1. Introduction
In recent years, the entrenchment of autocrats, the rise of populist leaders, and increased polarization in established democracies have led to renewed interest in understanding how political regimes—whether democratic or autocratic—can control and influence public support to maintain power (Fitzgerald et al. Reference Fitzgerald, Cohen, Castro and Pope2021; Guriev and Treisman Reference Guriev and Treisman2019; Przeworski Reference Przeworski2022). While studies of political control have primarily focused on coercion and co-optation, this paper joins recent research that highlights indoctrination as an alternative strategy that enables powerholders to induce voluntary compliance and establish support among its citizens (De Juan, Haass, and Pierskalla Reference De Juan, Haass and Pierskalla2021; Hassan, Mattingly, and Nugent Reference Hassan, Mattingly and Nugent2022; Paglayan Reference Paglayan2021; Reference Paglayan2022a; Reference Paglayan, Jenkins and Rubin2022b). Yet, indoctrination remains relatively understudied as a tool of political control. Among other problems, conceptual ambiguity and the lack of comparative data have traditionally impeded research in this field. We address these challenges by proposing greater conceptual clarity and by introducing original, expert-coded data to facilitate a new generation of empirical inquiry.
Our work makes numerous contributions to the study of indoctrination. First, we provide a clear and universally applicable definition of indoctrination as a regime-led socialization process that aims to increase congruence between the views and principles of the regimeFootnote 1 and those of its citizens. While indoctrination has typically been confined to the study of autocracies, we note that our definition lacks any attachment to specific ideologies or regime types. Instead, we argue that the study of indoctrination is applicable to the study of democracies as well.Footnote 2 We further reason that indoctrination is primarily channeled through education and the media, and we offer a framework to measure indoctrination across both channels. The framework we propose captures two main dimensions: the potential for indoctrination (i.e., the ability of states to inculcate their citizens) and the content of indoctrination.
Second, we make an empirical contribution to the study of indoctrination by introducing original data. Comparative studies of indoctrination remain constrained by the absence of comprehensive data that cover different regimes, regions, and time periods. The Varieties of Indoctrination (V-Indoc) dataset (Neundorf et al., Reference Neundorf, Nazrullaeva, Northmore-Ball, Tertytchnaya, Kim, Benavot, Bromley, Knutsen, Lutscher, Marquardt, Paglayan, Pemstein, Seim and Rydén2023a) we present in this paper draws on the information provided by 760 country experts through a survey fielded in collaboration with the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Institute. The dataset offers a wide array of unique and detailed indices and indicators on indoctrination in education and the media. We consider education provided in schools that are controlled, managed, funded (even if only partially), or subsidized by the public sector. Moreover, the dataset provides unrivaled coverage as it includes an almost universal sample of countries in the post-World War II period.Footnote 3 The V-Indoc dataset should enable richer and more expansive empirical examinations of the causes and consequences of indoctrination around the world and over time.
The dataset should be particularly useful for advancing the understanding of how states use education as a political tool. Whereas existing comparative education data mostly measure the quantity (e.g., Barro and Lee Reference Barro and Lee2013; Lee and Lee Reference Lee and Lee2016) or quality (e.g., Altinok, Angrist, and Patrinos Reference Altinok, Angrist and Patrinos2018; Angrist et al. Reference Angrist, Djankov, Goldberg and Patrinos2021) of education, or code factual (de jure) information based on primary or secondary archival records (Del Río, Knutsen, and Lutscher Reference Del Río, Knutsen and Lutscher2023; Paglayan Reference Paglayan2021), the V-Indoc data captures mostly de facto education practices, covering diverse topics such as school curricula, teachers, and patriotism. This kind of data should allow researchers to directly examine the mechanisms that link education practices to outcomes of interest, which could not be previously tested explicitly due to the absence of requisite data (Ansell Reference Ansell2010; Paglayan Reference Paglayan2021).
