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A mix of community-based conservation and protected forests is needed for the survival of the Endangered pygmy hippopotamus Choeropsis liberiensis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 June 2016

Annika Hillers*
Affiliation:
RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, The Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, The Lodge, Sandy, Bedfordshire, SG19 2DL, UK
Graeme M. Buchanan
Affiliation:
RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, The Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, The Lodge, Sandy, Bedfordshire, SG19 2DL, UK
Jerry C. Garteh
Affiliation:
Society for the Conservation of Nature of Liberia, Congotown, Monrovia, Liberia
Solomon M. Tommy
Affiliation:
Gola Rainforest National Park, Kenema, Sierra Leone
Mohamed L. Fofana
Affiliation:
Gola Rainforest National Park, Kenema, Sierra Leone
Jeremy A. Lindsell
Affiliation:
A Rocha International, London, UK
*
(Corresponding author) E-mail annika.hillers@rspb.org.uk
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Abstract

The contribution of protected areas to biodiversity conservation is well attested but many taxa in many regions remain dependent on the unprotected wider landscape. To develop conservation plans for large mammals such as the Endangered pygmy hippopotamus Choeropsis liberiensis of West Africa's Upper Guinea Forests it is critical to understand the importance of unprotected land. Despite being a conservation priority, little is known about the habitat associations of this species, or its distribution across its range. Through a combination of field surveys, species distribution models and community questionnaires we investigated the use of unprotected areas by the pygmy hippopotamus in the Sierra Leone–Liberia border region. We found signs of the species in 128 of 525 1-km2 cells surveyed. Our analysis suggested that the species is reasonably widespread in this region and is associated with major rivers. It occurred close to, but rarely within, large areas of intact forest, and 80.4% of pygmy hippopotamus signs were recorded outside protected areas. The expansion of the protected area network in this area is unrealistic in Sierra Leone and to some extent in Liberia, mainly because of anthropogenic pressure and the overlap of proposed protected areas with mining and logging concessions. Thus pygmy hippopotamus conservation activities in the region need to include programmes on community lands while maintaining a robust network of protected forests. Community-based conservation of the pygmy hippopotamus may prove valuable for other threatened and endemic species that are not confined to protected areas in this region.

Type
Papers
Copyright
Copyright © Fauna & Flora International 2016 

Introduction

Protected areas are the foundation for global efforts to conserve biodiversity and natural ecosystem processes (Rodrigues et al., Reference Rodrigues, Andelman, Bakarr, Boitani, Brooks and Cowling2004; Laurance et al., Reference Laurance, Sayer and Cassman2014). However, analysis of threatened birds, mammals, amphibians and reptiles at both continental and global scales suggests that protected areas offer inadequate coverage of the ranges of these groups (De Klerk et al., Reference De Klerk, Fjeldså, Blyth and Burgess2004; Rodrigues et al., Reference Rodrigues, Andelman, Bakarr, Boitani, Brooks and Cowling2004; Beresford et al., Reference Beresford, Buchanan, Donald, Butchart, Fishpool and Rondinini2011a,Reference Beresford, Buchanan, Donald, Butchart, Fishpool and Rondininib; Butchart et al., Reference Butchart, Clarke, Smith, Sykes, Scharlemann and Harfoot2015). Multiple-use landscapes and unprotected areas are important for species survival (Gardner et al., Reference Gardner, Caro, Fitzherbert, Banda and Lalbhai2007; Perfecto & Vandermeer, Reference Perfecto and Vandermeer2010), especially where the existing network of protected areas does not entirely cover species’ ranges and suitable habitats; e.g. for some large mammalian carnivores (Forrest et al., Reference Forrest, Bomhard, Budiman, Coad, Cox and Dinerstein2011; Swanepoel et al., Reference Swanepoel, Lindsey, Somers, van Hoven and Dalerum2013) and migratory herbivores (Western et al., Reference Western, Russell and Cuthill2009). In some cases the expansion of the protected area network is recommended for more effective protection (Forrest et al., Reference Forrest, Bomhard, Budiman, Coad, Cox and Dinerstein2011; Tweh et al., Reference Tweh, Lormie, Kouakou, Hillers, Kühl and Junker2015) but this may not always be feasible (Butchart et al., Reference Butchart, Clarke, Smith, Sykes, Scharlemann and Harfoot2015), especially in regions where conservation efforts compete with other land uses, such as logging, mineral extraction and agriculture. In many tropical regions, such land use conflicts represent a threat not only to remaining natural habitats outside protected areas but even to the protected areas themselves (Forrest et al., Reference Forrest, Bomhard, Budiman, Coad, Cox and Dinerstein2011; Laurance et al., Reference Laurance, Useche, Rendeiro, Kalka, Bradshaw and Sloan2012; Tweh et al., Reference Tweh, Lormie, Kouakou, Hillers, Kühl and Junker2015). A rapidly increasing human population is predicted to result in a further major expansion of tropical agriculture and associated encroachment of protected areas, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa and South America (Laurance et al., Reference Laurance, Sayer and Cassman2014). The persistence of large mammals in such regions will therefore depend to a great extent on their ability to survive in such mixed landscapes.

