References
Abrams, M. (2012). Mechanistic probability. Synthese 187 (2), 343–75.
Abrams, M. (2015). Equidynamics and reliable inference about frequencies. Metascience 24, 173–88.
Berkovitz, J. (2015). The propensity interpretation of probability: A re-evaluation. Erkenntnis 80, 1–83.
Bertrand, J. (1889). Calcul de Probabilités, Paris: Gauthier Villards.
Blythe, R., and McKane, A. J. (2007). Stochastic models of evolution in genetics, ecology and linguistics. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment 7, P07018.
Bogen, J., and Woodward, J. (1988). Saving the phenomena. The Philosophical Review 97 (3), 303–52.
Bokulich, A. (2008). Explanatory fictions. In Suárez, M., ed., Fictions in Science: Philosophical Essays on Modelling and Idealization, Routledge, pp. 91–109.
Borel, E. (1909). Elements de la Théorie des Probabilités, Paris: A. Heinmann & Fils.
Carnap, R. (1945). The two concepts of probability: The problem of probability. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 5 (4), 513–32.
Carnap, R. (1950). Logical Foundations of Probability, Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Cartwright, N. (1989). Nature’s Capacities and Their Measurement, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Cartwright, N. (1999). The Dappled World: A Study of the Boundaries of Science, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Cox, D. R. (2006). Principles of Statistical Inference, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Daston, L. (1988). Classical Probability in the Enlightenment, Princeton: Princeton University Press.
De Finetti, B. (1937). ‘La prévision: ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives.’ Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré, 7, 1–68
De Finetti, B. (2008). Philosophical Lectures on Probability, Mura, Alberto, ed., Dordrecht: Springer. (English version of De Finetti, B. (1995), Filosofia della Probabilitá, Milan: Il Saggiatore).
Diaconis, P., et al. (2007). Dynamical bias in the coin toss. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM review) 49 (2), 211–35.
Eagle, A. (2004). Twenty-one arguments against propensity interpretations of probability. Erkenntnis 60 (3), 371–416.
Emery, N. (2015). Chance, possibility, and explanation. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 66 (1), 95–120.
Emery, N. (2017). A naturalist guide to objective chance. Philosophy of Science 84 (3), 480–99.
Engel, E. (1992). A Road to Randomness in Physical Systems, Berlin: Springer-Verlag.
Fetzer, J. (1993). Peirce and propensities. In Moore, , ed., Charles S. Peirce and the Philosophy of Science. Tuscaloosa:Alabama University Press, pp. 60–71.
Fisher, R. A. (1930). The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection, Oxford: Clarendon Press.
Frigg, R., and Hoefer, C. (2007). Probability in GRW theory. Studies in the History and Philosophy of Modern Physics 38 (2), 371–89.
Gelman, A., and Hennig, C. (2017). Beyond subjective and objective in statistics. J. R. Statist. Soc. A 180 (4), 967–1033.
Ghirardi, G. C., Rimini, A., and Weber, T. (1986). Unified dynamics for microscopic and macroscopic systems. Physical Review D 34 (2), 470–91.
Gigerenzer, G., et al. (1989). The Empire of Chance: How Probability Changed Science and Everyday Life, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Gillies, D. (2000). Philosophical Theories of Probability, London: Routledge.
Gisin, N., and Percival, I. C. (1992). The quantum state diffusion model applied to open systems. Journal of Physics A: Math Gen 25, 5677.
Goodman, N. (1955). Fact, Fiction and Forecast, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Hacking, I. (1975). The Emergence of Probability, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Hacking, I. (1990). The Taming of Chance, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Hájek, A. (1997). ‘Mises redux’ – redux: Fifteen arguments against finite frequentism. Erkenntnis 45 (2/3), 209–27.
Hájek, A. (2003). What conditional probability could not be. Synthese 137, 273–323.
Hájek, A. (2009). Fifteen arguments against hypothetical frequentism. Erkenntnis 70, 211–35.
Heesterbeek, J. A. P. (2002). A brief history of RO and a recipe for its calculation. Acta Biotheoretica 50, 189–204.
Hewitt, E., and Savage, L. J. (1955). Symmetric measures on Cartesian products. Trans. Amer. Math. Soc. 80, 470–501.
Hoefer, C. (2018). Chance in the World: A Humean Guide to Objective Chance, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Hopf, E. (1932). On causality, statistics and probability. Journal of Mathematics and Physics, 13, 51–102.
Howson, C., and Urbach, P. (2006). Scientific Reasoning: The Bayesian Approach, Open Court Publishing (3rd edition).
Humphreys, P. (1985). Why propensities cannot be probabilities. The Philosophical Review 94 (4), 557–70.
Humphreys, P. (1989). The Chances of Explanation, Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Ismael, J. (2008). Raid! The big, bad bug dissolved. Nous 42 (2), 292–307.
Ismael, J. (Forthcoming). On chance (or why I am only a half-Humean). In Kleinberg, S., ed., Time and Causation in the Sciences, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Keller, J. (1986). The probability of heads. American Math. Monthly, 93, 191–7.
Kermack, W. O., and McKendrick, A. G. (1927). A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics. Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine, 115A, 700–21.
Keynes, J. M. (1921). A Treatise on Probability, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Kimura, M. (1968). The Neutral Theory of Molecular Evolution, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Kolmogorov, A. N. (1933). Foundations of the Theory of Probability, London: Chelsea Books (2nd edition, 1956).