Furthermore, our work answers several recent calls in the authoritarian politics literature to move beyond the study of repression for understanding the longevity of these regimes and their ability to amass popular support. Existing research shows a rise in the share of “informational” autocracies around the world and emphasizes the importance of political communication for sustaining authoritarian rule (Guriev and Treisman Reference Guriev and Treisman2020; Reference Guriev and Treisman2022; Roberts Reference Roberts2018; Reference Roberts2020). Most recent data collection efforts shift the focus to the content of political communication to uncover substantive cross-national variation in the propaganda strategies of autocracies (e.g., Baggott Carter and Carter Reference Baggott Carter and Carter2023). Our conceptualization of indoctrination integrates political communication and our data contribute six new indicators that measure state attempts to control and influence the media. Finally, we demonstrate the application of our data by testing Linz’s (Reference Linz2000) argument that military regimes are less likely to engage in indoctrination than other forms of autocratic regimes. We provide initial evidence of how different authoritarian regimes vary not just in terms of leadership selection, but also in their potential to indoctrinate.
2. Defining Indoctrination
Although recent scholarship in political science highlights the importance of indoctrination as a tool of political control, indoctrination remains an ambiguous concept to define and measure. For example, Hassan, Mattingly, and Nugent (Reference Hassan, Mattingly and Nugent2022, 160–61) define indoctrination as a nonviolent strategy that the state can use to induce compliance, associated with predominantly immaterial benefits. Paglayan (Reference Paglayan, Jenkins and Rubin2022b, 11) focuses on education and conceptualizes indoctrination as a tool of state building used “to promote long-term social order by indoctrinating young children to accept the status quo, behave as ‘good citizens,’ and respect the state and its laws.” Brandenberger (Reference Brandenberger2012) describes indoctrination as the process of propagating a coherent narrative or regime mission in the form of a set of (ideological) principles or ideas at the expense of other competing worldviews and principles. Lott (Reference Lott1999, 129) generalizes the concept of indoctrination as “controlling the information received by citizens”: in this sense, the state’s control over education is similar to control of the media.
The examples above demonstrate a lack of a clear definition of indoctrination. The reason for this vague conceptualization might lie in the contested history of the term (Woods and Barrow Reference Woods and Barrow2006). In the late nineteenth century, indoctrination was a synonym for education (Puolimatka Reference Puolimatka1996, 109). According to the 1901 New England Dictionary, indoctrination is “instruction, formal teaching” (Raywid Reference Raywid1980, 2).Footnote 4 However, after World War I, indoctrination acquired a derogatory connotation similar to propaganda and brainwashing (Gatchel Reference Gatchel1959, 306)—a trend that continued with the rise of dictatorships in the twentieth century (Moore Reference Moore1966, 398). We build on this rich historical work on indoctrination and the recent reemergence of the term (e.g., Armstrong Reference Armstrong2022). The goal of this paper is to present a clear, unifying definition of indoctrination to allow for the operationalization of such an abstract and multidimensional concept. Here we use indoctrination as an umbrella term making two important assumptions: (1) indoctrination is not limited to autocracies, and (2) indoctrination is not restricted to education.
To conceptualize and measure indoctrination in a way that can facilitate future research on causal effects, we need to distinguish inputs (what is the indoctrination process?) from outputs (does it work?) (see figure 1). Indoctrination effectiveness is a different output-related question that has only scarcely been tested empirically, mainly due to the lack of (comparative) data.Footnote 5 Instead, we focus on what the regime can do to shape individuals’ beliefs, values, and (public) behaviors to render society more pliant to state directives, as postulated by Hassan, Mattingly, and Nugent (Reference Hassan, Mattingly and Nugent2022) and Paglayan (Reference Paglayan2022a). The regime’s intentions cannot be observed directly but can be inferred from public statements or legislation.Footnote 6 Bromley and colleagues (Reference Bromley, Kijima, Overbey, Furuta, Choi and Santos2022), Del Río, Knutsen, and Lutscher (Reference Del Río, Knutsen and Lutscher2023), and Paglayan (Reference Paglayan2021) code the regime’s intentions from primary (and in some cases, secondary) sources. However, as Bromley and colleagues (Reference Bromley, Kijima, Overbey, Furuta, Choi and Santos2022, 3) argue, the regime’s “publicly stated goals” do not necessarily become legislation: “All [education] reforms contain a discursive dimension, but only some are implemented in part or in full.” Unlike the recent de jure data collection efforts, our approach allows us to focus on the implementation phase and gets us as close to the door of the classroom as possible—that is, to what is de facto happening on the ground.Footnote 7
Figure 1 The Phases of the Indoctrination Process
However, the regime’s indoctrination efforts might not necessarily go through the standard path via legislation. On the ground, teachers can be pressured by school administrations not to deviate from the official curriculum (Rodden Reference Rodden2010). Legislation that is not explicitly about education, such as penalties for criticizing the regime in times of war, can also be used against teachers and schoolchildren.
