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    • Publisher:
      Cambridge University Press
      Publication date:
      29 October 2009
      17 October 2002
      ISBN:
      9780511606472
      9780521806534
      9780521001267
      Dimensions:
      (228 x 152 mm)
      Weight & Pages:
      0.554kg, 268 Pages
      Dimensions:
      (228 x 152 mm)
      Weight & Pages:
      0.437kg, 268 Pages
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    Book description

    Unwelcome surprises in the life of any organization can often be traced to the failure of an assumption that the organization's leadership didn't anticipate or had 'forgotten' it was making. Assumption-based planning (ABP) is a tool for identifying as many as possible of the assumptions underlying the plans of an organization and bringing those assumptions explicitly into the planning process. This book presents a variety of techniques for rooting out those vulnerable, crucial assumptions. The book also presents steps for monitoring all the vulnerable assumptions of a plan, for taking actions to control those vulnerable assumptions where possible, and for preparing the organization for the potential failure of those assumptions where control is not possible. The book provides a variety of examples and practical advice for those interested in carrying out an application of ABP in the fields of business, management, strategic planning, engineering, and in military applications.

    Reviews

    ‘… an impressively flexible and pragmatic approach makes extensive use of scenarios. In my view this is one of the most useful methods for stress-testing a plan … the process spelt out in the book can be applied to all fields of planning and Dewar utilises his real world experience to suggest different methods for implementing the five steps of ABP. This pragmatic approach makes the book very useful for practitioners …’.

    Source: The Business Economist

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    Contents

    • Frontmatter
      pp i-viii
    • Contents
      pp ix-x
    • Figures
      pp xi-xii
    • Preface
      pp xiii-xvi
    • Acknowledgments
      pp xvii-xviii
    • 1 - The essence of Assumption-Based Planning
      pp 1-13
    • 2 - A taxonomy of assumptions
      pp 14-31
    • 3 - Step 1: identifying assumptions
      pp 32-63
    • 4 - Step 2: identifying load-bearing, vulnerable assumptions
      pp 64-90
    • 5 - Step 3: identifying signposts
      pp 91-107
    • 6 - Step 4: developing shaping actions
      pp 108-120
    • 7 - Step 5: developing hedging actions
      pp 121-153
    • 8 - The art of conducting ABP
      pp 154-171
    • 9 - Beyond ABP as a post-planning tool
      pp 172-184
    • Appendix: Assumption-Based Planning and the planning literature
      pp 185-216
    • Bibliography
      pp 217-228
    • Glossary
      pp 229-236
    • Index
      pp 237-248

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