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The 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts

Introduction

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 October 2014

James E. Campbell*
Affiliation:
University at Buffalo, SUNY

Abstract

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Type
Symposium: The 2014 Midterm Election Forecasts
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2014 

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References

REFERENCES

Abramowitz, Alan I. 2010. The Disappearing Center: Engaged Citizens, Polarization, and American Democracy. New Haven, CT: Yale.Google Scholar
Abramowitz, Alan I., Cover, Albert D., and Norpoth, Helmut. 1986. “The President’s Party in Midterm Elections: Going from Bad to Worse.” American Journal of Political Science 30 (3): 562–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bean, Louis H. 1948. How to Predict Elections. New York: Knopf.Google Scholar
Campbell, Angus. 1966. “Surge and Decline: A Study of Electoral Change.” In Elections and the Political Order, ed. Campbell, A., Converse, P. E., Miller, W. E., and Stokes, D. E.. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 2010. “Explaining Politics, Not Polls: Examining Macropartisanship with Recalibrated NES Data.” Public Opinion Quarterly 74 (4): 616–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, James E. 1997. The Presidential Pulse of Congressional Elections, Second Edition. Lexington: The University Press of Kentucky.Google Scholar
Campbell, James E. 1987. “Evaluating the 1986 Congressional Election Forecasts.” PS: Political Science and Politics 20 (1): 3742.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, James E. 1986. “Forecasting the 1986 Midterm Elections to the House of Representatives.” PS: Political Science and Politics 19 (1): 8387.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Campbell, James E. and Garand, James C.. 1996. “A Special Issue on Forecasting the 1996 Elections.” American Politics Quarterly 24 (4): 403–7.Google Scholar
Grofman, Bernard, Brunell, Thomas L., and Koetzle, William. 1998. “Why Gain in the Senate but Midterm Loss in the House? Evidence from a Natural Experiment.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 23 (1): 7989.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Petrocik, John R. and Steeper, Frederick T.. 1986. “The Midterm Referendum: The Importance of Attributions of Responsibility.” Political Behavior 8 (3): 206–9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pew Research Center. 2014. Political Polarization in the American Public . www.pewresearch.org
Press, O. C. 1956. “The Prediction of Midterm Elections.” Western Political Quarterly 9 (3): 691–98.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tufte, Edward R. 1975. “Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections.” American Political Science Review 69 (3): 812–26.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
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