What is the objective of indoctrination then? Through indoctrination, any regime ultimately aims to create an “unshakable commitment” (Woods and Barrow Reference Woods and Barrow2006, 71) to its core principles that is resistant to shocks in regime performance and other counterinfluences.Footnote 8 More specifically, citizens further learn what beliefs and behaviors to display in public, and how to do so. The regime utilizes complementary channels to maximize and maintain its intended impact. Individuals are exposed to political messages and learn acceptable behaviors and values at schools, universities, voluntary associations, and the military (e.g., De Juan, Haass, and Pierskalla Reference De Juan, Haass and Pierskalla2021), and in the workplace, the media, and the arts. Similar to Hassan, Mattingly, and Nugent (Reference Hassan, Mattingly and Nugent2022), we focus on two channels of indoctrination: education and the media.Footnote 9 Through (compulsory) education, entire cohorts of children can be exposed to pro-regime messages and narratives when they are young and most malleable. Indoctrination efforts channeled through the media are often synonymous with propaganda or political communication. While indoctrination through education is a long-term process that takes place through regime-led socialization and habituation early in life (Persson Reference Persson2015), indoctrination through the media mainly targets adult citizens and can serve to reinforce pro-regime messages disseminated through the education system.Footnote 10
It may be helpful to think of indoctrination as ultimately aiming to shape “ideal-type” citizens (or “good citizens” [Paglayan Reference Paglayan, Jenkins and Rubin2022b, 11]), which will vary by regime type. Broadly defined, “ideal-type” citizens in democracies have “internalized the spirit of democracy” (Diamond Reference Diamond2008, 294). They have the habit of actively participating in politics through protests and voting. They are also able to run for office if they wish and are equipped with the civic skills, confidence, and competence needed to hold powerholders to account (e.g., Westheimer and Kahne Reference Westheimer and Kahne2004). Not only do these citizens obey laws, they also participate in making them (Almond and Verba Reference Almond and Verba1963). “Ideal-type” citizens in democracies also uphold democratic values of tolerance and pluralism (e.g., Westheimer Reference Westheimer2006, 3). To mold these citizens, education in democracies emphasizes civic competence, democratic norms such as tolerance and pluralism, and the habit of political participation (Finkel and Smith Reference Finkel and Smith2011).
“Ideal-type” citizens can vary across nondemocratic regimes; however, they too are united by their belief in regime norms and principles. As far as participatory norms are concerned, while electoral autocracies have traditionally encouraged participation in elections, military dictatorships, such as Franco’s Spain, have refrained from engaging citizens in the political process altogether. Even in electoral autocracies, however, the main purpose of citizen participation in politics is not co-governance—participation remains “ritualistic” in nature. And, while “ideal-type” citizens in nondemocratic regimes are also equipped with certain civic skills (e.g., Distelhorst and Fu Reference Distelhorst and Fu2019), these mainly represent habits of loyalty and unity (Koesel Reference Koesel, Koesel, Bunce and Weiss2020). To mold these citizens, nondemocratic education emphasizes uncritical acceptance and acquiescence.
