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Emerging Trends: SOTA-Chasing

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 February 2022

Kenneth Ward Church*
Affiliation:
Baidu, Sunnyvale, CA, USA
Valia Kordoni
Affiliation:
Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Germany
*
*Corresponding author. Email: Kenneth.Ward.Church@gmail.com
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Abstract

Many papers are chasing state-of-the-art (SOTA) numbers, and more will do so in the future. SOTA-chasing comes with many costs. SOTA-chasing squeezes out more promising opportunities such as coopetition and interdisciplinary collaboration. In addition, there is a risk that too much SOTA-chasing could lead to claims of superhuman performance, unrealistic expectations, and the next AI winter. Two root causes for SOTA-chasing will be discussed: (1) lack of leadership and (2) iffy reviewing processes. SOTA-chasing may be similar to the replication crisis in the scientific literature. The replication crisis is yet another example, like evaluation, of over-confidence in accepted practices and the scientific method, even when such practices lead to absurd consequences.

Information

Type
Emerging Trends
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Default search concepts for ACL-2021, according to semantic paths (see footnote al).

Figure 1

Table 1. ACL-2021 topics, sorted by the number of senior area chairs (SACs) and area chairs (ACs), based on footnote ai

Figure 2

Table 2. ACL-2022 (after ARR) is no faster than ACL-2021 (before ARR)