Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-9pm4c Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-30T06:38:50.725Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

RESEARCH ARTICLE: Applying Spatial Indicators to Support a Sustainable Urban Future

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 March 2013

Laura Oana Petrov ,
Harutyun Shahumyan ,
Brendan Williams  and
Sheila Convery
Laura Oana Petrov*
Affiliation:
Assistant Professor, Department of Environmental Science—Policy Analysis, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
Harutyun Shahumyan
Affiliation:
Senior Postdoctoral Researcher, School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Policy, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
Brendan Williams
Affiliation:
Lecturer in Urban Development and Urban Economics and Director, Urban Environment Project, Urban Institute Ireland, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; and Visiting Professor, School of Public Policy and Urban Affairs, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts
Sheila Convery
Affiliation:
Project Manager and PhD Candidate, Urban Institute Ireland, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
*
Laura Oana Petrov, Assistant Professor, Department of Environmental Science—Policy Analysis, Aarhus University, Frederiksborgvej 399, Roskilde 4000, Denmark; (phone) +45-871-58638; (e-mail) laura.petrov@gmail.com
Get access

Abstract

Indicators can contribute to land use management, particularly in the context of sustainable urban development. Together with scenario analysis, they are key instruments in producing information for stakeholders and policy makers and aid their understanding of urban development processes. Based on such information, stakeholders and policy makers can understand better the driving forces, the current state of urban development, how their decision can influence the future trends, and what impacts their decisions can have on the urban landscape. This article presents an application of scenario modeling and indicator evaluation for sustainable land use management in the Greater Dublin Region, based on discussions with scientists, policy makers, and stakeholders in order to guarantee its relevance to practice. This research was a core contribution to the Strategic Environmental Assessment and the Habitats Directive Appropriate Assessment procedures (areas for conservation and protection) for the 2010 Regional Planning Guidelines for Dublin.

Environmental Practice 15:19–32 (2013)

Type
Features
Information
Environmental Practice , Volume 15 , Issue 1 , March 2013 , pp. 19 - 32
Copyright
Copyright © National Association of Environmental Professionals 2013