To sum up, we propose defining indoctrination as a deliberate regime-led process of socializing “ideal-type” citizens who support the values, principles, and norms of a given regime—whether democratic or autocratic—and who thus voluntarily comply with regime demands and remain loyal in times of crisis. As a regime-led socialization process, indoctrination intends to leverage both the persistence effects of early life socialization through the use of compulsory education of children and broader channels like media, arts, and culture, which can help to maintain and reinforce the effects of education among adult citizens.
3. How Indoctrination Works and Its Dimensions
Following our definition of indoctrination introduced above, we next discuss the multidimensional nature of indoctrination and how it works in more detail. We adapt our approach from the philosophy of education (e.g., Woods and Barrow Reference Woods and Barrow2006, 74–75) and focus on the following dimensions: (1) the potential for indoctrination and (2) the (democratic and patriotic) content of indoctrination.
The first dimension relates to the necessary condition for regimes to have the potential or capabilities to shape citizens’ political attitudes and (public) behavior. We assume that political authorities need to take control over the structures and processes of the education system and the media to be able to indoctrinate. The main focus of this dimension is whether there is a potential for indoctrination to be successfully implemented. The second dimension of indoctrination then relates to the content that authorities try to indoctrinate, which can be democratic, authoritarian, and/or patriotic.
3.1. Indoctrination Potential
To conceptualize indoctrination potential, the first requirement is coherence of the regime’s doctrine (Linz Reference Linz2000)—whether democratic or autocratic—and how it is transmitted via education and the media. We could imagine a regime where there is a very coherent single doctrine of political values and model citizenship that is known and promoted by all regime-led agents of socialization, such as schools and state-controlled media. To achieve such coherence, regimes need to centralize the education system (Ansell and Lindvall Reference Ansell and Lindvall2013; Paglayan Reference Paglayan2022a) and state control of the media. A centralized system is expected to produce a more coherent message, which leads to a higher potential to indoctrinate.
Furthermore, the potential for indoctrination and the ability to deliver a coherent message rests on the premise that values and practices are inculcated by instructional agents who are formally charged with this responsibility (Momanu Reference Momanu2012). Control over these agents, such as the regime’s control over teachers and teaching practices inside the classroom, is key to bridging the gap between the regime’s intent to indoctrinate and the effectiveness of indoctrination (Paglayan Reference Paglayan, Jenkins and Rubin2022b, 13). We assume that the stricter control is, the stronger (and hence more effective) indoctrination will be.
Centralization and standardization of education alone do not indicate the potential to shape children as future citizens. Here it is crucial to look at the degree of effort and time the school curriculum requires teachers to devote to teaching about the regime’s ideology. Thus, as the final dimension of indoctrination potential, we need to include the effort devoted to political education, assuming that emphasizing these topics in the curriculum is a direct attempt by the regime to teach its core political principles and norms.Footnote 11
Our concept of indoctrination potential bears similarity to the understanding of nation building as a state-driven process of centralization (Wimmer Reference Wimmer2018), standardization (Lipset and Rokkan Reference Lipset and Rokkan1967), and the assertion of power over agents and producers of culture (Kyriazi and vom Hau Reference Kyriazi and vom Hau2020). But unlike nation building, indoctrination has a stronger political, rather than cultural, focus. While the potential of a regime to indoctrinate is facilitated by some of the same state-related processes that enable nation building, we understand indoctrination to be a regime-led process that can be ongoing and occur well after the “age of nation building.”Footnote 12 Furthermore, while our understanding of the aims of indoctrination is closer to the more political process of state-building, which seeks to generate obedience and respect for a state’s laws (Paglayan Reference Paglayan, Jenkins and Rubin2022b), we emphasize the regime-led nature of the indoctrination process, which aims to create loyalty and support for the regime via a set of rules for leadership selection and policy making (Geddes, Wright, and Frantz Reference Geddes, Wright and Frantz2014). Regimes may try to leverage nation and state building to aid indoctrination, but the aim is to create support for the regime specifically.Footnote 13
3.2. Indoctrination Content
The second dimension of indoctrination that we distinguish relates to its content. The question of what is indoctrinated is considerably more political than a regime’s indoctrination potential. More specifically, we distinguish two core elements of this dimension: (1) democratic (versus authoritarian) and (2) patriotic content.