Within the forest zone of West Africa, protected areas cover c. 15% of the remaining Upper Guinean Forest ecosystem (CEPF, 2000). In Liberia and Sierra Leone only 2 and 5% of the total land area, respectively, is officially protected (Junker et al., Reference Junker, Boesch, Freeman, Mundry, Stephens and Kühl2015; UNEP, 2015). These figures suggest that the protected area coverage in the region is inadequate, and falls below the Convention on Biological Diversity Aichi Target of at least 17% (CBD, 2010). Meanwhile, forests in this region have been severely depleted and fragmented in recent decades (Mittermeier et al., Reference Mittermeier, Robles Gil, Hoffman, Pilgrim, Brooks and Goettsch Mittermeier2004). Where forests are cleared they are replaced with low-intensity rotational agriculture.

The remaining forests harbour a number of threatened large mammals, some of which are known to range beyond the bounds of protected areas (Merz, Reference Merz1986; Junker et al., Reference Junker, Blake, Boesch, Campbell, du Toit and Duvall2012, Reference Junker, Boesch, Freeman, Mundry, Stephens and Kühl2015). Of these, the pygmy hippopotamus Choeropsis liberiensis, categorized as Endangered on the IUCN Red List (Ransom et al., Reference Ransom, Robinson and Collen2015), is the largest species that is entirely endemic to the Upper Guinean Forest and is therefore amongst the most vulnerable to habitat loss and fragmentation in the region. The pygmy hippopotamus is restricted to four countries (Sierra Leone, Liberia, Guinea and Côte d'Ivoire; Lewison & Oliver, Reference Lewison and Oliver2008), all of which are among the least developed countries in the world (UNDP, 2014). In recent decades, forest loss and fragmentation have contributed to a reduction in the occupied range of the species (Lewison & Oliver, Reference Lewison and Oliver2008; Mallon et al., Reference Mallon, Wightman, De Ornellas and Ransom2011; Hodgkinson et al., Reference Hodgkinson, Mallon, Vogt and Ransom2013). The pygmy hippopotamus is also threatened by poaching and human–wildlife conflicts (e.g. Greengrass, Reference Greengrass2011; Hillers & Muana, Reference Hillers and Muana2011; Koroma, Reference Koroma2012; Conway, Reference Conway2013; Conway et al., Reference Conway, Hernandez, Carroll, Green and Larson2015), although there are no detailed data concerning the extent of these threats. Little is known about the ecology and behaviour of the pygmy hippopotamus, and there are no reliable population estimates. The most recent estimate is 2,000–3,000 individuals (Mallon et al., Reference Mallon, Wightman, De Ornellas and Ransom2011). The prevailing view is that protected areas harbour the majority of the population (Mallon et al., Reference Mallon, Wightman, De Ornellas and Ransom2011; IUCN, 2014) but the importance of habitats outside protected areas remains unclear. Although most recent records have come from within protected areas (Collen et al., Reference Collen, Howard, Konie, Daniel and Rist2011; Mallon et al., Reference Mallon, Wightman, De Ornellas and Ransom2011) this may represent sampling bias, as such sites are often targeted for biodiversity surveys. Furthermore, riverine habitats can be poorly represented in protected areas (Nel et al., Reference Nel, Roux, Maree, Kleynhans, Moolman and Reyers2007) but are presumably critical for the pygmy hippopotamus, and in fact protected area status can mean little in a region where many are poorly funded and ineffective (Brugière, Reference Brugière2012; Henschel et al., Reference Henschel, Coad, Burton, Chataigner, Dunn and MacDonald2014).

