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Forest Product Trade Impacts of an Invasive Species: Modeling Structure and Intervention Trade-Offs

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 September 2016

Jeffrey P. Prestemon ,
Shushuai Zhu ,
James A. Turner ,
Joseph Buongiorno  and
Ruhong Li
Jeffrey P. Prestemon
Affiliation:
Southern Research Station of the U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service
Shushuai Zhu
Affiliation:
Department of Forest Ecology and Management at the University of Wisconsin, Madison
James A. Turner
Affiliation:
Scion (New Zealand Forest Research Institute, Ltd.) in Rotorua, New Zealand
Joseph Buongiorno
Affiliation:
Class of 1933 Bascom and John N. McGovern WARF Professor of Forest Economics and Management in the Department of Forest Ecology and Management at the University of Wisconsin, Madison
Ruhong Li
Affiliation:
Department of Forest Ecology and Management at the University of Wisconsin, Madison
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Abstract

Asian gypsy and nun moth introductions into the United States, possibly arriving on imported Siberian coniferous logs, threaten domestic forests and product markets and could have global market consequences. We simulate, using the Global Forest Products Model (a spatial equilibrium model of the world forest sector), the consequences under current policies of a widespread, successful pest invasion, and of plausible trading partner responses to the successful invasion. We find that trade liberalization would have a negligible effect on U.S. imports of Siberian logs and, consequently, on the risk of a pest invasion. But, if it happened, possibly through trade in other commodities, a successful and widespread pest invasion would have large effects on producers and consumers over the period 2002 to 2030.

Keywords

Asian gypsy mothtradeinvasive specieswelfarespatial equilibrium model
Type
Contributed Papers
Information
Agricultural and Resource Economics Review , Volume 35 , Issue 1 , April 2006 , pp. 128 - 143
Copyright
Copyright © 2006 Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association 

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