This list contains references from the content that can be linked to their source. For a full set of references and notes please see the PDF or HTML where available.
J. H Brown . (1984) On the relationship between abundance and distribution of species. Am. Nat. 124: 255–279.
B. W. T. Coetzee , M. P. Robertson , B. F. N. Erasmus , B. J. van Rensburg and W. Thuiller (2009) Ensemble models predict Important Bird Areas in southern Africa will become less effective for conserving endemic birds under climate change. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. .
J. Elith , C. H. Graham , R. P. Anderson , . (2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species’ distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29: 129–151.
B. F. N. Erasmus , A. Van Jaarsveld , S. L. Chown , M. Kshatriya and K. J Wessels . (2002) Vulnerability of South Africa animal taxa to climate change. Global Change Biol. 8: 679–693.
T. D Evans . (1997) Preliminary density estimates of the population density of the Sokoke Scops Owl Otus ireneae in the East Usambara lowlands, Tanzania. Afr. J. Ecol. 35: 303–311.
G. F. Ficetola , W. Thuiller and C. Miaud (2007) Prediction and validation of the potential global distribution of a problematic alien invasive species — the American bullfrog. Diversity Distrib. 13: 476–485.
C. Gordon , C. Cooper , C. A. Senior , H. Banks , J. M. Gregory , T. C. Johns , J. F. B. Mitchell and R. A Wood . (2000) The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Climate Dynamics 16: 147–168.
C. H. Graham , S. R. Ron , J. C. Santos , C. J. Schneider and C. Moritz (2004) Integrating phylogenetics and environmental niche models to explore speciation mechanisms in dendrobatid frogs. Evolution 58:1781–1793.
L. Hannah , G. Midgley and D. Millar (2002) Climate change-integrated conservation strategies. Global Ecol. Biogeog. 11: 485–495.
P. A. Hernandez , C. H. Graham , L. L. Master and D. L Albert . (2006) The effect of sample size and species characteristics on performance of different species distribution modeling methods. Ecography 29:773–785.
R. J. Hijmans , S. E. Cameron , J. L. Parra , P. G. Jones and A. Jarvis (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. Int. J. Climat. 25:1965–1978.
O. Hoegh-Guldberg , L. Hughes , S. McIntyre , D. B. Lindenmayer , C. Parmesan , H. P. Possingham and D. C Thomas . (2008) Assisted colonization and rapid climate change. Science 321: 345–346.
D. G. Hole , S. G. Willis , D. J. Pain , L. D. Fishpool , S. H. M. Butchart , Y. C. Collingham C. Rahbek and B. Huntley (2009) Projected impacts of climate change on a continent-wide protected area network. Ecol. Lett. 12: 420–431.
R. D Holt . (2009) Bringing the Hutchinsonian niche into the 21st century: Ecological and evolutionary perspectives. Proc. Natl. Ac. Sci. 106: 19659–19665.
B. Huntley , Y. C. Collingham , R. E. Green , G. M. Hilton , C. Rahbek and S. G Willis . (2006) Potential impacts of climatic change upon geographical distributions of birds. Ibis 148: 8–28.
B. Huntley , Y. C. Collingham , S. G. Willis and R. E Green . (2008) Potential impacts of climatic change on European breeding birds. PLoS ONE 3(1): e1439.
W. Jetz , D. S. Wilcove and A. P Dobson . (2007) Projected impacts of climate and land-use change on the global diversity of birds. PLoS Biol 5(6): e157.
A. Jimenez-Valverde , F. Diniz , E. B. de Azevedo and P. A. V Borges . (2009) Species distribution models do not account for abundance: the case of arthropods on Terceira Island. Ann. Zool. Fennici 46: 451–464.
A. Jimenez-Valverde , A. Lira-Noriega , A. T. Peterson and J. Soberon (2010) Marshalling existing biodiversity data to evaluate biodiversity status and trends in planning exercises. Ecol. Res. 25: 947–957.
A. Jimenez-Valverde , J. M. Lobo and J. Hortal (2008) Not as good as they seem: the importance of concepts in species distribution modelling. Divers. Distrib. 14: 885–890.
D. A. Keith , H. R. Akcakaya , W. Thuiller , G. F. Midgley , R. G. Pearson , S. J. Phillips , H. M. Regan , M. B. Araujo and T. G Rebelo . (2008) Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat models. Biol. Lett. 4: 560–563.
J. M. Lamb , T. M. C. Ralph , S. M. Goodman , W. Bogdanowicz , J. Fahr , M. Gajewska , P. J. J. Bates , J. Eger , P. Benda and P. J Taylor . (2008) Phylogeography and predicted distribution of African-Arabian and Malagasy populations of giant mastiff bats, Otomops spp. (Chiroptera: Molossidae). Acta Chiropterol. 10: 21–40.