We undertook surveys for the pygmy hippopotamus both within and outside protected areas to clarify the importance of unprotected areas for this species. We conducted this work in the western part of the species’ range within Sierra Leone and western Liberia (Lewison, Reference Lewison, Wilson and Mittermeier2011). Distribution information from this area is patchy and outdated (e.g. Grubb et al., Reference Grubb, Jones, Davies, Edberg, Starin and Hill1998) but evidence has emerged that besides a well-known site at Tiwai Island (Conway et al., Reference Conway, Hernandez, Carroll, Green and Larson2015) the area around the Gola Rainforest National Park in south-eastern Sierra Leone, and presumably also the Gola National Forest in western Liberia, may constitute an important core area for the species (Hillers, Reference Hillers2013). The discovery of what could be a substantial population highlights how poorly known the species’ distribution is.

We used records of pygmy hippopotamus occurrence collected during field surveys and using community questionnaires to assess the species’ distribution in the Gola region. We used field data to develop species distribution models that predicted the potential distribution of the pygmy hippopotamus, and described the species’ basic habitat associations. We were thus able to identify the extent to which the pygmy hippopotamus might occur in protected and unprotected areas, and where suitable habitat was located both inside and outside the protected area network. Besides advancing our understanding of the role of unprotected areas in general biodiversity conservation in this region, these data are critical if targeted and effective conservation interventions are to be implemented for this species in particular.

Study area

We conducted field work in the Gola Rainforest National Park and its surroundings (c. 1,210,000 ha) in south-eastern Sierra Leone and in the Gola National Forest (initially c. 980,000 ha) in western Liberia, the whole area hereafter referred to as Gola (Fig. 1). After the completion of field work, the area of the Gola National Forest was reduced by 100,000 ha and part of our survey sites that were initially inside the protected area now fall within community land. Natural vegetation in Gola is lowland moist evergreen forest, and annual rainfall is c. 3,000 mm, falling in one season. Dominating families of the woody vegetation are Leguminosae-Caesalpinoideae, Euphorbiaceae, Leguminosae-Mimosoideae and Sterculiaceae (Klop et al., Reference Klop, Lindsell and Siaka2008). The study area is drained by three major rivers: the Moa River to the west; the Moro River, marking the boundary between Sierra Leone and Liberia in the eastern part of Gola; and the Mano River, flowing through the Liberian Gola National Forest and along the international border in the western part of Gola.

Fig. 1 (a) Location of the Gola Forests in Sierra Leone and Liberia in West Africa, and the predicted distribution of the pygmy hippopotamus Choeropsis liberiensis in both countries. (b) The study area around the Gola Rainforest National Park and the Gola National Forest. Areas predicted by the model at the 0.2 threshold and above the 0.57 threshold are indicated by light and dark shading, respectively.

Methods

Data on the distribution of the pygmy hippopotamus were collected by field surveys during 2010–2014 and community questionnaires administered in 2010.

Field surveys

Distribution data were collected by walking along streams and riversides within and around the Gola Rainforest National Park during July 2010–June 2011 and May 2013–April 2014, searching carefully for signs of the species (footprints, trails, dung, feeding sites, wallows, direct sightings), especially where the substrate might preserve footprints or conditions were suitable for a wallow or foraging. We searched sites along the length of the Moro and Mano rivers, tributaries draining the National Park both within and outside the protected area, and parts of the Moa River. These surveys complemented work conducted on and around Tiwai Island (Conway, Reference Conway2013; Conway et al., Reference Conway, Hernandez, Carroll, Green and Larson2015).

In 2010 and 2011 field surveys were partly informed by community questionnaires (below) as the field teams also conducted surveys to confirm the presence of pygmy hippopotamus at places where respondents had stated they had recently seen the species.

Where pygmy hippopotamus signs were found the predominant habitat type was recorded as (1) forest (healthy primary or secondary forest after selective logging), (2) farm bush (regrown vegetation after agricultural rotational activities), (3) plantations of non-natural vegetation, such as oil palm and cocoa, or (4) rivers, streams and swamps, without clear definition of the surrounding habitat type (Hillers & Muana, Reference Hillers and Muana2011; Hillers, Reference Hillers2013).

Focal survey data were supplemented with ad hoc observations from general biodiversity survey data (Fig. 2) from 2010–2014. A terrestrial mammal survey using camera traps covered 272 km2 of Gola Rainforest National Park, Gola National Forest and the intervening community lands during 2011–2013 (Hillers, Reference Hillers2013). Camera traps (PC800 Hyperfire, Reconyx Inc., Holmen, USA) were placed for c. 35 days each at the centre of 1 × 1 km grid cells (located using a global positioning system), using camera positions unbiased by animal signs (Wearn et al., Reference Wearn, Rowcliffe, Carbone, Bernard and Ewers2013).

Fig. 2 Locations of transects, camera traps, and streams surveyed for the pygmy hippopotamus in and around the Gola Rainforest National Park in Sierra Leone and the Gola National Forest in Liberia.

