Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-vfjqv Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-25T15:02:00.626Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

From the Red Belt to the Bible Belt? Religiosity and Voting in Russia since 2011

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 June 2022

Andrey Shcherbak*
Affiliation:
Laboratory for Comparative Social Research, Higher School of Economics, St. Petersburg, Russia
Maria Ukhvatova
Affiliation:
Laboratory for Comparative Social Research, Higher School of Economics, St. Petersburg, Russia Saint Petersburg State University, St. Petersburg, Russia
*
Corresponding author. Email: ascherbak@hse.ru

Abstract

The article explores the relationship between Orthodox religiosity and voting in Russia in 2011–2018. Using the theoretical framework of desecularization from above, which claims that church structures play a key role in the religious renaissance policy, we argue that the rise of the political influence of the ROC (Russian Orthodox Church) may be explained by its capacity for dissemination of traditional values that ultimately results in votes for United Russia and President Vladimir Putin in national elections. This study reveals the emergence of a new area on Russia’s political map—the belt – into Belt, which combines higher levels of Orthodox religiosity and pro-Kremlin voting in national elections. Using multiple empirical strategies we construct an index of religiosity on the regional level and identify the Orthodox Belt regions, test the relationship between Orthodox religiosity and voting in the national elections in 2011–2018, and test the differences in value orientations and electoral support between the Orthodox Belt regions and other ones. Finally, two model regions of the Orthodox Belt—Tambov and Lipetsk—are explored. We conclude that non-Orthodox Belt regions in Russia with higher Orthodox religiosity, conservatism, and loyalty are an emerging trend in Russian political geography.

Type
Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Association for the Study of Nationalities

