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The Carryover Effect in Presidential Elections

  • Walter J. Stone (a1)
  • DOI:
  • Published online: 01 August 2014

The carryover hypothesis asserts that participants' candidate support behavior in the general election is affected by their preferences for their party's nomination. This paper examines data from activist and national sample surveys for evidence of a carryover effect in the 1980 election. There is a detectable carryover effect on voting behavior both for activists and for citizens generally. Among activists, where evidence about candidate support behaviors beyond voting is available, the effect on such activity is substantial, and increases with the effort associated with the general election activity in question.

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John H. Aldrich 1983. A Downsian Spatial Model with Party Activism. American Political Science Review, 77:974–90.

Leon D. Epstein 1978. Political Science and Presidential Nominations. Political Science Quarterly, 93:177–95.

Gregory B. Markus 1982. Political Attitudes During an Election Year: A Report on the 1980 NES Panel Study. American Political Science Review, 76:538–60.

Denis G. Sullivan 19771978. Party Unity: Appearance and Reality. Political Science Quarterly, 92:635–45.

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American Political Science Review
  • ISSN: 0003-0554
  • EISSN: 1537-5943
  • URL: /core/journals/american-political-science-review
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