Skip to main content
×
Home
    • Aa
    • Aa
  • Get access
    Check if you have access via personal or institutional login
  • Cited by 5
  • Cited by
    This article has been cited by the following publications. This list is generated based on data provided by CrossRef.

    González, Lucas 2016. Presidential Popularity and the Politics of Distributing Federal Funds in Argentina. Publius: The Journal of Federalism, Vol. 46, Issue. 2, p. 199.


    Kaushik, Arun Kumar and Pal, Rupayan 2016. Electoral Outcomes and Provision of Public Goods: A Case Study of India. Journal of Comparative Asian Development, Vol. 15, Issue. 1, p. 91.


    Cantú, Francisco and García-Ponce, Omar 2015. Partisan losers' effects: Perceptions of electoral integrity in Mexico. Electoral Studies, Vol. 39, p. 1.


    Casey, Katherine 2015. Crossing Party Lines: The Effects of Information on Redistributive Politics†. American Economic Review, Vol. 105, Issue. 8, p. 2410.


    Luca, Davide and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés 2015. Distributive Politics and Regional Development: Assessing the Territorial Distribution of Turkey’s Public Investment. The Journal of Development Studies, Vol. 51, Issue. 11, p. 1518.


    ×

Testing Models of Distributive Politics using Exit Polls to Measure Voters’ Preferences and Partisanship

Abstract

This article tests several hypotheses about distributive politics by studying the distribution of federal spending across US states over the period 1978–2002. It improves on previous work by using survey data to measure the share of voters in each state that are Democrats, Republicans and Independents, or liberals, conservatives and moderates. No evidence is found that the allocation of federal spending to the states is distorted by strategic manipulation to win electoral support. States with many swing voters are not advantaged compared to states with more loyal voters, and ‘battleground states’ are not advantaged compared to other states. Spending appears to have little or no effect on voters’ choices, while partisanship and ideology have large effects.

Copyright
Footnotes
Hide All

Department of Government and STICERD, London School of Economics and Political Science (email: V.Larcinese@lse.ac.uk); Department of Government, Harvard University, and NBER; and Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, Erasmus University (Rotterdam) and Tinbergen Institute, respectively. We thank participants of seminars at LSE, Harvard, MIT, Columbia, Cambridge, Oxford, Bocconi, Warwick, Ferrara and Pavia. We are grateful to James Alt, Ciro Biderman, John Patty, Albert Sole’ Olle and Vera Troeger for useful comments and suggestions and to Indraneel Sircar for dedicated research assistance. The usual caveat applies. James Snyder gratefully acknowledges the financial support of National Science Foundation Grant SES-0079035. Data and replication material is available at the Dataverse Archive: http://dvn.iq.harvard.edu/dvn/. An online appendix containing additional information is available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0007123412000245.

Footnotes
Linked references
Hide All

This list contains references from the content that can be linked to their source. For a full set of references and notes please see the PDF or HTML where available.

Paul Goren , ‘Party Identification and Core Political Values’, American Journal of Political Science, 49 (2005), 881–96

Stephen Ansolabehere Jonathan Rodden and James M. Snyder Jr., ‘The Strength of Issues: Using Multiple Measures to Gauge Preference Stability, Ideological Constraint, and Issue Voting’, American Political Science Review, 102 (2008), 215–32

Edward G. Carmines John P McIver and James A. Stimson , ‘Unrealized Partisanship: A Theory of Dealignment’, Journal of Politics, 49 (1987), 376–400

Michael B. MacKuen Robert S. Erikson and James A. Stimson , ‘Macropartisanship’, American Political Science Review, 83 (1989), 1125–42

Alan I. Abramowitz and Kyle L. Saunders , ‘Ideological Realignment in the U.S. Electorate’, The Journal of Politics, 60 (1998), 634–52

Nicholas A. Valentino and David O. Sears , ‘Old Times There Are Not Forgotten: Race and Partisan Realignment in the Contemporary South’, American Journal of Political Science, 49 (2005), 672–88

Benjamin I. Page and Robert Y. Shapiro , The Rational Public: Fifty Years of Trends in Americans’ Policy Preferences (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1992)

Assar Lindbeck and Jorgen W. Weibull , ‘Balanced-Budget Redistribution as the Outcome of Political Competition’, Public Choice, 52 (1987), 273–97

David Stromberg , ‘Radio's Impact on Public Spending’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119 (2004), 189–221

James M. Snyder Jr., ‘Election Goals and the Allocation of Campaign Resources,’ Econometrica, 57 (1989), 637–60

Gary W. Cox and Matthew D. McCubbins , ‘Electoral Politics as a Redistributive Game’, Journal of Politics, 48 (1986), 370–89

Martin J. Osborne and Al Slivinski , ‘A Model of Political Competition with Citizen-Candidates’ Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111 (1996), 65–96

David P. Baron and John Ferejohn , ‘Bargaining in Legislatures’, American Political Science Review, 83 (1989), 1181–1206

