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Estimation of second order parameters using probability weighted moments

  • Julien Worms (a1) and Rym Worms (a2)
Abstract

The P.O.T. method (Peaks Over Threshold) consists in using the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) as an approximation for the distribution of excesses over a high threshold. In this work, we use a refinement of this approximation in order to estimate second order parameters of the model using the method of probability-weighted moments (PWM): in particular, this leads to the introduction of a new estimator for the second order parameter ρ, which will be compared to other recent estimators through some simulations. Asymptotic normality results are also proved. Our new estimator of ρ looks especially competitive when  |ρ|  is small.

The P.O.T. method (Peaks Over Threshold) consists in using the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) as an approximation for the distribution of excesses over a high threshold. In this work, we use a refinement of this approximation in order to estimate second order parameters of the model using the method of probability-weighted moments (PWM): in particular, this leads to the introduction of a new estimator for the second order parameter ρ, which will be compared to other recent estimators through some simulations. Asymptotic normality results are also proved. Our new estimator of ρ looks especially competitive when  |ρ|  is small.

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ESAIM: Probability and Statistics
  • ISSN: 1292-8100
  • EISSN: 1262-3318
  • URL: /core/journals/esaim-probability-and-statistics
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