We recorded direct observations (sightings and auditory) and signs (dung, prints, trails, wallows, nests, feeding sites) of all larger mammals (> c. 5 kg) along 11 straight transects in Gola Rainforest National Park, seven transects in community areas (of which five were initially inside the protected Gola National Forest before the protected area was reduced) and 60 transects in Gola National Forest during April 2011–July 2012. Transects were usually 2 km long (13 transects were shorter, 485–1,960 m, because of their location along rivers or borders of the National Park) and 2.5 km apart, arranged on a systematic grid (Hillers, Reference Hillers2013).

Opportunistic observations were recorded throughout the study area (Fig. 3) when signs of pygmy hippopotamus were observed outside the sampling framework of particular surveys (Hillers, Reference Hillers2013).

Fig. 3 Distribution of communities in the Gola region (Fig. 1) where questionnaires about the pygmy hippopotamus were administered, and locations where signs of pygmy hippopotamus were recorded during field surveys. Communities are categorized as (1) those where the pygmy hippopotamus was observed both in the past and at present and fresh signs were recorded, (2) those where the pygmy hippopotamus was observed both in the past and at present but no fresh signs were recorded, (3) those where the pygmy hippopotamus was observed in the past but is no longer present, or (4) those where the pygmy hippopotamus was not observed either in the past or at present. Drainage is shown for a portion of the region for which data were available.

Modelling the potential distribution of the pygmy hippopotamus using field survey data

All of the presence data recorded during the field surveys were used to train maximum entropy models in Maxent 3.3.2 (Phillips et al., Reference Phillips, Anderson and Schapire2006; Phillips & Dudik, Reference Phillips and Dudik2008). Community questionnaire data were not used in the modelling. Environmental conditions (Table 1) in occupied 1-km2 cells (the resolution of the analysis) were compared to those at 10,000 randomly generated pseudo absence points within the model building area (Supplementary Fig. S1), before extrapolation to the whole of Sierra Leone and Liberia. The method of data collection may have introduced some biases into the data (e.g. footprints more likely to be detected in soft substrates) but Maxent appears to be robust to data collected in such an ad hoc way (Franklin, Reference Franklin2009).

Table 1 Explanatory variables used for entropy models.

Only variables that explained at least 1% of the model gain were retained in the final model using backwards deletion (Table 2). The potential of model overfitting was reduced by altering the beta multiplier. A value of 5 produced smooth response curves. The final model was run with 10 cross validations (i.e. the model was re-run 10 times with a different 10% of records removed each time). The mean logistic output from all 10 models was used to produce a binary map of potential distribution, based on the mean training data equal sensitivity and specificity threshold. The number of pygmy hippopotamus in the Gola region was estimated by extrapolation of the extent of potentially suitable habitat and estimates of home range size (Roth et al., Reference Roth, Hoppe-Dominik, Mühlenberg, Steinhauer-Burkart and Fischer2004): females 40–60 ha (midpoint 50 ha used), males > 150 ha, although home ranges of individuals can overlap.

Table 2 Variables included in the model of pygmy hippopotamus Choeropsis liberiensis distribution, with percentage contribution and permutation importance.

1In each iteration of the training algorithm the increase in regularized gain was added to the contribution of the corresponding variable, or subtracted from it if the change to the absolute value of lambda was negative.

2For each variable in turn, the values of that variable on training presence and background data were randomly permuted. The model was reevaluated on the permuted data, and the resulting drop in training AUC is shown, normalized to percentages.

Community questionnaires

Semi-structured questionnaires were administered in 103 communities around Gola Rainforest National Park during July–November 2010. Communities within 4 km of the National Park boundary and/or 2 km of major streams were selected, to increase the probability of encountering people with knowledge of the pygmy hippopotamus.

Only respondents who could identify a pygmy hippopotamus from a set of pictures of large mammals were questioned. They were asked to answer the questions only in relation to the community where the questionnaire was being administered. Interviews were conducted in the local language by National Park staff members. It was stated clearly that the purpose of the questionnaires was not prosecution or punishment and that no personal details of respondents were recorded. Questionnaires were designed and administered following the guidelines of the Association of Social Anthropologists of the UK & Commonwealth (1999).

Respondents were asked about encounters with pygmy hippopotamus (recent and historical) in their locality, behaviour, activity patterns, habitat preferences, diet, and changes in the abundance of pygmy hippopotamus. They were also asked about human–wildlife conflicts, hunting of pygmy hippopotamus, their general attitude towards pygmy hippopotamus, and any traditional uses and beliefs pertaining to the species. Initial questions about each of these subjects could be answered either yes or no, with yes responses leading to additional questions. Answers regarding traditional uses and beliefs, general attitudes towards the pygmy hippopotamus, and the species’ diet are not reported here.

