for European Integration: An Empirical Test of Five Theories’. Journal of Politics 60: 333–54.

Matthew Gabel and Harvey Palmer . 1995. ‘Understanding Variation in Public Support for European Integration’. European Journal of Political Research 27: 319.

Matthew Gabel and Kenneth Scheve . 2007. ‘Mixed Messages: Party Dissent and Mass Opinion on European Integration’. European Union Politics 8: 3759.

Matthew Gabel and Guy D. Whitten . 1997. ‘Economic Conditions, Economic Perceptions, and Public Support for European Integration’. Political Behavior 19: 8196.

Geoffrey. Garrett 1998. Partisan Politics in the Global Economy. Cambridge University Press.

246 Richard Haesly . 2001. ‘Euroskeptics, Europhiles and Instrumental Europeans: European Attachment in Scotland and Wales’. European Union Politics 2: 81102.

Armen Hakhverdian , Erika van Elsas , Wouter van der Brug and Theresa Kuhn . 2013. ‘Euroscepticism and Education: A Longitudinal Study of 12 EU Member States, 1973–2010’. European Union Politics 14: 522–41.

R. E. Hall and C. I. Jones 1999. ‘Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much More Output Per Worker Than Others?’. Quarterly Journal of Economics 114: 83116.

Timothy Hellwig . 2014. Globalization and Mass Politics: Retaining the Room to Maneuver. Cambridge University Press.

B. D. Hennig 2016. ‘Trade Inside the European Union’. Political Insight 7(3): 20–1.

Simon Hix . 2004. The Political System of the European Union. London: Palgrave Macmillan.

Sara. Hobolt 2007. ‘Taking Cues on Europe? Voter Competence and Party Endorsement in Referendums on EU Integration’. European Journal of Political Research 46: 151–82.

Sara Hobolt and Catherine E. deVries . 2016. ‘Public Support for European Integration’. Annual Review of Political Science 19: 413–32.

Sara Hobolt and Christopher Wratil . 2015. ‘Public Opinion and the Crisis: The Dynamics of Support for the Euro’. Journal of European Public Policy 22: 238–51.

247 Liesbet Hooghe and Gary Marks . 2005. ‘Calculation, Community and Cues: Public Opinion on European Integration’. European Union Politics 6: 419–43.

Liesbet Hooghe and Gary Marks . 2009. ‘A Postfunctionalist Theory of European Integration: From Permissive Consensus to Constraining Dissensus’. British Journal of Political Science 39: 123.

Liesbet Hooghe , Gary Marks and Carole J Wilson . 2004. ‘Does Left/Right Structure Party Positions on European Integration?’, in G. Marks and M. R. Steenbergen , eds., European Integration and Political Conflict. Cambridge University Press.

E. Huber and J. D. Stephens . 2001. Development and Crisis of the Welfare State: Parties and Policies in Global Markets. University of Chicago Press.

Ronald Inglehart . 1970. ‘Cognitive Mobilization and European Identity’. Comparative Politics 3: 4570.

Will Jennings and Gerry Stoker . 2016. ‘The Bifurcation of Politics: Two Englands’. Political Quarterly 87: 372–82.

Soren Johansen . 1991. ‘Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models’. Econometrica 59: 1551–80.

Robert Johns , James Mitchell and Christopher J. Carman . 2013. ‘Constitution or Competence? The SNP’s Re-Election in 2011’. Political Studies 61: 158–78.

D. Kaufmann , A. Kraay and M. Mastruzzi . 2007. ‘Growth and Governance: A Reply’. Journal of Politics 69: 555–62.

S. Knack and P. Keefer 1997. ‘Does Social Capital Have an Economic Payoff: A Cross Country Investigation’. Quarterly Journal of Economics 112: 1251–88.

M. Kurtz and A. Shrank . 2007. ‘Growth and Governance: Models, Measures, and Mechanism’. Journal of Politics 69: 538–54.

Michael S. Lewis-Beck , Richard Nadeau and Martial Foucault . 2013. ‘The Compleat Economic Voter: New Theory and British Evidence’. British Journal of Political Science 43: 241–61.

Lauren M. McLaren 2003. ‘Anti-Immigrant Prejudice in Europe: Contact, Threat Perception, and Preferences for the Exclusion of Migrants’. Social Forces 81: 909–36.

Lauren M. McLaren 2012. ‘The Cultural Divide in Europe: Migration, Multiculturalism and Political Trust’. World Politics 64: 199241.

Lauren McLaren and Mark Johnson . 2007. ‘Resources, Group Conflict and Symbols: Explaining Anti-Immigration Hostility in Britain’. Political Studies 55: 709–32.

G. Majone 1994. ‘The Rise of the Regulatory State in Europe’. West European Politics 17: 77101.

Jurgen Maier and Berthold Rittberger . 2008. ‘Shifting Europe’s Boundaries: Mass Media, Public Opinion, and the Enlargement of the EU’. European Union Politics 9: 243–67.

M. Minkenberg and P. Perrineau . 2007. ‘The Radical Right in the European Elections 2004’. International Political Science Review 28: 2955.

M. Moran 2002. ‘Review Article: Understanding the Regulatory State’. British Journal of Political Science 32: 391413.

Cas Mudde . 2007. Populist Radical Right Parties in Europe. Cambridge University Press.

Jonathan H. Nagel and Christopher Wlezien . 2010. ‘Centre-Party Strength and Major-Party Divergence in Britain, 1945–2005’. British Journal of Political Science 40: 279304.

