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  • Cited by 3
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    This article has been cited by the following publications. This list is generated based on data provided by CrossRef.

    Black, Ryan C. Treul, Sarah A. Johnson, Timothy R. and Goldman, Jerry 2011. Emotions, Oral Arguments, and Supreme Court Decision Making. The Journal of Politics, Vol. 73, Issue. 2, p. 572.

    Unah, Isaac 2009. The Supreme Court in American Politics.

    JOHNSON, TIMOTHY R. WAHLBECK, PAUL J. and SPRIGGS, JAMES F. 2006. The Influence of Oral Arguments on the U.S. Supreme Court. American Political Science Review, Vol. 100, Issue. 01,


Press Room Predictions

  • Linda Greenhouse (a1)
  • DOI:
  • Published online: 01 December 2004

Scrolling through the results of the Supreme Court Forecasting Project in July 2003, I regarded nearly every prediction as within the realm of plausibility until I reached the statistical model's forecast of the outcome in Lawrence v. Texas, the gay rights case. The model predicted that the Supreme Court would affirm by a 5–4 vote the judgment of the Texas Court of Appeals that the state's law criminalizing gay sex was constitutional. This was such a gaffe that it led me to question whether all the fancy modeling was worth the effort. (Two of the three experts correctly predicted a 6–3 reversal; the third made the same mistake as the model.)For her coverage of the Court, Linda Greenhouse was awarded a Pulitzer Prize in journalism in 1998. In 2002 the American Political Science Association presented her with its Carey McWilliams Award “for a major journalistic contribution to our understanding of politics.”

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Perspectives on Politics
  • ISSN: 1537-5927
  • EISSN: 1541-0986
  • URL: /core/journals/perspectives-on-politics
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