First, the political character of indoctrination is closely linked to model citizenship, introduced above. Pluralism of opinions and critical thinking skills are often used to separate model citizens in democracies from autocracies (Gatchel Reference Gatchel1959; Westheimer and Kahne Reference Westheimer and Kahne2004). Our goal is therefore to create a unidimensional scale of indoctrination content ranging from democratic (participatory, critical, pluralist) to autocratic (loyal/obedient, uncritical, single view/ideology). To achieve this, we focus on two facets of indoctrination content: the regime’s ideology (what is taught at school) and the level of contestation (how it is taught). Our definition of ideology encompasses the core principles, values, and norms of a society that are used by the regime to legitimize its existence and actions.Footnote 14 In this respect, liberal democracy can be classified as an ideology. The content of the “ideology” is thus a helpful indicator of differences in the content of indoctrination within democracies and autocratic regimes.
Another defining characteristic of indoctrination content is the level of contestation. The key difference in the use and definition of indoctrination within autocracies and democracies is the degree to which the “ideology” has to be unequivocally accepted by the population. We expect democracies to allow a higher degree of contestation. Indeed, citizens are encouraged to be critical, which is a key part of democratic accountability. The competition over ideas and best policies is explicitly democratic. Nevertheless, democracies also require an “unshakable commitment” to their core principles (Easton Reference Easton1965). Unlike autocracies, however, democracies will base their indoctrination efforts on persuasion rather than inculcating their principles “beyond argument” and “beyond reasoning” like in authoritarian regimes (Woods and Barrow Reference Woods and Barrow2006, 71). In autocracies, therefore, we expect contestation to be very limited and guided by a dominant message—for example, the mission to build a communist society. This is achieved through teaching citizens to accept the regime’s ideology uncritically and always to accept this “truth” regardless of evidence. Indoctrination in autocracies is expected to close alternatives through the promotion of a single view (Sears and Hughes Reference Sears and Hughes2006) and the censoring of any evidence that can be used to construct alternative narratives.
The second element of indoctrination content that we focus on relates to patriotism. By encouraging citizens to identify with the wider political community, both democratic and autocratic regimes hope to benefit by generating loyal, self-sacrificing citizens who might even refrain from criticizing the regime (Koesel Reference Koesel, Koesel, Bunce and Weiss2020; Norris Reference Norris2011; Sardoč Reference Sardoč2020). By emphasizing identification with a politically defined community, patriotism is particularly useful as it avoids the negative connotations of ethnocultural nationalism and the risks of alienating minorities (Shevel Reference Shevel2011), and it allows for greater choice of generally appealing political symbols (Seixas Reference Seixas and Balfour2005).Footnote 15
Furthermore, in being defined by both political principles and symbols, such as loyalty to the constitution (Seixas Reference Seixas and Balfour2005), the boundaries between the regime and the wider political community as objects of loyalty can easily be blurred (Kodelja Reference Kodelja and Sardoč2020), which means that criticism of the incumbent regime can be conveniently labeled as unpatriotic. The use of patriotic education and political communication to limit political dissent is extensively evidenced in autocracies like Russia and China (Zhao Reference Zhao1998). However, the promotion of uncritical forms of patriotism is by no means exclusive to more authoritarian regimes. Particularly in the context of perceived threats, such as terrorist attacks (Curren and Dorn Reference Curren and Dorn2018, 130; Westheimer Reference Westheimer and Ross2014) or immigration (De Vries Reference De Vries2018), contemporary democracies display a growing emphasis on patriotism in political discourse and education (Wilson Reference Wilson2015). It is therefore not surprising that the compatibility of patriotism with liberal democracy is hotly debated (Sardoč Reference Sardoč2020, 105; Soutphommasane Reference Soutphommasane2012).
