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Does an EMILY's List Endorsement Predict Electoral Success, or Does EMILY Pick the Winners?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 June 2010

Rebecca J. Hannagan
Affiliation:
Northern Illinois University
Jamie P. Pimlott
Affiliation:
Niagara University
Levente Littvay
Affiliation:
Central European University

Abstract

Women's political action committees (PACs)—those committees founded by women to raise money for women candidates—have been and will likely continue to be an important part of American electoral politics. In this article, we investigate the impact of EMILY's List, because it is the standard bearer of women's PACs and is commonly cited as crucial to women's electoral success. Empirical studies of EMILY's List impact to date have largely assumed causal inference by using traditional linear models. We use a propensity score–matching model to leverage on causality and find that an EMILY endorsement helps some candidates and hurts others. Our findings set the stage for further and more nuanced investigations of when, where, and how EMILY's List can enhance the likelihood of electoral success for women.

Type
Features
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2010

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Does an EMILY's List Endorsement Predict Electoral Success, or Does EMILY Pick the Winners?
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