Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-vvkck Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-27T16:50:57.772Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Net Benefits and Residual Cost from U.S. Border Management of the Initially Inadmissible

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 February 2023

Scott Farrow*
Affiliation:
UMBC, Baltimore, MD and USC/CREATE, Los Angeles, CA; USA
*
*Corresponding author: e-mail: farrow@umbc.edu

Abstract

Border management is a government activity affecting immigration and the economy. Benefit–cost and equivalent decision analyses are used to evaluate U.S. border management for 2017. Controversial issues arise. Among these are the issue of standing and the values of asylum, a criminal career, child custodial care, foreign deaths, fiscal and labor market effects, and distributional weighting. Sixteen unique shadow prices (imputed marginal value) are computed. Those shadow pries are combined with proportions and levels of border management outcomes. The aggregate result is not only a large expected present value net benefit per year from managed outcomes of $46.6 billion but also a large residual unmanaged annual cost of $23.7 billion. Significant uncertainty exists, but estimated net benefits remain positive.

Type
Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Society for Benefit Cost Analysis

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

American Immigration Council. 2021. Asylum in the United States: Fact Sheet. Available at https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/research/asylum-united-states (accessed May 17, 2021).Google Scholar
Bansak, Cynthia, Blanco, Abigail Hall, and Coon, Michael. 2022. “Border Fencing, Migrant Flows, and Crossing Deaths.” AEA Papers and Proceedings, 112: 381385.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bazzi, Samuel, Hanson, Gordon, John, Sarah, Roberts, Bryan, and Whitley, John. 2021. “Deterring Illegal Entry: Migrant Sanctions and Recidivism in Border Apprehensions.” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 13(3): 127.Google Scholar
Boardman, Anthony, Greenberg, David, Vining, Aidan, and Weimer, David. 2018. Cost-Benefit Analysis in Theory and Practice. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Border Patrol (US). 1994. Border Patrol Strategic Plan: 1994 and Beyond. Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
Borjas, George. 2014. Immigration Economics. Cambridge, Harvard University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Borjas, George and Katz, Lawrence. 2007. “The Evolution of the Mexican-Born Workforce in the United States.” In Borjas, George. (Ed.) Mexican Immigration to the United States. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bouza, Johayra, Camacho-Thompson, Daisy E., Carlo, Gustavo, Franco, Ximena, García Coll, Cynthia, Halgunseth, Linda C., Marks, Amy, Stein, Gabriela L., Suárez-Orozco, Carola, and White, Rebecca M. B.. 2018. The Science is Clear: Separating Families has Long-term Damaging Psychological and Health Consequences for Children, Families, and Communities. Washington, D.C.: Society for Research in Child Development. Available at FINAL_The Science is Clear_0.pdf (srcd.org) (accessed May 8, 2021).Google Scholar
Cohen, Mark, and Piquero, Alex. 2009. “New Evidence on the Monetary Value of Saving a High Risk Youth.” Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 25: 2549.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Congressional Budget Office (CBO). 2007. The Impact of Unauthorized Immigrants on the Budgets of State and Local Governments, Washington, D.C., 2007.Google Scholar
Dana, David. 2009. “Valuing Foreign Lives and Settlements.” Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 1: 126.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
DHS. 2019a. Border Security Metrics Report, FY 2018 (NDAA report).Google Scholar
DHS. 2020. Refugee and Asylees: 2019. Department of Homeland Security (Ryan Baugh), September.Google Scholar
DHS (Department of Homeland Security). 2018. Population Estimates of the Illegal Population Residing in the US in 2015.Google Scholar
DHS/BP. 2016. Search and Rescue Efforts for FY 2016. Available at Search and Rescue Efforts for 2016 (dhs.gov) (accessed May 17, 2021).Google Scholar
DHS/CBP. 2021. Border Enforcement Statistics. CBP Enforcement Statistics FY2018|U.S. Customs and Border Protection (accessed May 16, 2021).Google Scholar
Dixon, Peter and Rimmer, Maureen. 2009. Restriction or Legalization? Measuring the Economic Benefits of Immigration Reform. Cato Institute, Trade Policy Analysis. August 13.Google Scholar
DOJ. 2019. Office of Executive Immigration Review. Credible Fear and Asylum FY 08-FY19. Available at https://www.justice.gov/eoir/file/1216991/download (accessed May 4, 2021).Google Scholar
Farley, Robert. 2018. Is Illegal Immigration Linked to More or Less Crime? Available at Is Illegal Immigration Linked to More or Less Crime? – FactCheck.org (accessed May 7, 2021).Google Scholar
Farrow, Scott. 1978. The Current and Projected Economic Situation of Spanish Americans in Adams, Franklin, Grant and Yakima Counties. Moses Lake, WA: Prepared for Rural Development Enterprises.Google Scholar
