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Domestic Flying Geese: Industrial Transfer and Delayed Policy Diffusion in China

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 April 2018

Yuen Yuen Ang
Yuen Yuen Ang*
Affiliation:
University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Email: yuenang@umich.edu.
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Abstract

This study illuminates the important yet under-studied phenomenon of industrial transfer in China: the migration of capital and investment from wealthy coastal areas into poorer central and western provinces, beginning in the 2000s. By 2015, the value of domestic investment in five central provinces alone was 2.5 times that of foreign investment throughout China. Compared to the original “flying geese” model of tiered production in Asia, China's experience is distinct in three ways: (1) industrial transfer occurred domestically, rather than across nations; (2) sub-national transfer followed cross-national transfer; and (3) industrial migration is accompanied by a delayed replication of government policies and practices. While coastal locales today resolve to expel low-end industries, inland governments cannot afford to be selective and have only recently adopted the aggressive investment promotion tactics that coastal cities abandoned years ago. Policy diffusion is delayed as policy adoption depends on economic conditions, which vary widely across China and change over time.

摘要

本文旨在分析中国产业转移这一重要却未被深入研究的现象。该现象出现于 21 世纪初期，指资本与制造产业从发达的沿海地区向贫穷的中西部省份转移。2015 年, 仅中部五个省份吸引的国内投资就已经是全中国外国投资的 2.5 倍。与经典的亚洲 “飞鹅模式” 相比, 中国独特的经验体现在以下三个方面: (1) 产业转移发生于国内, 而非跨国; (2) 国内转移紧随国际转移的步伐; (3) 资本转移伴随着地方政府政策复制上的滞后。当现今沿海发达地区努力驱逐低端产业时, 内陆省份地方政府却无法选择, 最近已采纳了沿海地区多年前就已弃用的激进招商策略。换而言之, 由于政策的采纳取决于地方经济条件, 而中国各地经济条件差异很大, 随着时间的推移变化, 导致政策扩散滞后。

Keywords

industrial transferflying geese modeldelayed policy diffusionindustrial policydomestic investmentregional developmentChina产业转移飞鹅模式政策扩散滞后工业政策省外资金区域发展腾笼换鸟
Type
Research Article
Information
The China Quarterly , Volume 234 , June 2018 , pp. 420 - 443
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Copyright
Copyright © SOAS University of London 2018 

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