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Bannon, M.J. 1999. The Greater Dublin Region: Planning for Its Transformation and Development. In Dublin: Contemporary Trends and Issues for the Twenty-first Century, Killen, J. and MacLaran, A., eds. Geographical Society of Ireland, Dublin, 1–19.Google Scholar
Barredo, J.I., and Demicheli, L.. 2003. Urban Sustainability in Developing Countries' Megacities: Modelling and Predicting Future Urban Growth in Lagos. Cities 20(5):297–310.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barredo, J.I., Demicheli, L., Lavalle, C., Kasanko, M., and McCormick, N.. 2004. Modelling Future Urban Scenarios in Developing Countries: An Application Case Study in Lagos, Nigeria. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 32(1):65–84.Google Scholar
Barredo, J.I., Kasanko, M., McCormick, N., and Lavalle, C.. 2003. Modelling Dynamic Spatial Processes: Simulation of Future Scenarios through Cellular Automata. Landscape and Urban Planning 64(3):145–160.Google Scholar
Barredo, J., Petrov, L.O., Sagris, V., Lavalle, C., and Genovese, E.. 2005. Towards an Integrated Scenario Approach for Spatial Planning and Natural Hazards Mitigation. EUR 21900 EN. Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg, 50 pp.Google Scholar
Barry, F. 1999. Understanding Ireland's Economic Growth. Macmillan, Basingstoke, England, 257 pp.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Central Statistics Office (CSO). 2008, December 4. Regional Population Projections 2011–2026. CSO, Dublin, 12 pp. Available at http://www.cso.ie and http://www.cso.ie/en/media/csoie/releasespublications/documents/population/current/poppro.pdf.Google Scholar
Commins, N., and Nolan, A.. 2011. The Determinants of Mode of Transport to Work in the Greater Dublin Area. Transport Policy 18(1): 259–268.Google Scholar
Commission of the European Communities (CEC). 2006, October. ESPON Project 3.2 Spatial Scenarios and Orientations in Relation to the ESDP and Cohesion Policy: Final Report. CEC, Brussels, 143 pp. Available at http://www.espon.eu/main/Menu_Projects/Menu_ESPON2006Projects/Menu_CoordinatingCrossThematicProjects/scenarios.html.Google Scholar
Dublin & Mid-East Regional Authorities (D&MERA). 2010, June 15. Regional Planning Guidelines for the Greater Dublin Area 2010–2022. D&MERA, Dublin, 204 pp. Available at http://www.seankenny.ie/news/docs/Regional%20Planning%20Guidelines-Volume%20I.pdf.Google Scholar
Ellis, G., and Kim, J.. 2001. City Profile Dublin. Cities 18(5):355–364.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Engelen, G., Lavalle, C., Barredo, J.I., van der Meulen, M., and White, R.. 2007. The MOLAND Modelling Framework for Urban and Regional Land-Use Dynamics. In Modelling Land-Use Change, Progress and Applications, Koomen, E., Stillwell, J., Bakema, A. and Scholten, H.J., eds. Springer, Dordrecht, Germany, 297–319.Google Scholar
Fischer, G., and Sun, L.. 2001. Model Based Analysis of Future Land-Use Development in China. Agricultural Ecosystems Environmental 85(1-3):163–176.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Forman, R.T.T. 1995. Land Mosaic: The Ecology of Landscape and Region. Cambridge University Press, New York, 632 pp.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grey, T., and Siddall, E.. 2011. Sustainability Indicators Framework 2011. Dublin City Council, Dublin, 56 pp. Available at http://www.creativedublinalliance.ie/assets/2011/12/Sustainability-Indicators-Framework-2011.pdf.Google Scholar
Hagen-Zanker, A., and Lajoie, G.. 2008. Neutral Models of Landscape Change as Benchmarks in the Assessment of Model Performance. Landscape and Urban Planning 86(3-4):284–296.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hopkins, L.D., and Zapata, M.A.. 2007. Engaging the Future: Forecasts, Scenarios, Plans, and Projects. Lincoln Institute of Land Policy, Cambridge, MA, 374 pp.Google Scholar
Horner, A. 1999. Population Dispersal and Development in a Changing City Region. In Dublin: Contemporary Trends and Issues for the Twenty First Century, Killen, J. and MacLaran, A., eds. Geographical Society of Ireland, Dublin, Special Publication no. 11, 55–68.Google Scholar
Hourihan, K. 1989. Urban Change in the Republic of Ireland. Cities 6(3):209–226.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kasanko, M., Barredo, J.I., Lavalle, C., McCormick, N., Demicheli, L., and Sagris, V.. 2006. Are European Cities Becoming Dispersed? A Comparative Analysis of 15 European Urban Areas. Landscape and Urban Planning 77(1-2):111–130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kitchen, P. 2002. Identifying Dimensions of Urban Social Change in Dublin—1986 to 1996. Irish Geography 35(2):156–174.Google Scholar
Kok, K., and Van Delden, H.. 2009. Combining Two Approaches of Integrated Scenario Development to Combat Desertification in the Guadalentin Watershed, Spain. Environmental Planning B: Planning and Design 36(1):49–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kupfer, J.A. 2012. Landscape Ecology and Biogeography: Rethinking Landscape Metrics in a Post-FRAGSTATS. Progress in Physical Geography 36(3):400–420. doi:10.1177/0309133312439594.Google Scholar
