This chapter is devoted to a summary presentation of my calculations of Russian national income by end use for the period 1885 to 1913. These results are summarized in two tables. Table 3.1 supplies annual estimates of net national product (NNP) in constant 1913 prices; Table 3.2 gives NNP in prices of the current year. Chapter 4 provides an overview of estimation techniques and data sources; the actual details of the calculations are given in Appendixes A-M at the end of this book.

The organization of this chapter is as follows: First, the annual estimates themselves are presented. Second, the various potential biases discussed in the preceding chapter are considered. Third, the national income figures are compared with the estimates of Raymond Goldsmith and of S. N. Prokopovich for overlapping periods (1885–1913 for Goldsmith and 1900 and 1913 for Prokopovich). They are also compared with the “production indexes” of V. E. Varzar for the years 1887, 1900, and 1913. Fourth, an alternate calculation of NNP by sector of origin is offered. This alternate national income index involves a substantive revaluation of the Goldsmith series using the more recent evidence on agricultural production and services uncovered in the course of this study. First, let me turn to the estimates themselves.

THE NNP ESTIMATES, 1885–1913

Annual estimates of tsarist NNP are given in Tables 3.1 and 3.2.