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

ARENA. 2012. Official Website of the ARENA Survey. www.sreda.org/arena. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Berger, Peter L. 1999. The Desecularization of the World. Washington, DC: Ethics and Public Policy Center.Google Scholar
Bogachev, Maksim, and Sorvin, Kirill. 2019. “Politika v Tserkvi: Vozdeystvuyut li svyashchenniki na elektoral’nyye predpochteniya pravoslavnykh veruyushchikh?Mir Rossii. Sotsiologia. Ethnologia 28 (4): 6891.Google Scholar
Bogachev, Maksim. 2016. “Votserkovlennost’ i politicheskiye predpochteniya pravoslavnykh veruyushchikh: Kolichestvennyy analiz.” Religiovedcheskie issledovaniia 13 (1): 876.Google Scholar
De Koster, Willem, and Van der Waal, Jeroen. 2007. “Cultural Value Orientations and Christian Religiosity: On Moral Traditionalism, Authoritarianism, and Their Implications for Voting Behavior.” International Political Science Review 28 (4): 451467.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Filatov, Sergey, and Lunkin, Roman. 2005. “Statistika rossiyskoy religioznosti: Magiya tsifr i neodnoznachnaya real’nost’.” Sotsiologicheskiie issledovaniia 6:3545.Google Scholar
Frye, Timothy, Reuter, Ora John, and Szakonyi, David. 2014. “Political Machines at Work Voter Mobilization and Electoral Subversion in the Workplace.” World politics 66 (2): 195228.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
FOM. 2014. “Votserkvlyonnost’ pravoslavnykh.” July 2014. www.fom.ru/TSennosti/11587. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Gilev, Alexey. 2017. “Politicheskiye mashiny i politicheskii klientelizm v rossiiskikh regionakh.” Politicheskaya nauka 4, 6184.Google Scholar
Glock, Charles Y. 1962. “On the Study of Religious Commitment.” Religious Education 57 (S4): 98110.Google Scholar
Gorod48.ru. 2017. “V Lipetskoi oblasti proshyol flesh-mob protiv abortov.” October 25, 2017. www.gorod48.ru/news/459538/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Gorod48.ru. 2019a. “Ginekolog iz Lipetska poluchila nagradu za otkaz ot abortov.” October 22, 2019. www.gorod48.ru/news/1885694/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Gorod48.ru. 2019b. “V Lipetske proshyol krestnyi khod ‘Za trezvost’!” September 16, 2019. www.gorod48.ru/news/1882416/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Goodnow, Regina, and Moser, Robert G.. 2012. “Layers of Ethnicity: The Effects of Ethnic Federalism, Majority-Minority Districts, and Minority Concentration on the Electoral Success of Ethnic Minorities in Russia.” Comparative Political Studies 45 (2): 167193.Google Scholar
Goodnow, Regina, Moser, Robert G., and Smith, Tony. 2014. “Ethnicity and Electoral Manipulation in Russia.” Electoral Studies 36: 1527.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Golosov, Grigorii. 2014. “The Territorial Genealogies of Russia’s Political Parties and the Transferability of Political Machines.” Post-Soviet Affairs 30 (6): 464480.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guth, James, Kellstedt, Lyman, Smidt, Corwin, and Green, John. 2006. “Religious Influences in the 2004 Presidential Election.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 36 (2): 223242.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hale, Henry. 2003. “Explaining Machine Politics in Russia’s Regions: Economy, Ethnicity, and Legacy.” Post-Soviet Affairs 19 (3): 228263.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hale, Henry. 2007. “Correlates of Clientelism: Political Economy, Politicized Ethnicity, and Post-Communist transition.” In Patrons, Clients, and Policies: Patterns of Democratic Accountability and Political Competition, edited by Kitschelt, Herbert and Wilkinson, Steven I., 227250. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Health Information Portal of the Lipetsk Region. 2018. “Podpisanie soglasheniia o sotrudnichestve mezhdu upravleniiem zdravookhraneniia Lipetskoi oblasti i Lipetskoi mitropolii Russkoi pravoslavnoi tserkvi Moskovskogo patriarkhata.” November 11, 2018. www.uzalo48.lipetsk.ru/node/10462. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Houtman, Dick. 2001. “Class, Culture, and Conservatism.” In The Breakdown of Class Politics: A Debate on Post-Industrial Stratification, edited by Clark, T., Nichols, Terry, and Lipset, Seymour Martin, 161195. Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson Center Press.Google Scholar
Kalashnikov, Sergey. 2017. “Tambovskiie vlasti gotovyatsya k restitutsii.” Kommersant, October 24, 2017. www.kommersant.ru/doc/3447976?from=doc_vrez. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Karpov, Vyacheslav. 2012. “Kontseptual’nyye osnovy teorii desekulyarizatsii.” Gosudarstvo, religiya, tserkov’ v Rossii i za rubezhom 30 (2): 114164.Google Scholar
Kellstedt, Lyman A., and Green, John C.. 1993. “Knowing God’s Many People.” In Rediscovering the religious factor in American politics, edited by Leege, David C. and Kellstedt, Lyman A., 5371. Armonk, NY, M. E. Sharpe.Google Scholar