To conclude, the methods of promoting patriotism through rituals and symbols that create a sense of belonging and loyalty are common across regime types. But at the same time, it is unclear whether the promotion of patriotic symbols indicates a shift away from more liberal understandings of patriotism toward more autocratic or nationalistic values. For this reason, we measure patriotic and democratic content separately. We leave this debate open as an empirical question, which our data will be able to explore.
4. Measuring Varieties of Indoctrination
In this section, we introduce our novel dataset measuring Varieties of Indoctrination (V-Indoc) (Neundorf et al., Reference Neundorf, Nazrullaeva, Northmore-Ball, Tertytchnaya, Kim, Benavot, Bromley, Knutsen, Lutscher, Marquardt, Paglayan, Pemstein, Seim and Rydén2023a), which offers unmatched coverage and can facilitate cross-national and cross-temporal studies on the causes and consequences of indoctrination around the world. We first build on our conceptualization of indoctrination to identify 21 indicators of indoctrination in education,Footnote 16 which can be aggregated into composite indices that measure the abstract concepts of indoctrination potential and content.Footnote 17 These indicators and indices provide novel and detailed insight into aspects of indoctrination in education that are not captured by any other existing dataset on a similar scale.
We also present six indicators of indoctrination in the media. These are less sweeping than our education indicators, given that existing datasets already and quite comprehensively cover numerous topics related to the state’s control over the media (e.g., Coppedge et al. Reference Coppedge, Gerring, Knutsen, Lindberg, Teorell, Alizada and Altman2022; Mechkova et al. Reference Mechkova, Pemstein, Seim and Wilson2021). Instead of constructing indicators that contain overlapping information with such datasets, we design our media indicators so that they can be completed by or supplemented with existing indicators to produce more complete measures of indoctrination in the media. In particular, and as we discuss, it may be particularly fruitful and straightforward to combine our data with V-Dem data because both datasets are constructed and formatted in the same manner.
We choose to focus on education and the media with the assumption that these two channels are most comparable across time and space—unlike other channels of indoctrination (e.g., mass organizations, the workplace, or the military), which vary considerably between countries. Given that all countries have always had education and media systems, this allows us to create indicators that are applicable across the world and back in time.
4.1. From Abstract Concepts to Measured Indicators
Our key concepts of indoctrination are (1) indoctrination potential, (2) democratic content, and (3) patriotic content. Each of these concepts and their subcomponents, introduced above, are measured using multi-item indices. Below, we explain the indicators that comprise each index as measured for education and the media. Many of our indicators reflect measures in existing scholarship and cross-national datasets, which can in turn be used to validate our indicators (see section 5.2). See figures 2 and 3 for a visualization of the indices and accompanying indicators. All indicators are based on expert survey questions with most indicators having an ordinal four-point scale. For empirical analysis, these indicators can be used on their own or as part of higher-level indices.
Figure 2 Mapping Our Concepts: Indoctrination in Education
Note: The rounded boxes indicate V-Indoc indices, and plain boxes indicate measured variables (V-Indoc indicators). See figure E-7 in appendix E for more details (i.e., with labels for the V-Indoc indices and indicators added).
Figure 3 Mapping Our Concepts: Indoctrination in the Media
Note: The rounded boxes indicate V-Indoc indices and the plain boxes indicate variables (V-Indoc indicators). We do not have indices of the media content (the boxes are grayed out). The democratic and patriotic content are measured as separate indicators. The index of indoctrination potential in the media is equivalent to the index of coherence (the box with potential is grayed out). For the index of indoctrination coherence, we combine the existing V-Dem indicators (highlighted in italics) with the novel V-Indoc indicators. See figure E-8 in appendix E for more details (i.e., with labels for the V-Indoc indices and indicators added).
In education, some of our indicators pertain to the official school curriculum. Conceptually, they are located between the de jure legislation phase of indoctrination and the de facto implementation stage (see figure 1). To capture the tension between the legislation and implementation phases, where possible, we explicitly instructed experts to prioritize de facto practices in their answers. For example, the indicators related to civics in the curriculum explicitly asked experts not to focus on the de jure subject labels but rather on the de facto subject content. The two indicators closest to the de jure phase are the indicators of centralized curriculum and textbook approval.
