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PROSPECTS FOR THE UK ECONOMY

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2020

Cyrille Lenoël
Affiliation:
NIESR. E-mail: c.lenoel@niesr.ac.uk.
Garry Young
Affiliation:
NIESR. E-mail: c.lenoel@niesr.ac.uk.
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Abstract

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Type
Forecast Summaries
Copyright
© National Institute of Economic and Social Research, 2020

Footnotes

Thanks to Jagjit Chadha for helpful comments and suggestions. We also thank Patricia Sanchez Juanino for compiling the database. Unless otherwise stated, the source of all data reported in the figures and tables is the NiGEM database and forecast baseline. The UK forecast analysis was completed on 17 April 2020, more recent data are incorporated in the text.

References

Chadha, J.S. (2019), ‘2019 UK general election briefing: the fiscal rules’, National Institute of Economic and Social ResearchGoogle Scholar
Crafts, N. and Mills, T.C. (2020), ‘Is the UK productivity slowdown unprecedented?’, National Institute Economic Review, 251, R47R53.Google Scholar
Cross, R., Grinfeld, M. and Lamba, H. (2009), ‘Hysteresis and economics’, IEEE Control Systems Magazine, 29(1), pp. 3043.Google Scholar
Göcke, M. (2002), ‘Various concepts of hysteresis applied in economics’, Journal of Economic Surveys, 16(2), pp. 167–88.Google Scholar
Guerrieri, V., Lorenzoni, G., Straub, L. and Werning, I. (2020), Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages? (No. w26918), National Bureau of Economic Research.Google Scholar
Hantzche, A. and Young, G. (2020), ‘Brexit-related forecast assumptions and the political backdrop’, Box A in Prospects for the UK economy, National Institute Economic Review, 251, F22F23.Google Scholar
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