Responses about encounters with the pygmy hippopotamus were mapped and reports of the species’ presence were investigated by field visits. Community localities were categorized as those where the pygmy hippopotamus (1) had never been reported, (2) was reported in the past, (3) was reported to be present but was not verified during field surveys, or (4) was reported and verified as present.

Results

Observed and modelled distribution of the pygmy hippopotamus

Field surveys, including camera trapping, covered 525 1-km2 grid cells. Pygmy hippopotamus and their signs were recorded at 509 locations in 128 of these cells (Fig. 3). Eight of these locations were verified following information received through the community questionnaires. At the 509 locations, 69.9% of signs were footprints or trails, 8.6% were dung, 7.6% were feeding sites, 1.7% were direct sightings or camera-trap photographs, and 0.4% were wallows. The remaining signs (11.8%) were not specified. In some cases multiple signs were recorded at the same location (28.7%).

Habitat descriptions were available for 409 record locations, with the majority of records found in farm bush areas (243; 54.41%), followed by forest (99; 24.21%), and rivers, streams and swamps (66; 16.14%). Only one record of pygmy hippopotamus presence was from a plantation (cocoa).

Footprints (45.8%), feeding sites (51.6%) and dung (54.2%) were mainly recorded in farm bush areas (Fig. 4), whereas direct sightings and camera-trap photographs were mainly recorded in the forest (78.6%). Pygmy hippopotamus trails were mostly recorded in farm bush areas (35.7%) and along rivers, streams and swamps (29.3%). However, the habitats surrounding rivers, streams and swamps were not specified and could be either forest or farm bush areas.

Fig. 4 Percentage of various types of pygmy hippopotamus signs recorded in various habitat types.

The majority of record locations (412; 80.4%) were outside the boundary of the protected areas. The locations were clustered along the larger streams and rivers, such as the Mano and Moro Rivers bordering Sierra Leone and Liberia, and the Moa River.

Modelled pygmy hippopotamus distribution, based on the 128 occupied 1-km2 cells, was most strongly associated with climatic variables and distance to rivers and closed forest, with response curves indicating that areas closer to rivers and forest were more likely to be occupied (Fig. 2). Distance to rivers and to closed forests made a similar percentage contribution to the model (Table 2), perhaps indicating that both variables were of similar importance in determining the distribution (although distance to forest might have been marginally more important given that it makes a larger contribution under permutation testing).

The species distribution model across the 10 cross-validation runs had a mean AUC (area under the curve) of 0.985 ± SD 0.006, indicating the model was a reasonable fit to the data. At the equal sensitivity and specificity threshold (0.206) there was 6,453 km2 of potentially occupied habitat across Sierra Leone and Liberia. The model correctly identified 121 of the 128 locations with sightings but it incorrectly predicted 302 of the 397 apparently unoccupied squares (locations surveyed but at which no signs of pygmy hippopotamus were recorded) to be occupied. This can arise where suitable habitat is unoccupied or where pygmy hippopotamus were undetected in occupied sites, or it may indicate that the model had high sensitivity but low specificity (i.e. it overpredicted potential distribution). A comparison of likelihood of occupancy at these apparent absences with the values at confirmed presences (rather than pseudo absences from the model building process) produced an ROC (receiver operating characteristic) to 0.71, with a revised equal sensitivity and specificity threshold of 0.57. At this threshold 66% of both presences and absences were correctly predicted, and 1,097 km2 across Sierra Leone and Liberia were identified as potentially occupied by the pygmy hippopotamus. This indicates there may be habitat for c. 2,000 female and fewer than c. 600 male pygmy hippopotamus across the two countries. Many of these patches are small and isolated (Fig. 1), perhaps rendering them unsuitable. By far the largest area of potentially suitable habitat is around the Gola region (Fig. 1), where much of the suitable habitat falls outside Gola Rainforest National Park and Gola National Forest (Fig. 1b).