4.1.1. Indoctrination through Education
We measure indoctrination potential in education as a higher-level index that is composed of two indices: indoctrination coherence and political education efforts. The indoctrination coherence index is composed of two subindices. First, the control over agents index measures the extent of state control over teachers and is based on several indicators highlighted in the literature: (1) the existence of teacher unions independent from the state (e.g., Moe and Wiborg Reference Moe and Wiborg2016; Paglayan Reference Paglayan2014), (2) teacher autonomy and teachers’ ability to deviate from the curriculum inside the classroom (e.g., Cribb and Gewirtz Reference Cribb and Gewirtz2007; vom Hau Reference vom Hau2009), and indicators of the likelihood that teachers may be (3) hired (e.g., Pierskalla and Sacks Reference Pierskalla and Sacks2020) or (4) fired (e.g., Balcells and Villamil Reference Balcells and Villamil2020) for political reasons. Second, the centralization indexFootnote 18 includes the degree to which (1) the curriculum in schools is centralized at the national level (e.g., Gvirtz and Beech Reference Gvirtz and Beech2004), and (2) the degree of centralized textbook approval (e.g., Brandenberger Reference Brandenberger2012; Zajda Reference Zajda1980).
We also create an index for the political education effort, which combines three indicators: whether there is a mandatory class on political education (predominantly focused on teaching political values) in the curriculum at the (1) primary and (2) secondary levels, and (3) whether there is a dominant ideology promoted through the history curriculum.Footnote 19 Unlike Del Río, Knutsen, and Lutscher (Reference Del Río, Knutsen and Lutscher2023, 6) who collect data on (de jure) mandatory standalone civic-related courses, we leverage education experts’ knowledge of school subjects beyond subject labels in the official curriculum. We follow Galston (Reference Galston2001, 219) and explicitly assume that “all education [can be] civic education.”Footnote 20
We construct the democratic content index using four indicators that assess the extent to which democratic values are emphasized in the official curriculum. V-Indoc contains one indicator of the regime’s ideology and three proxy indicators for the level of contestation. Conditional on the existence of the dominant societal model or ideology promoted in the history curriculum, we firstly are interested in the ideology of the regime. We use the following classification of ideologies,Footnote 21 which include (1) nationalism, (2) socialism or communism, (3) restorative or conservative ideology, (4) personality cult, (5) religious ideology, (6) ideology related to ethnicity, (7) clan or tribe, as well as (8) democratic ideology based on teaching democratic norms (liberalism, pluralism) and/or (9) emphasizing democratic institutions (e.g., elections).Footnote 22 The regime’s ideological character is then recoded into a binary variable that indicates whether democratic norms or institutions (8, 9) are the principal ideologies that are promoted.Footnote 23
Second, the indicator measuring critical discussion in the classroom probes the level of contestation that is promoted in school education. This indicator measures the extent to which students have opportunities to discuss what they are taught in history classes. We model it after similar questions from the International Civic and Citizenship Education Study survey (hereafter ICCS; IEA 2018, 36–39) and the Teaching and Learning International Survey (hereafter TALIS; OECD 2018, 23) on how often tasks assigned by teachers require critical and independent thinking, which is part of learner-centered pedagogy in education for democracy (Schweisfurth Reference Schweisfurth2002, 305). The remaining two indicators are related to contestation indirectly and focus on the curriculum. The pluralism indicator evaluates the extent to which students are exposed to diverse views and/or interpretations of historical events.Footnote 24 Lastly, the political rights and duties indicator measures whether subjects that teach political values cover topics related to individual political rights and duties (Willeck and Mendelberg Reference Willeck and Mendelberg2022).Footnote 25 If democracy is a dominant societal model, this indicator should capture the extent to which the principles of democracy are promoted in the curriculum. We consider these two indicators as necessary conditions for critical discussion in the classroom.