Knutsen, Oddbjørn. 2004. “Religious Denomination and Party Choice in Western Europe: A Comparative Longitudinal Study from Eight Countries, 1970–97.” International Political Science Review 25 (1): 97128.Google Scholar
Kozlov, Nikolai. 2008. “Politicheskiye kul’tury regionov Rossii: Uravneniye so mnogimi neizvestnymi.” Polis 4: 826.Google Scholar
Kratochvíl, Petr, and Shakhanova, Gaziza. 2021. “The Patriotic Turn and Re-Building Russia’s Historical Memory: Resisting the West, Leading the Post-Soviet East?Problems of Post-Communism 68 (5): 442456.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kul’kova, Anna. 2015. “Religioznost’ i politicheskoye uchastiye: Rol’ politiki v rossiyskikh religioznykh obshchinakh.” Vysshaya shkola ekonomiki. Seriya WP14. Politicheskaya teoriya i politicheskiy analiz 02.Google Scholar
Layman, Geoffrey C. 1997. “Religion and Political behavior in the United States: The Impact of Beliefs, Affiliations, and Commitment from 1980 to 1994.” Public Opinion Quarterly 61 (2): 288316.Google Scholar
LipetskMedia.ru. 2015. “Zhenshchin v Lipetskoi oblasti otgovarivaiut ot abortov.” February 13, 2015. www.lipetskmedia.ru/news/view/47044-Zhyenshin_v_Lipyetskoii.html. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Lipset, Seymour M., and Rokkan, Stein. 1967. “Cleavage Structures, Party Systems and Voter Alignments: An Introduction.” In Party Systems and Voter Alignments: Cross-national Perspectives, edited by Lipset, Seymour M. and Stein, Stein Rokkan, 251255. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
Lisovskaya, Elena, and Karpov, Vyacheslav. 2010. “Orthodoxy, Islam, and the Desecularization of Russia’s State Schools.” Politics and Religion 3 (2): 276302.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lunkin, Roman. 2008. “Russkiye regiony Rossii: Stepen’ pravoslavnosti i politicheskiye oriyentatsii.” Sotsiologicheskiye issledovaniya 4, 2736.Google Scholar
Manza, Jeff, and Brooks, Clem. 1997. “The Religious Factor in US Presidential Elections, 1960–1992.” American Journal of Sociology 103 (1): 3881.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Matvienko, Valentina. 2015. Politiko-pravovyye aspekty Russkoy Pravoslavnoy Tserkvi v sovremennoy Rossii: Uchebnoye posobiye. Berlin: Directmedia.Google Scholar
McFaul, Michael, and Petrov, Nikolai. 1998. Politicheskiy al’manakh Rossii 1997. Moscow: Moscow Carnegie Center.Google Scholar
McTague, John, and Layman, Geoffrey C.. 2009. “Religion, Parties, and Voting Behavior.” In The Oxford Handbook of Religion and American Politics, edited by Guth, James L., Kellstedt, Lyman A., and Smidt, Corwin E., 330370. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Middendorp, Cees P. 1991. Ideology in Dutch Politics: The Democratic System Reconsidered, 1970–1985. Assen and Maastricht: van Gorcum.Google Scholar
Mitrokhin, Nikolai. 2003. “Russkaya pravoslavnaya tserkov’–itogi desyatiletiya.” Neprikosnovennyy zapas 32 (6). www.magazines.gorky.media/nz/2003/6/russkaya-pravoslavnaya-czerkov-itogi-desyatiletiya.html. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Nazarova, Violetta. 2017. “V khramakh Tambovskoi oblasti sobirayut podpisi protiv abortov.” Novyi Tambov, March 27, 2017. www.newtambov.ru/news/v-hramah-tambovskoj-oblasti-sobirayut-podpisi-protiv-abortov/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Newsru.com. 2008. “Ocherednoy ‘goluboy’ skandal v Tambove.” July 28, 2008. www.newsru.com/russia/28jul2008/gubervsgeys.html. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Pew Research Center. 2017. “Religious Belief and National Belonging in Central and Eastern Europe: National and Religious Identities Converge in a Region Once Dominated by Atheist Regimes.” May 10, 2017. www.pewforum.org/2017/05/10/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Papkova, Irina. 2006. “The Russian Orthodox Church and Political Party Platforms.” Paper presented at the American Association for Advancement of Slavic Studies, Washington, DC. http://www.sova-center.ru/files/religion/papkova.doc. (Accessed March 12, 2018.)Google Scholar
Patriarchia.ru. 2007. “Konferentsiia Tserkov’ i Meditsina: Zdorovie natsii i tekushchaia demograficheskaya situatsia proidet v Lipetske.” The Russian Orthodox Church: The Official Website of the Moscow Patriarchy, August 3, 2007. www.patriarchia.ru/db/text/276578.html. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Petrov, Nikolai, and Titkov, Alexei. 2001. “Elektoral’nyy landshaft.” In Regionalizatsiya v razvitii Rossii: Geograficheskiye protsessy i problem, edited by Treivish, Andrey and Artobolevskii, Sergey, 214255. Moscow: URSS.Google Scholar
Pless, Anna, Tromp, Paul, and Houtman, Dick. 2020. “The ‘New’ Cultural Cleavage in Western Europe: A Coalescence of Religious and Secular Value Divides?Politics and Religion 13 (3): 445464.Google Scholar
Pogorelova, A. D. 2019. “Upravleniye obrazovaniyem v RPTS po Lipetskoy oblasti.” Voprosy pedagogiki 12 (1): 201204.Google Scholar
