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Climate risk and food availability in Guatemala

  • Renato Vargas (a1), Maynor Cabrera (a2), Martin Cicowiez (a3), Pamela Escobar (a1), Violeta Hernández (a1), Javier Cabrera (a4) and Vivian Guzmán (a1)...

Abstract

In this paper, we use a computable general equilibrium model to simulate the effects of drought and a decrease in agricultural productivity caused by climate change in Guatemala. A reduction in agricultural productivity would mean a considerable drop in crop and livestock production, and the resulting higher prices and lower household income would mean a significant reduction in the consumption of agricultural goods and food. The most negative effects of a drought would be concentrated in agriculture, given its intensive use of water. Because agricultural production is essential to ensuring food availability, these results suggest that Guatemala needs a proper water-distribution regulatory framework.

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Copyright

Corresponding author

*Corresponding author. Email: renovargas@gmail.com

References

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Climate risk and food availability in Guatemala

  • Renato Vargas (a1), Maynor Cabrera (a2), Martin Cicowiez (a3), Pamela Escobar (a1), Violeta Hernández (a1), Javier Cabrera (a4) and Vivian Guzmán (a1)...

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