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Eddington’s Probability Problem

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 November 2016

H. Wallis Chapman
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Extract

In his New Pathways in Science (p. 121) Sir Arthur Eddington propounds the following problem

“If A, B, C, D each speak the truth once in three times (independently), and A affirms that B denies that C declares that D is a liar, what is the probability that D is speaking the truth ?” and he has dealt with it further in the Mathematical Gazette for October 1935.

Type
Research Article
Information
The Mathematical Gazette , Volume 20 , Issue 241 , December 1936 , pp. 298 - 308
Copyright
Copyright © Mathematical Association 1936

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