Community perceptions of pygmy hippopotamus distribution

In the majority of communities (78) 2–10 respondents were interviewed. In the remaining 25 communities only one respondent was interviewed, based on the ability to identify a pygmy hippopotamus. Of 271 respondents in 103 communities only five communities reported that pygmy hippopotamus were not currently present or had never been present. Eighty-one communities reported that pygmy hippopotamus were present in the past but were no longer present, and 17 reported that pygmy hippopotamus were present at the time of the study but signs of presence were found in only eight of these locations during follow-up surveys (Fig. 2). Communities where the pygmy hippopotamus was considered (or proven) to be extant were mainly located along the Mano, Moro and Moa Rivers and nearer to the border with Liberia (Fig. 2). The majority of the reported extinctions were along the more heavily settled northern boundary of Gola Rainforest National Park. However, field surveys indicated that the species persists in part of this area (Fig. 2). Over 50% of respondents (148; 54.61%) believed that pygmy hippopotamus were less common than in the past. Respondents attributed the decline to logging (especially the noise of power saw operation; 72 respondents), farming (65), hunting (40), expansion and creation of settlements (11), general habitat destruction and deforestation (5), the sound of guns and shooting during the war (4), mining (3), as well as natural deaths (1) and dry streams (1).

Discussion

Field surveys, species distribution models, and community questionnaires all indicate that in the Gola region the pygmy hippopotamus is generally found in association with streams or swampy areas, mostly outside protected areas, and in close proximity to forests (including protected forests). Closed forest, although of equal or perhaps greater importance than proximity to streams and rivers according to the models, was not the most frequented habitat according to field surveys. However, with the modelling approach used we were unable to definitively identify which was more important. The outputs of the distribution model are supported by the field observations and suggest that the most suitable habitat is in the unprotected, community-owned landscape. In particular, the area along the Moro and Mano Rivers between Sierra Leone and Liberia was predicted to contain extensive habitat suitable for the pygmy hippopotamus. Some of the apparent selection for streams and swampy areas, especially in the analysis of field surveys, might have been because of the targeting of these areas for surveys. These biases might have continued to have an influence on the species distribution models but comparison of occupied areas with such a large number of pseudo absences should reduce the impact of this potential bias. Larger streams and lowland areas are more prevalent in Gola National Forest than Gola Rainforest National Park, which may explain the greater number of detections in the former, despite the higher hunting pressure there (Hillers, Reference Hillers2013; Lahai, Reference Lahai2013). Elsewhere in its range the pygmy hippopotamus is reported to use even small streams under forest cover (Roth et al., Reference Roth, Hoppe-Dominik, Mühlenberg, Steinhauer-Burkart and Fischer2004).

The pygmy hippopotamus’ preference for mainly unprotected farm bush areas may also be linked to the presence of the herbaceaous plant Triumfetta cordifolia (family Tiliaceae; kPuhun in the local language; Hillers & Muana, Reference Hillers and Muana2011). Local people identified this plant as an important food plant for the pygmy hippopotamus.

Our species distribution model is based on data from a small area, and therefore caution should be applied in extrapolating the results to the rest of the pygmy hippopotamus’ range. Areas mapped as potentially suitable (such as around the coast of Sierra Leone) may be covered by habitat that is broadly suitable for the species, yet it may be absent for reasons such as hunting pressure or fragmentation. Of perhaps greater concern is the failure of the model to identify areas in eastern Liberia (e.g. Sapo National Park, Grebo National Forest) where the pygmy hippopotamus is known to occur. The reasons for this are worth investigating but may be linked to differences in land cover (e.g. larger connected forest areas in eastern Liberia).

Our population estimate for the pygmy hippopotamus in Sierra Leone and Liberia alone was close to the estimated global population, which includes populations in Guinea and Côte d'Ivoire. There are a number of possible explanations for this apparent discrepancy between local and global population estimates. Firstly, our model may have overestimated the potential extent of suitable habitat, even after assessing the model based on known absences. Secondly, our model only examined habitat and did not include data on potential exploitation, such as hunting for bushmeat. Thus, although there might be suitable habitat to support a high number of individuals, the actual numbers may be lower as a result of hunting. Under these circumstances, control of hunting could result in an increase in the population. Finally, it is possible that the models were adequate but that the density estimates from previous studies (Roth et al., Reference Roth, Hoppe-Dominik, Mühlenberg, Steinhauer-Burkart and Fischer2004) were unrealistically high and that the previous population estimate is incorrect. With one exception the home range estimations of Roth et al. (Reference Roth, Hoppe-Dominik, Mühlenberg, Steinhauer-Burkart and Fischer2004) were based on translocated individuals. It may be possible that in its natural habitat the pygmy hippopotamus has larger home ranges, which would affect our model and lead to lower estimates of population sizes. Field surveys are needed in areas predicted to be occupied as well as those predicted to be unoccupied, to test the model thoroughly, and improved density estimates in various habitat types are needed. Future field surveys should be structured, using standardized methods. The data used in this analysis were collected by multiple methods, in different years and by multiple observers. Consequently there may be unquantified errors and biases in our data. However, we modelled the data using an approach that has been shown to work well with ad hoc survey data (Franklin, Reference Franklin2009), and at a broad spatial resolution (1 km cells).