Almakaeva, Anna, Andreenkova, Anna, Klimova, Aygul, Soboleva, Natalia and Ponarin, Eduard. 2019. LCSR Regional Survey. Moscow: Higher School of Economics.Google Scholar
Rating, RIA. 2019. “Reiting sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo polozheniia regionov-2019” [Rating of the socio-economic situation of the regions – 2019]. June 4, 2019. www.riarating.ru/infografika/20190604/630126280.html. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Rosstat. 2010. “Vserossiiskaya perepis naselenia 2010 goda.” The official web-portal of the Federal State Statistics Service of Russia. http://gks.ru/free_doc/new_site/perepis2010/croc/perepis_itogi1612.htm (Accessed March 21, 2022)Google Scholar
Rosstat. 2020. “Regiony Rossii. Sotsial’no-ekonomicheskiie pokazateli.” The official web-portal of the Federal State Statistics Service of Russia. https://gks.ru/bgd/regl/b20_14p/Main.htm (Accessed March 21, 2022)Google Scholar
Saikkonen, Inga. 2017. “Electoral Mobilization and Authoritarian Elections: Evidence from Post-Soviet Russia.” Government and Opposition 52 (1): 5174.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shishkov, Andrey. 2012. “Nekotoryye aspekty desekulyarizatsii v postsovetskoy Rossii.” Gosudarstvo, religiya, tserkov’ v Rossii i za rubezhom 30 (2): 165177.Google Scholar
Stoeckl, Kristina. 2018. “Tri modeli tserkovno-gosudarstvennykh otnosheniy v sovremennoy Rossii.” Gosudarstvo, religia, tserkov’ v Rossii I za rubezhom 36 (3): 195223.Google Scholar
Shurkhovetskaya, Nadezhda. 2017. “My za god spasli 644 zhizni.” Novyi Tambov, February 15, 2017. www.newtambov.ru/news/my-za-god-spasli-644-zhizni/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Slider, Darrell, Gimpel’son, Vladimir, and Chugrov, Sergei. 1994. “Political Tendencies in Russia’s Regions: Evidence from the 1993 Parliamentary Elections.” Slavic Review 53 (3): 711732.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
SOVA. 2011a. “Podpisano soglaseniie o sotrudnichestve mezhdu Uprvleniiem zdravookhraneniia Tambovskoi oblasti i pravoslavnoi eparkhiyei.” Religia v svetskom obshchestve. SOVA. Information and Analytical Center, January 11, 2011. www.sova-center.ru/religion/news/authorities/agreement/2011/01/d20679/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
SOVA. 2011b. “Tambovskaya eparkhia i oblastnoie upravleniie truda i sotsial’nogo razvitiia dogovorilis’ o sotrudnichestve.” Religia v svetskom obshchestve. January 11, 2011. www.sova-center.ru/religion/news/authorities/agreement/2011/01/d20680/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
SOVA. 2017. “Russkaia pravoslavnaia tserkov’ pretenduet na neskol’ko shkol, nedostroiennyi restoran i zhilyie doma v Tambove.” Religia v svetskom obshchestve. October 24, 2017. www.sova-center.ru/religion/news/authorities/protection/2017/10/d38133/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Titkov, Alexei. 2008. “Metody elektoral’noy geografii 1990-kh godov: Rabotayut li oni v 2000-ye gody.” In Politicheskaya sotsiologiya, edited by Rimskii, Vladimir, 90101. Moscow: ROSSPEN.Google Scholar
Tkacheva, Tatiana, and Golosov, Grigorii. 2019. “United Russia’s Primaries and the Strength of Political Machines in the Regions of Russia: Evidence from the 2016 Duma Elections.” Europe-Asia Studies 71 (5): 824839.Google Scholar
Turovskiy, Rostislav. 1999. “Regional’nyye aspekty obshcherossiyskikh vyborov.” In Vtoroy elektoral’nyy tsikl v Rossii (1999–2000), edited by Gel’man, Vladimir, Golosov, Grigorii, and Meleshkina, Elena, 186214. Moscow: Ves’ Mir.Google Scholar
metropolia, Tambovskaia. n.d. “History of the Tambov Diocese.” The Tambov Diocese. The Official website. www.eparhia-tmb.ru/mitropoliya/tambovskaya-eparhiya/istoriya-tambovskoj-eparhii/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Upolnomochennyi. 2019. “Upolnomochennyi v Tambovskoi oblasti podpisal ryad soglashenii o sotrudnichestve.” The official website of the Commissioner for Human Rights in the Russian Federation. January 10, 2019. www.ombudsmanrf.org/news/v_rossii/view/upolnomochennyj_v_tambovskoj_oblasti_podpisal_rjad_soglashenij_o_vzaimodejstvii. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
Ukhvatova, Maria. 2018. “Naputstviya okhraniteley (religioznaya ritorika na inauguratsiyakh rossiyskikh gubernatorov).” Zhurnal politicheskoy filosofii i sotsiologii politiki Politiya. Analiz. Khronika. Prognoz 89 (2): 84101.Google Scholar
Vorsobin, Vladimir. 2008. “Gey-skandal v Tambove: gorod lishili ‘khoroshen’kogo mera.” Komsomol’skaya Pravda, May 16, 2008. www.spb.kp.ru/daily/24098/325985/. (Accessed May 31, 2020.)Google Scholar
White, Allison C. 2016. “Electoral Fraud and Electoral Geography: United Russia Strongholds in the 2007 and 2011 Russian Parliamentary Elections.” Europe-Asia Studies 68 (7): 11271178.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, Allison C., and Saikkonen, Inga A-L. 2017. “More than a Name? Variation in Electoral Mobilisation of Titular and Non-titular Ethnic Minorities in Russian National Elections.” Ethnopolitics 16 (5): 450470.CrossRefGoogle Scholar