Lavalle, C., Barredo, J.I., McCormick, N., Engelen, G., White, R., and Uljee, I.. 2004. The MOLAND Model for Urban and Regional Growth Forecast: A Tool for the Definition and Sustainable Development Paths. EUR 21480 EN. European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy, 22 pp. Available at http://www.riks.nl/resources/papers/EUR_21480_2004_Moland_model.pdf.Google Scholar
Lavalle, C., Demicheli, L., Turchini, M., Casals-Carrasco, P., and Niederhuber, M.. 2001. Monitoring Megacities: The MURBANDY/MOLAND Approach. Development in Practice 11(2-3):350–357.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lavalle, C., McCormick, N., Kasanko, M., Demicheli, L., and Barredo, J.I.. 2003. Monitoring and Forecasting the Dynamics of European Urban Areas—The Territorial Approach as Key for Urban Development Strategies. Urbanistica 121:105–111.Google Scholar
McCormick, N., Lavalle, C., and Barredo, J.I.. 2005. An Example of the Application of Spatial Dynamics Modeling for Evaluating the Future Impact of Land Use Development Decisions. In Proceedings of the 4th Seminar of the PlanNet Europe Network on Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) of Urban Plans and Programs. Ministry of the Brussels–Capital Region, Brussels, 47–55.Google Scholar
McGarigal, K., Cushman, S.A., Neel, M.C., and Ene, E.. 2002. FRAGSTATS: Spatial Pattern Analysis Program for Categorical Maps, version 4.0. University of Massachusetts, Amherst. Available at https://www.zotero.org/shaw6955/items/itemKey/GPK65NWS.Google Scholar
McGarigal, K., and Marks, B.. 1994. FRAGSTATS: Spatial Pattern Analysis Program for Quantifying Landscape Structure, version 2.0. Reference manual. Forest Science Department, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, 134 pp. Available at http://www.umass.edu/landeco/pubs/mcgarigal.marks.1995.pdf.Google Scholar
McGarigal, K., and Marks, B.J.. 1995, August. Fragstats: Spatial Pattern Analysis Program for Quantifying Landscape Structure. General Technical Report PNW-GTR-351. US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR, 122 pp. Available at http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/pubs/gtr_351.pdf.Google Scholar
Ott, W.R. 1978. Environmental Indices: Theory and Practice. Ann Arbor Science, Ann Arbor, MI, 371 pp.Google Scholar
Petrov, L.O., Lavalle, C., and Kasanko, M.. 2009. Urban Land Use Scenarios for a Tourist Region in Europe: Applying the MOLAND Model to Algarve, Portugal. Landscape and Urban Planning 92(1):10–23.Google Scholar
Petrov, L.O., Shahumyan, H., Williams, B., and Convery, S.. 2011. Scenarios and Indicators Supporting Urban Regional Planning. Procedia—Social and Behavioral Sciences 21:243–252.Google Scholar
Rametsteiner, E., Pulzl, H., Alkan-Olsson, J., and Frederiksen, P.. 2011. Sustainability Indicator Development—Science or Political Negotiation? Ecological Indicators 11(1):61–70.Google Scholar
Riitters, K.H., O'Neill, R.V., Hunsaker, C.T., Wickham, J.D., Yankee, D.H., Timmins, S.P., Jones, K.B., and Jackson, B.L.. 1995. A Factor Analysis of Landscape Pattern and Structure Metrics. Landscape Ecology 10(1):23–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rounsevell, M., and Reay, D.. 2009. Land Use and Climate Change in the UK. Land Use Policy 26(Suppl. 1):S160–S169.Google Scholar
Shahumyan, H., Twumasi, B., Convery, S., Foley, R., Vaughan, E., Casey, E., Carty, J., Walsh, C., and Brennan, M.. 2009. Data Preparation for the MOLAND Model Application for the Greater Dublin Region. UCD Urban Institute Ireland Working Paper Series, UCD UII 09/04. UCD Urban Institute, Dublin, 37 pp. Available at http://www.uep.ie/pdfs/WP%200904%20W.pdf.Google Scholar
Southern & Eastern Regional Assembly (S&ERA). 2009, February. Preparation of a Gateway Development Index: Stages 1, 2. S&ERA, Dublin, 77 pp. Available at http://trutzhaase.eu/wp/wp-content/uploads/R-2009-Gateway-Development-Index.pdf.Google Scholar
Turner, M.G., O'Neill, R.V., Gardner, R.H., and Milne, B.T.. 1989. Effects of Changing Spatial Scale on the Analysis of Landscape Pattern. Landscape Ecology 3(3-4):153–162.Google Scholar
Van Delden, H., Luja, P., and Engelen, G.. 2007. Integration of Multi-scale Dynamic Spatial Models of Socio-economic and Physical Processes for River Basin Management. Environmental Modelling Software 22(2):223–238.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weiland, U., Kindler, A., Banzhaf, E., Ebert, A., and Reyes-Paecke, S.. 2011. Indicators for Sustainable Land Use Management in Santiago de Chile. Ecological Indicators 11(5):1074–1083.Google Scholar
White, R., and Engelen, G.. 2000. High-Resolution Integrated Modelling of the Spatial Dynamics of Urban and Regional Systems. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 24(5):383–400.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, R., Engelen, G., and Uljee, I.. 1997. The Use of Constrained Cellular Automata for High-Resolution Modelling of Urban Land-Use Dynamics. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design 24(3):323–343.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Williams, B., Hughes, B., and Redmond, D.. 2010, January 1. Managing an Unstable Housing Market. UCD Urban Institute Ireland Working Paper. UCD UII 10/02. Urban Institute Ireland, Dublin, 19 pp. Available at http://arrow.dit.ie/beschrecart/2/.Google Scholar