Published online by Cambridge University Press: 26 June 2013
Let  $p\gt 2$ be prime. We state and prove (under mild hypotheses on the residual representation) a geometric refinement of the Breuil–Mézard conjecture for two-dimensional mod
$p\gt 2$ be prime. We state and prove (under mild hypotheses on the residual representation) a geometric refinement of the Breuil–Mézard conjecture for two-dimensional mod  $p$ representations of the absolute Galois group of
$p$ representations of the absolute Galois group of  ${ \mathbb{Q} }_{p} $. We also state a conjectural generalization to
${ \mathbb{Q} }_{p} $. We also state a conjectural generalization to  $n$-dimensional representations of the absolute Galois group of an arbitrary finite extension of
$n$-dimensional representations of the absolute Galois group of an arbitrary finite extension of  ${ \mathbb{Q} }_{p} $, and give a conditional proof of this conjecture, subject to a certain
${ \mathbb{Q} }_{p} $, and give a conditional proof of this conjecture, subject to a certain  $R= \mathbb{T} $-type theorem together with a strong version of the weight part of Serre’s conjecture for rank
$R= \mathbb{T} $-type theorem together with a strong version of the weight part of Serre’s conjecture for rank  $n$ unitary groups. We deduce an unconditional result in the case of two-dimensional potentially Barsotti–Tate representations.
$n$ unitary groups. We deduce an unconditional result in the case of two-dimensional potentially Barsotti–Tate representations.
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