L. L. Manne and S. L Pimm . (2001) Beyond eight forms of rarity: which species are threatened and which will be next? Anim. Conserv. 4: 221–229.
E. Martinez-Meyer , A. T. Peterson and W. W Hargrove . (2004) Ecological niches as stable distributional constraints on mammal species, with implications for Pleistocene extinctions and climate change projections for biodiversity. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 13: 305–314.
M. L McKinney . (1997) Extinction vulnerability and selectivity: combining ecological and paleontological views. Ann. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 28: 495–516.
C. Parmesan (2006) Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Ann. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 37: 637–669.
R. G. Pearson , C. J. Raxworthy , M. Nakamura and A. T Peterson . (2007) Predicting species’ distributions from small numbers of occurrence records: A test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar. J. Biogeogr. 34:102–117.
S. J. Phillips and M. Dudik (2008) Modeling of species distributions with Maxent: new extensions and a comprehensive evaluation. Ecography 31: 161–175.
S. J. Phillips , R. P. A. Anderson and R. E. S Chapire . (2006) Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecol. Model. 190: 231–259.
J. A. Pounds , M. P. L. Fogden and J. H Campbell . (1999) Biological response to climate change on a tropical mountain. Nature 398: 611–615.
R. A. Pyron , F. T. Burbrink and T. J Guiher . (2008) Claims of potential expansion throughout the U.S. by invasive python species are contradicted by ecological niche models. PLoS ONE 3(8): e2931.
M. R. Raupach , G. Marland , P. Ciais , C. Le Quéré , J. G. Canadell , G. Klepper and C. B Field . (2007). Global and regional drivers of accelerating CO2 emissions. PNAS 104: 10288–10293.
C. J. Raxworthy , C. M. Ingram , N. Rabibisoa and R. G Pearson . (2007) Applications of ecological niche modeling for species delimitation: A review and empirical evaluation using day geckos (Phelsuma) from Madagascar. Syst. Biol. 56: 907–923.
M. R. Recio and E. Virgos (2010) Predictive niche modelling to identify potential areas of conflicts between human activities and expanding predator populations: a case study of game management and the grey mongoose, Herpestes ichneumon, in Spain. Wildl. Res. 37: 343–354.
S. D Ripley . (1966) A notable owlet from Kenya. Ibis 108: 136–137.
L. P. Shoo , C. Storlie , J. VanDerWal , J. Little and S. E Williams . (2011) Targeted protection and restoration to conserve tropical biodiversity in a warming world. Global Change Biol. 17: 186–193.
R. E. Simmons , P. Barnard , W. R. J. Dean , G. F. Midgley , W. Thuiller and G. Hughes (2004) Climate change and birds: perspectives and prospects from southern Africa. Ostrich 75: 295–308.
P. A. Stott , S. F. B. Tett , G. S. Jones , M. R. Allen , J. F. B. Mitchell and G. J Jenkins . (2000) External control of 20th century temperature by natural and anthropogenic forcings. Science 290: 2133–2137.
C. D. Thomas , A. Cameron , R. E. Green , M. Bakkenes , L. J. Beaumont , Y. C. Collingham , B. F. N. Erasmus , M. F. de Siqeira , A. Grainger , L. Hannah , L. Hughes , B. Huntley , A. S. van Jaarsveld , G. F. Midgley , L. Miles , M. A. Ortega-Huerta , A. T. Peterson , O. L. Phillips and S. E Williams . (2004) Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427: 145–148.
J. VanDerWal , L. P. Shoo , C. N. Johnson and S. E Williams . (2009) Abundance and environmental niche: environmental suitability estimated from niche models predicts the upper limit of local abundance. Am. Nat. 174: 282–291.
M. Z. Virani , P. Njoroge and I. Gordon (2010) Disconcerting trends in populations of the endangered Sokoke Scops Owl Otus ireneae in the Arabuko-Sokoke Forest, Kenya Ostrich 81: 155–158.
M. C. Wichmann , F. Jeltsch , W. R. J. Dean , K. A. Moloney and C. Wissel (2003) Implication of climate change for the persistence of raptors in arid savanna. Oikos 102: 186–202.
S. E. Williams , E. E. Bolitho and S. Fox (2003) Climate change in Australian tropical rainforests: an impending environmental catastrophe. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B 270, 1887–1892.
M. S. Wisz , R. J. Hijmans , A. T. Peterson , C. H. Graham and A. Guisan (2008) Effects of sample size on the performance of species distribution models. Diversity Distrib. 14: 763–773.