W. Russell Neuman , George E. Marcus , Ann N. Crigler and Michael MacKuen , eds. 2007. The Affect Effect: Dynamics of Emotion in Political Thinking and Behavior. University of Chicago Press.

Pippa Norris . 2011. Democratic Deficit: Critical Citizens Revisited. Cambridge University Press.

250 Douglas C. North 1990. Institutions, Institutional Change, and Economic Performance. Cambridge University Press.

Daniel Oesch . 2008. ‘Explaining Workers’ Support for Right-Wing Populist Parties in Western Europe: Evidence from Austria, Belgium, France, Norway and Switzerland’. International Political Science Review 29: 349–73.

A. Offer and G. So¨derberg . 2016. The Nobel Factor: The Prize in Economics, Social Democracy, and the Market Turn. Princeton University Press.

Jacques-Couvas Piris . 2010. The Lisbon Treaty: A Legal and Political Analysis. Cambridge University Press.

Leonard Ray . 2003. ‘When Parties Matter: The Conditional Influence of Party Positions on Voter Opinions about European Integration’. Journal of Politics 65: 978–94.

David Romer . 1994. ‘The Origins of Endogenous Growth’. Journal of Economic Perspectives 8: 322.

Richard Rose . 1980. Do Parties Make a Difference? New York: Macmillan.

Jens Rydgren . 2002. ‘Radical Right Populism in Sweden: Still a Failure, but for How Long?’. Scandinavian Political Studies 25: 2756.

M. G. Schmidt 1996. ‘When Parties Matter: A Review of the Possibilities and Limits of Partisan Influence on Public Policy’. European Journal of Political Research 30: 155–83.

Norman Schofield . 1993. ‘Political Competition and Multiparty Coalition Government’. European Journal of Political Research 23: 133.

Christopher Sims . 1980. ‘Macroeconomics and Reality’. Econometrica 48: 148.

Marco R. Steenbergen and D. J. Scott . 2004. ‘Contesting Europe? The Salience of European Integration as a Party Issue’, in G. Marks and M. R. Steenbergen , eds., European Integration and Political Conflict. Cambridge University Press.

Marco R. Steenbergen , Erica E. Edwards and Catherine E. de Vries . 2007. ‘Who’s Cueing Whom? Mass–Elite Linkages and the Future of European Integration’. European Union Politics 8: 1335.

James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson . 2001. ‘Vector Autoregressions’. Journal of Economic Perspectives 15: 1010–15.

Donald E. Stokes 1963. ‘Spatial Models of Party Competition’. American Political Science Review 57: 368–77.

D. H. Swank and R. Eisinga . 1999. ‘Economic Outcomes and Voting Behavior in a Multi-Party System: An Application to the Netherlands’. Public Choice 101: 195213.

Hiro Toda and Taku Yamamoto . 1995. ‘Statistical Inference in Vector Autoregressions with Possibly Integrated Process’. Journal of Econometrics 66: 225–50.

J. Vandenbussche , P. Aghion and C. Meghir . 2006. ‘Growth, Distance to Frontier and Composition of Human Capital’. Journal of Economic Growth 11(2): 97127.

Cees Van der Eijk and Mark N. Franklin . 2004. ‘Potential for Contestation on European Matters at National Elections in Europe’, in G. Marks and M. R. Steenbergen , eds., European Integration and Political Conflict. Cambridge University Press.

Rens Vliegenthart , Andreas R. T. Schuck , Hajo G. Boomgaarden and Claes H. De Vreese . 2008. ‘News Coverage and Support for European Integration 1990–2006’. International Journal of Public Opinion Research 20: 415–39.

252 Konstantin Vossing . 2015. ‘Transforming Public Opinion about European Integration: Elite Influence and Its Limits’. European Union Politics 16: 157–75.

Colleen Ward , Stephen Bochner and Adrian Furnham . 2001. The Psychology of Culture Shock. London: Routledge.

H. Werts , P. Scheepers and M. Lubbers 2013. ‘Euro-Scepticism and Radical Right-Wing Voting in Europe, 2002–2008: Social Cleavages, Socio-Political Attitudes and Contextual Characteristics Determining Voting for the Radical Right’. European Union Politics 14: 183205.

Richard Whitaker and Philip Lynch . 2011. ‘Explaining Support for the UK Independence Party at the 2009 European Parliament Elections’. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 21: 359–79.

Paul. Whiteley 2000. ‘Economic Growth and Social Capital’. Political Studies 48(3): 443–66.

Paul Whiteley and Patrick Seyd . 2002. High-Intensity Participation: The Dynamics of Party Activism in Britain. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.

Paul Whiteley , Patrick Seyd and Anthony Billinghurst . 2006. Third-Force Politics: Liberal Democrats at the Grassroots. Oxford University Press.

Paul Whiteley , Harold D. Clarke , David Sanders and Marianne C. Stewart . 2013. Affluence, Austerity and Electoral Change in Britain. Cambridge University Press.

Paul Whiteley , Harold D. Clarke , David Sanders and Marianne C. Stewart . 2016. ‘Hunting the Snark: A Reply to “Re-Evaluating Valence Models of Political Choice”’. Political Science Research and Methods 4: 221–40.

L. R. Wray 2016. Why Minsky Matters: An Introduction to the Work of a Maverick Economist. Princeton University Press.

Metrics

Full text views

Total number of HTML views: 162
Total number of PDF views: 2527 *
Loading metrics...

Book summary page views

Total views: 2121 *
Loading metrics...

* Views captured on Cambridge Core between 27th April 2017 - 20th September 2017. This data will be updated every 24 hours.