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9 - The Size of Opinion Coalitions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Saul Brenner
Affiliation:
University of North Carolina, Charlotte
Joseph M. Whitmeyer
Affiliation:
University of North Carolina, Charlotte
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Summary

Rohde (1972) viewed opinion coalition formation on the Court as a bargain between the majority opinion writer and the other justices on the Court wherein the majority opinion writer will alter her ideal opinion in exchange for the other justices' votes. Although the majority opinion writer will desire an opinion that reflects her ideal position, she would be willing to modify it to obtain sufficient additional votes for it so that her opinion will be an authoritative opinion of the Court (also known as a majority opinion), instead of a plurality opinion. Four votes will be needed if eight or nine justices are participating in the case. The majority opinion writer, however, would be unwilling to change her opinion after a minimum winning (MW) vote is secured, and the other justices will not join the opinion unless additional changes are made. As a consequence, opinion coalitions on the Supreme Court will be MW.

This MW model pertains only to nonthreat cases (i.e., to cases in which no outside group is threatening the Court). In threat cases, Rohde argued, the Court is likely to form a united front against the threat. In other words, some justices would be willing to vote against their ideological predispositions to protect the Court against the threat.

This model is based on a number of unrealistic assumptions. First, Rohde assumes that the majority opinion writer will seek an opinion that reflects her views.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2009

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