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Fuzzy Authoritarian Rule

How Uncertainty Deters Dissent

Expected online publication date:  28 May 2026

Dawn Brancati
Affiliation:
Brown University and Yale University
Nadine Sika
Affiliation:
American University in Cairo

Summary

Many authoritarian regimes, including some of the world's most populous autocracies, such as China and Egypt, often do not make it clear what views, attitudes, and behaviors people may express openly without being sanctioned. This Element investigates how the uncertainty that this style of rule instills among people impacts the effectiveness of repression in deterring dissent. The authors develop a novel argument about how it can magnify the effect of repression by affecting how people understand what repression signals about a regime's resolve to sanction dissent. Their analysis, based on two laboratory experiments conducted in Egypt, confirms their argument and, in the process, challenges aspects of prominent behavioral arguments linking negative emotions to uncertainty. The authors' results imply that repression is least effective against acts of dissent regimes are opposed to the most and are very clear about their resolve to repress them as a result.

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Type
Element
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Online ISBN: 9781009731744
Publisher: Cambridge University Press

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Fuzzy Authoritarian Rule
  • Dawn Brancati, Brown University and Yale University, Nadine Sika, American University in Cairo
  • Online ISBN: 9781009731744
Available formats No formats are currently available for this content.
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Fuzzy Authoritarian Rule
  • Dawn Brancati, Brown University and Yale University, Nadine Sika, American University in Cairo
  • Online ISBN: 9781009731744
Available formats No formats are currently available for this content.
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To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Fuzzy Authoritarian Rule
  • Dawn Brancati, Brown University and Yale University, Nadine Sika, American University in Cairo
  • Online ISBN: 9781009731744
Available formats No formats are currently available for this content.
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