The Conservation Strategy for the Pygmy Hippopotamus (Mallon et al., Reference Mallon, Wightman, De Ornellas and Ransom2011) indicates that most recent records of the species are from protected forest areas, and puts considerable emphasis on the importance of protected areas in managing this species. Expansion of the protected area network to cover a greater area of forest should be encouraged, especially in light of the reported low coverage of Sierra Leone and Liberia by protected areas (Junker et al., Reference Junker, Boesch, Freeman, Mundry, Stephens and Kühl2015; UNEP, 2015). Whereas forests in Sierra Leone, Guinea and Côte d'Ivoire are highly fragmented and under significant anthropogenic pressure (Mallon et al., Reference Mallon, Wightman, De Ornellas and Ransom2011), Liberia still has large blocks of forest in the north-west and south-east (Christie et al., Reference Christie, Steininger, Juhn and Peal2007). The Liberian government committed to the protection of 30% of remaining forests in 2003 and again in 2014 (Junker et al., Reference Junker, Boesch, Freeman, Mundry, Stephens and Kühl2015). However, proposed protected areas largely overlap with logging and mining concessions, which jeopardizes further declarations of protected areas.

It may be unfeasible to expand the global protected area network to cover all sites of importance and capture species’ ranges adequately (Butchart et al., Reference Butchart, Clarke, Smith, Sykes, Scharlemann and Harfoot2015). However, our analysis showed that although the pygmy hippopotamus may rely on forest to some unknown extent, protecting forests alone will not protect all of the pygmy hippopotamus’ habitats. Thus, in addition to maintaining a robust network of protected forests, conservationists should also consider community land close to protected areas, especially wet areas along rivers. The complementary conservation value of unprotected areas has previously been shown in various locations and for various species (e.g. Gardner et al., Reference Gardner, Caro, Fitzherbert, Banda and Lalbhai2007; Perfecto & Vandermeer, Reference Perfecto and Vandermeer2010; Forrest et al., Reference Forrest, Bomhard, Budiman, Coad, Cox and Dinerstein2011), and this and other recent surveys have indicated the importance of habitats outside protected areas for threatened species in Sierra Leone and Liberia. More than half of the 70 known breeding colonies of the Vulnerable white-necked picathartes Picathartes gymnocephalus in the Gola region are located on community land around Gola Rainforest National Park (Monticelli et al., Reference Monticelli, Siaka, Buchanan, Wotton, Morris, Wardill and Lindsell2012; Hillers, Reference Hillers2013), and in Liberia a nationwide survey of large mammals revealed that the majority (70%) of western chimpanzees Pan troglodytes verus and some of the most species-diverse mammal communities occur outside protected areas (Tweh et al., Reference Tweh, Lormie, Kouakou, Hillers, Kühl and Junker2015).

There are successful examples of community conservation initiatives that have been applied in various forms and could also work in Sierra Leone and Liberia, including community sensitization and outreach programmes (Trewhella et al., Reference Trewhella, Rodrigues-Clark, Corp, Entwistle, Garrett and Granek2005, Steinmetz et al., Reference Steinmetz, Srirattanaporn, Mor-Tip and Seuaturien2014), community-based wildlife monitoring (Danielsen et al., Reference Danielsen, Jensen, Burgess, Altamarino, Alviola and Andrianandrasana2014) and community-based natural resource management (e.g. through community conservancies and wildlife sanctuaries; Brown & Bird, Reference Brown and Bird2011; Garnier et al., Reference Garnier, Hill, Guissamulo, Silva, Witt and Godley2012). In Ghana, at the eastern edge of the Upper Guinea Forest ecosystem, the establishment of a Community Resource Management Area process has proven to be a successful and promising tool for managing forest resources (Asare et al., Reference Asare, Kyei and Mason2013).

Such community-level approaches may also be more successful in addressing threats unrelated to habitat, such as hunting. Within the pygmy hippopotamus’ range several environmental education and outreach programmes focusing on the species’ conservation have been conducted (Steck, Reference Steck2015). However, no follow-up research has investigated the impact and success of these programmes so far, and there is evidence that despite past and ongoing outreach programmes threatened species, including the pygmy hippopotamus, are still being hunted in the Gola region (Koroma, Reference Koroma2012; Hillers, Reference Hillers2013) and in other areas in Liberia (Greengrass, Reference Greengrass2011).

