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Elites and Turnovers in Authoritarian Enclaves: Evidence from Mexico

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 April 2018

German Petersen
German Petersen*
Affiliation:
Doctoral student in the Department of Government at the University of Texas at Austin.
*
gpetersen@utexas.edu
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Abstract

The year 2010 saw five gubernatorial elections in Mexico in which the PAN and the left built electoral alliances. These alliances were made in states with authoritarian features, where the PRI had never lost the governor’s office. In Oaxaca, Puebla, and Sinaloa the PRI lost, while in Durango and Hidalgo it did not. Why did the electoral outcome differ in similar cases? This article argues that the outcome of each election, turnover or no turnover, depended on the behavior of the elites, both authoritarian and opposition. The PRI lost when the authoritarian elite fractured while the opposition was unified, including the groups that had defected from the established elite.

Keywords

elitesturnoversauthoritarian regimesauthoritarian enclavessubnational politicsdemocratizationMexico

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Type
Research
Information
Latin American Politics and Society , Volume 60 , Issue 2 , May 2018 , pp. 23 - 40
Copyright
Copyright © 2018 University of Miami 

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