Kucharski, A. (2020). The Rules of Contagion: Why Things Spread and Why They Stop, London: Profile Books.
Laplace, P. S. (1814). A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities, trans. F. W. Truscott and F. L. Emory, New York: Dover.
Lewis, D. (1980). A subjectivist guide to objective chance. In Lewis, D. (1986), Philosophical Papers, vol. 2, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 83–113.
Loewer, B. (2004). David Lewis’ Humean theory of objective chance. Philosophy of Science, 71, 1115–25.
Lyon, A. (2011). Deterministic probability: Neither chance nor credence. Synthese 182: 413–32.
Mayo, D. (1996). Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge, Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Mayo, D. (2018). Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get beyond the Statistics Wars, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
McCullough, P. (2002). What is a statistical model? Annals of Statistics 30 (5), 1225–310.
Mellor, H. (2005). Probability: A Philosophical Introduction, London: Routledge.
Moran, P. (1959). Random processes in genetics. Proc. Cambridge Philos. Society, 54, 60–72.
Morgan, M., and Morrison, M. (1999). Mediating Models: Perspectives on Natural and Social Sciences, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Myrvold, W. C. (2012). Deterministic laws and epistemic chances. In Ben-Menahem, M. Hemmo, (eds.), Probability in Physics, The Frontiers Collection. Berlin: Springer Verlag, pp. 73–85.
Peirce, C. S. (1893). Reply to the necessitarians. The Monist 3, 526–70.
Peirce, C. S. (1910). Note on the doctrine of chances. In Philosophical Writings of Peirce, New York: Dover.
Poincaré, H. (1912). Calcul de Probabilités, 2nd ed., Paris: Gauthier Villars (1st ed., 1898).
Popper, K. (1957), “The Propensity Interpretation of the Calculus of Probability and the Quantum Theory,” in Körner, Stephan, ed., Observation and Interpretation in the Philosophy of Physics, New York: Dover, pp. 65–70.
Ramsey, F. P. (1926). Truth and probability. In The Foundations of Mathematics and Other Logical Essays, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Reichenbach, H. (1915/2008). The Concept of Probability, Open Court Publishers.
Reichenbach, H. (1935/49). The Theory of Probability: An Inquiry into the Logical and Mathematical Foundations of the Calculus of Probability, Berkeley: University of California Press.
Renyi, A. (1955). On a new axiomatic theory of probability. Acta Mathematica Academiae Scientiae Hungaricae, vol. 6, 286–335.
Rice, S. H. (2008). A stochastic version of the Price equation reveals the interplay of deterministic and stochastic processes in evolution. BMC Evolutionary Biology, 8, 262.
Ross, R. (1910). The Prevention of Malaria, London: Murray.
Rowbottom, D. (2013), ‘Bertrand’s paradox revisited: Why Bertrand’s “solutions” are all inapplicable’, Philosophia Mathematica (III), 21, 110–14.
Salmon, W. (1979). Propensities: A discussion review. Erkenntnis, 14, 183–216.
Savage, L. J. (1954). The Foundations of Statistics, New York: Dover.
Skyrms, B. (1977). Resiliency, propensities, and causal necessity. The Journal of Philosophy, LXXIV (11), 704–13.
Sober, E. (2010). Evolutionary theory and the reality of macro-probabilities. In Eels, E. and Fetzer, J., eds., The Place or Probability in Science. Dordrecht: Springer, pp. 133–60.
Stoppard, T. (1969). Rosencrantz and Guildenstern Are Dead. London: Faber and Faber.
Strevens, M. (2003). Bigger than Chaos: Understanding Complexity through Probability, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Strevens, M. (2013). Tychomancy: Inferring Probability from Causal Structure. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Strevens, M. (2016). The reference class problem in evolutionary biology: Distinguishing selection from drift. In Ramsey, G. and Pence, C., eds., Chance in Evolution, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, pp. 145–75.
Suárez, M. (2007). Quantum propensities. Studies in the History and Philosophy of Modern Physics 38 (2), 418–38.
Suárez, M. (2013). Propensities and pragmatism. The Journal of Philosophy, CX (2), 61–92.
Suárez, M. (2017a). Propensities, probabilities, and experimental statistics. In M. Massimi, J. W. Romeijn, and G. Schurz (eds.), EPSA15: Selected Papers: European Studies in Philosophy of Science, 5, pp. 335–45.
Suárez, M. (2017b). Comment on Gelman and Hennig, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A, 180 (4), 1020–1.
Suárez, M. (2018). The chances of propensities. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 69, 1155–77.
Suppes, P. (1962). Models of data. In Nagel, E., Suppes, P., and Tarski, A. (eds.), Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science: Proceedings of the 1960 International Congress. Reprinted in Suppes, P. (1969), Studies in the Methodology and Foundations of Science: Selected Papers from 1951 to 1969, Dordrecht: Springer, pp. 24–35.
Van Fraassen, B. (1993). Quantum Mechanics: An Empiricist View, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Venn, J. (1866). The Logic of Chance, London: McMillan.
von Mises, R. (1928/1957). Probability, Statistics and Truth, 2nd ed. (1957), London: Allen & Unwin.
von Plato, J. (1985). The method of arbitrary functions. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 34 (1), 37–47.
Werndl, C. (2013). On choosing between deterministic and indeterministic models: Underdetermination and indirect evidence. Synthese, 190 (12), 2243–65.
Williamson, J. (2010). In Defence of Objective Bayesianism. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