Richard D. McKelvey and Raymond Riezman , ‘Seniority in Legislatures’, American Political Science Review, 86 (1992), 951–65

Stephen Ansolabehere , James M. Snyder Jr. and Michael M. Ting , ‘Bargaining in Bicameral Legislatures: When and Why Does Malapportionment Matter?’ American Political Science Review, 97 (2003), 471–81

Barry R. Weingast Kenneth A. Shepsle and Christopher Johnsen , ‘The Political Economy of Benefits and Costs: A Neoclassical Approach to Distributive Politics’, Journal of Political Economy, 89 (1981), 642–64

Nolan M. McCarty , ‘Presidential Pork, Executive Veto Power and Distributive Politics’, American Political Science Review, 94 (2000), 117–29

Price V. Fishback Shawn Kantor and John J. Wallis , ‘Can the New Deal Three-R's be Rehabilitated? A County-by-County, Program-by-Program Analysis’, Explorations in Economic History, 40 (2003), 278–307

Valentino Larcinese Leonzio Rizzo and Cecilia Testa , ‘Allocating the US Federal Budget to the States: the Impact of the President’, Journal of Politics, 68 (2006), 447–56

Claude S. Colantoni Terrence J. Levesque and Peter C. Ordeshook , ‘Campaign Resource Allocation Under the Electoral College’, American Political Science Review, 69 (1975), 41–161

John R. Owens and Larry L. Wade , ‘Federal Spending in Congressional Districts’, Western Political Quarterly, 37 (1984), 404–23

Stephen D. Levitt and James M. Snyder Jr., ‘Political Parties and the Distribution of Federal Outlays’, American Journal of Political Science, 39 (1995), 958–80

Steven D. Levitt and James M. Poterba , ‘Congressional Distributive Politics and State Economic Performance’, Public Choice, 99 (1999), 185–216

Stephen Ansolabehere and James M. Snyder Jr., ‘Party Control of State Government and the Distribution of Public Expenditures’, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 108 (2006), 547–69

Michael Johnston , ‘Patrons and Clients, Jobs and Machines: A Case Study of the Uses of Patronage’, American Political Science Review, 73 (1979), 385–98

Hugh Ward and Peter John , ‘Targeting Benefits for Electoral Gain: Constituency Marginality and the Distribution of Grants to English Local Authorities’, Political Studies, 47 (1999), 32–52

Anne Case , ‘Election Goals and Income Redistribution: Recent Evidence from Albania’, European Economic Review, 45 (2001), 405–23

David Denemark , ‘Partisan Pork Barrel in Parliamentary Systems: Australian Constituency-Level Grants’, Journal of Politics, 62 (2000), 896–915

Avinash Dixit and John Londregan , ‘Redistributive Politics and Economic Efficiency’, American Political Science Review, 89 (1995), 856–66

John Zaller and Stanley Feldman , ‘A Simple Theory of the Survey Response: Answering Questions versus Revealing Preferences’, American Journal of Political Science, 36 (1992), 579–616

Larry M. Bartels , ‘Partisanship and Voting Behavior, 1952–1996’, American Journal of Political Science, 44 (2000), 35–50

Ian Budge and Richard I. Hofferbert , ‘Mandates and Policy Outputs: U.S. Party Platforms and Federal Expenditures’, American Political Science Review, 84 (1990), 111–31

Gary King and Michael Laver , ‘On Party Platforms, Mandates, and Government Spending’, American Political Science Review, 87 (1993), 744–50

Gerald Auten Barry Bozeman and Robert Cline , ‘A Sequential Model of Congressional Appropriations’, American Journal of Political Science, 28 (1984), 503–23

Robert X. Browning , ‘Presidents, Congress, and Policy Outcomes: U.S. Social Welfare Expenditures, 1949–1977’, American Journal of Political Science, 29 (1985), 197–215

D. Roderick Kiewiet and Matthew D. McCubbins , ‘Congressional Appropriations and the Electoral Connection’, Journal of Politics, 47 (1985), 59–82

David Lowery Samuel Bookheimer and James Malachowski , ‘Partisanship in the Appropriations Process’, American Politics Quarterly, 13 (1985), 188–99

Alberto Alesina John Londregan and Howard Rosenthal , ‘A Model of the Political Economy of the United States’, American Political Science Review, 87 (1993), 12–33

Mark S. Kamlet and David C. Mowery , ‘Influences on Executive and Congressional Budgetary Priorities, 1955–1981’, American Political Science Review, 81 (1987), 155–78

Stephen Ansolabehere , James M. Snyder Jr. and Charles Stewart III, ‘Candidate Positioning in U.S. House Elections’, American Journal of Political Science, 45 (2001), 136–59

Recommend this journal

Email your librarian or administrator to recommend adding this journal to your organisation's collection.

British Journal of Political Science
  • ISSN: 0007-1234
  • EISSN: 1469-2112
  • URL: /core/journals/british-journal-of-political-science
Please enter your name
Please enter a valid email address
Who would you like to send this to? *
×