Apart from some areas in north-western and south-eastern Liberia, remaining forests in all pygmy hippopotamus range countries are highly fragmented (Mallon et al., Reference Mallon, Wightman, De Ornellas and Ransom2011) and large-scale exploitation of timber and minerals, as well as the increasing need for agricultural land, are further threatening remaining natural habitats and their biodiversity (Laurance et al., Reference Laurance, Sayer and Cassman2014; Tweh et al., Reference Tweh, Lormie, Kouakou, Hillers, Kühl and Junker2015). Therefore, it is likely that pressures on the pygmy hippopotamus will remain high. Consequently, in addition to the potential expansion of the protected area network in Liberia (Junker et al., Reference Junker, Boesch, Freeman, Mundry, Stephens and Kühl2015) community-based conservation activities and community management of unprotected sites, including effective land-use planning, are likely to become an important tool for conservation in West Africa. Approaches that empower communities as well as improving biodiversity should be encouraged, especially with a view to meeting the Sustainable Development Goals (UN, 2015).

Acknowledgements

This work was funded by Basel Zoo, Switzerland, and the European Union. We thank partners of the Gola Rainforest National Park and the project Across the River—A Transboundary Peace Park for Sierra Leone and Liberia: the Forestry Division of the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Food Security, the Conservation Society of Sierra Leone, the Liberian Forestry Development Authority, the Society for the Conservation of Nature of Liberia, BirdLife International, Vogelbescherming Nederland and the Royal Society for the Protection of Birds. Andrew Muana, Sheku Massaquoi, Mohamed Kallon, Muana M. Konneh, Umaru Bockarie, Lahai Kanneh, Trokon S. Grimes, Alex T. Johnson, Mawehn B. Koenig, Aaron Dayeker, Daniel K. Harris, Mohamed Koroma, Mohamed F. Kallon and Prince Soriba helped with field data collection, with contributions from additional Gola Rainforest National Park research technicians, local guides, and Jessica Ganas. This paper is dedicated to our late colleagues Andrew Muana and Sheku Massaquoi.

Biographical sketches

Annika Hillers’ work focuses on the sustainable management of protected areas and the conservation of threatened species in West Africa. Graeme Buchanan works primarily on the use of spatial data to answer applied conservation questions, from local to global scales. Jerry Garteh is a biologist with a strong interest in practical conservation and human–wildlife interactions in Liberia. Solomon Tommy has a special interest in community involvement for the effective protection of natural habitats and threatened species in Sierra Leone. Mohamed Fofana works to facilitate the monitoring of wildlife populations to contribute to the effective management of protected areas and their biodiversity in Sierra Leone. Jeremy Lindsell works on a range of practical tropical forest conservation projects and is interested in the role of protection and the impact of degradation on tropical forests and their threatened species.

Footnotes

* Also at: Gola Rainforest National Park, Kenema, Sierra Leone
To view supplementary material for this article, please visit http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S003060531600020X

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Figure 0

Fig. 1 (a) Location of the Gola Forests in Sierra Leone and Liberia in West Africa, and the predicted distribution of the pygmy hippopotamus Choeropsis liberiensis in both countries. (b) The study area around the Gola Rainforest National Park and the Gola National Forest. Areas predicted by the model at the 0.2 threshold and above the 0.57 threshold are indicated by light and dark shading, respectively.

Figure 1

Fig. 2 Locations of transects, camera traps, and streams surveyed for the pygmy hippopotamus in and around the Gola Rainforest National Park in Sierra Leone and the Gola National Forest in Liberia.

Figure 2

Fig. 3 Distribution of communities in the Gola region (Fig. 1) where questionnaires about the pygmy hippopotamus were administered, and locations where signs of pygmy hippopotamus were recorded during field surveys. Communities are categorized as (1) those where the pygmy hippopotamus was observed both in the past and at present and fresh signs were recorded, (2) those where the pygmy hippopotamus was observed both in the past and at present but no fresh signs were recorded, (3) those where the pygmy hippopotamus was observed in the past but is no longer present, or (4) those where the pygmy hippopotamus was not observed either in the past or at present. Drainage is shown for a portion of the region for which data were available.

Figure 3

Table 1 Explanatory variables used for entropy models.

Figure 4

Table 2 Variables included in the model of pygmy hippopotamus Choeropsis liberiensis distribution, with percentage contribution and permutation importance.

Figure 5

Fig. 4 Percentage of various types of pygmy hippopotamus signs recorded in various habitat types.

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