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GANDOLF: a system for generating automated nowcasts of convective precipitation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 May 2001

C E Pierce
Affiliation:
Met. Office, London Road, Bracknell, RG12 2SZ, UK
P J Hardaker
Affiliation:
Met. Office, London Road, Bracknell, RG12 2SZ, UK
C G Collier
Affiliation:
Peel Building, University of Salford, Salford, Greater Manchester, M5 4WT, UK
C M Haggett
Affiliation:
The Environment Agency, Kings Meadow House, Kings Meadow Road, Reading, RG1 8DQ, UK
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Abstract

During the past decade hydrologists have become increasingly aware of theproblems of fluvial flood prediction during periods of intense convection,particularly in urbanised catchments whose rainfall-runoff responses tendto be rapid. Existing approaches to deterministic, short-range rainfallprediction are often deficient in their treatment of convectiveprecipitation because they cannot resolve individual convective clouds oreffectively model their evolution. In 1994 the UK Met. Office establisheda joint R&D programme with the Environment Agency (responsible forflood prediction in England and Wales) to explore the benefits of anObject-Oriented conceptual Model (OOM) of convection in the nowcastingof fluvial floods. This involved the development of an automated nowcastingsystem (GANDOLF) designed to run the OOM during episodes of air massconvection. This paper describes the structure and function of the GANDOLFsystem and compares the performance of the OOM with that of two otherprecipitation models routinely used by Thames Region of the Agency.

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Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2000 Royal Meteorological Society

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