Farrow, Scott. 2011. “Incorporating Equity in Regulatory and Benefit-Cost Analysis Using Risk Based Preferences.” Risk Analysis, 31(6): 902907.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Farrow, Scott. 2015. “Residual Risk Accounting: A Pilot Study.” Review of Income and Wealth, 62(4): 775784.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Farrow, Scott. 2021. “When All Lives Matter Equally: Equity Weights for BCA by Combining the Economics of VSL and US Policy.” Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis: On Balance, March 16, 2021.Google Scholar
Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR). 2017. The Fiscal Burden of Illegal Immigration. O’Brien, Matthew, Raley, Spencer, and Martin, Jack (Eds.). Washington, D.C. Fair Horizon Press.Google Scholar
GAO (US Government Accountability Office). 2020. SOUTHWEST BORDER Actions Needed to Improve DHS Processing of Families and Coordination between DHS and HHS. GAO-20-245, Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
GAO (US Government Accountability Office). 2021. SOUTHWEST BORDER CBP Should Improve Data Collection, Reporting, and Evaluation for the Missing Migrant Program. GAO-22-105053, Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
Hanley, Nick, Shogren, Jason, and White, Ben. 2007. Environmental Economics in Theory and Practice, 2nd edn. Hampshire, England: Palgrave–Macmillan.Google Scholar
Hoekstra, Mark and Orozco-Aleman, Sandra. 2017. “Illegal Immigration, State Law, and Deterrence.” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 9(2): 228252.Google Scholar
Humane Borders (2021). Migrant Death Mapping. Available at https://humaneborders.org/migrant-death-mapping/ (accessed May 4, 2021).Google Scholar
ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement), 2019. Fiscal Year 2017 ICE Enforcement and Removal Operations Report. Available at https://www.ice.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Report/2017/iceEndOfYearFY2017.pdf (accessed February 6, 2023).Google Scholar
Karoly, Lynn, and Perez-Arce, Francisco. 2016. A Cost-Benefit Framework for Analyzing the Economic and Fiscal Impacts of StateLevel Immigration Policies. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation.Google Scholar
Kopczuk, Wojciech, Slemrod, Joel, and Yitzhaki, Shlomo. 2005. “The limitations of decentralized world redistribution: An optimal taxation approach.” European Economic Review, 49(4): 10511079.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Massey, Douglas, Durand, Jorge, and Pren, Karen. 2016. “Why Border Enforcement Backfired.” American Journal of Sociology, 121(5): 15571600.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Miller, Ted, Cohen, Mark, Swedler, David, Ali, Bina, and Hendrie, Delia. 2021. “Incidence and Costs of Personal and Property Crimes in the USA, 2017.” Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 12: 2454.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nagin, Daniel. 2013. “Deterrence in the 21st Century.” In Tonry, Michael. (Ed.), Crime and Justice in America: 1975–2025: 199264. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
National Academy of Science. 2017. The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/23550.Google Scholar
Nowrasteh, Alex. 2017. FAIR’s “Fiscal Burden of Illegal Immigration” Study Is Fatally Flawed” (blog), CATO Institute Blog, September.Google Scholar
OMB (US Office of Management and Budget). 1993. Guidelines for the Conduct of Benefit-Cost Analysis and Discount Rate, Circular A-94. Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
OMB (US Office of Management and Budget). 2003. Guidelines for Benefit-Cost Analysis of Regulations, Circular A-4. Washington, D.C.Google Scholar
Roberts, Bryan. 2017. “Illegal Immigration Outcomes on the Southern Border.” Cato Journal, 37(3): 555572 (with presentation slides from 2016).Google Scholar
Rowel, Arden, and Wexler, Leslie. 2014. “Valuing Foreign Lives.” Georgia Law Review, 48: 499578.Google Scholar
United National Office of Crime and Drugs. 2021. Drug Prices by Country. Available at https://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/data-and-analysis/statistics/drug-trafficking.html (accessed March 15, 2021).Google Scholar
Viscusi, W. Kip and Masterman, Clayton. 2017. “Income Elasticities and Global Values of a Statistical Life.” Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 8(2): 226250.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weimer, David and Vining, Aidan. 2017. Policy Analysis: Concepts and Practice, 6th edn. New York: Routledge.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
West, Darrell. 2011. “The Costs and Benefits of Immigration.” Political Science Quarterly, 126(3): 427444.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White House. 2021. Modernizing Regulatory Review. Available at Modernizing Regulatory Review | The White House (accessed May 17, 2021).Google Scholar
Whittington, Dale and MacRae, Duncan. 1990. “Judgments about Who Has Standing in Cost-Benefit Analysis.” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 9(4): 536547.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Farrow supplementary material

Appendix

Download Farrow supplementary material(File)
File 618.6 KB