The patriotic content index is composed of two indicators that measure the extent to which patriotism is inherent in education: (1) patriotic education in language studies (for example, specific narratives can celebrate the country’s military past, national origin stories, or accomplishments in the economic or technological sector);Footnote 26 and (2) whether patriotic symbols, such as flags or portraits of leaders, are displayed and celebrated through flag-raising ceremonies or singing the national anthem. We focus on patriotic symbols as these represent the norms and principles of a country, and serve as a means for members of a common community to identify themselves (Margalit and Raz Reference Margalit and Raz1990). We measure patriotism as a separate dimension to democratic content as in many contexts patriotism can be promoted alongside either democratic or autocratic values.Footnote 27
4.1.2. Indoctrination through the Media
Figure 3 presents a visualization of the media indices and indicators, which focus on the state’s intention to indoctrinate via print and broadcast media.Footnote 28 In our approach, we follow Djankov and colleagues (Reference Djankov, McLiesh, Nenova and Shleifer2003) and focus on state ownership of the media and state influence over state and nonstate media as the intentions of the state regarding control of the media’s content.Footnote 29
The indoctrination potential index in the media is equivalent to the indoctrination coherence index, which consists of the centralization and control over agents subindices in the media. These subindices are supplemented with additional indicators from V-Dem data. The former index captures the ability of the state to influence the coverage of political issues by state and nonstate media outlets, and also includes V-Dem’s indicators of government censorship and diversity of media perspectives. The latter index is made up of indicators that measure the degree of state ownership of print and broadcast media,Footnote 30 the state’s control over the production of entertainment content,Footnote 31 and two V-Dem indicators that measure the harassment of journalists by the state and media self-censorship.
We do not have an index that is comparable to the political education effort index in education. The values and ideologies portrayed in the media can be much more heterogeneous than those taught through education, and thus it would be highly demanding to expect education experts to consistently and accurately code indicators related to the substantive nature of diverse media landscapes. For similar reasons, our measures of indoctrination content in the media are limited. We have one indicator for patriotic content in the media, which measures the promotion of patriotic narratives in media outlets.Footnote 32 While we do not have indicators of democratic content in the media, the V-Dem data contains indicators that can act as a proxy for democratic content such as whether major print and broadcast outlets routinely criticize the government (print/broadcast media critical) (Coppedge et al. Reference Coppedge, Gerring, Knutsen, Lindberg, Teorell, Alizada and Altman2022, 203).
4.2. Expert Surveys
Our dimensions of indoctrination are latent concepts that cannot be directly observed or measured, but they can be estimated by identifying and drawing on the information contained in observable indicators that reflect these underlying concepts. While factual data (e.g., education statistics) typically capture various outputs related to indoctrination, our focus is instead on measuring the regime’s intentions to indoctrinate (see the earlier discussion of figure 1 in section 2). Primary sources (e.g., official documents) can offer pertinent data on policies related to our concepts, but gathering such data for a global sample of countries over an extended period would be highly resource intensive and perhaps even infeasible, especially for older periods. More problematically, information on de jure policies can often fail to sufficiently or accurately capture de facto practices and behaviors, and thus measures based on the former may share weaker causal links with outcomes related to indoctrination. It may be possible to overcome such limitations by collecting and hand-coding archival records of actual indoctrination practices, but data availability and resource demands would likely constrain such an endeavor to a small subset of countries.
On the other hand, expert surveys offer a viable alternative for developing measures of indoctrination that can be both accurate—and thus useful for testing theoretical propositions—and comprehensive in coverage. Experts can draw on their in-depth knowledge and evaluative judgment of the topics at hand to offer guided insight into our difficult-to-measure concepts (Marquardt and Pemstein Reference Marquardt and Pemstein2018),Footnote 33 and generate data that can be used to construct novel measures of indoctrination practices around the world.
To achieve the highest possible quality of expert coding, we collaborated with the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Institute at the University of Gothenburg to take advantage of the institute’s established data-gathering and methodology infrastructure. After conducting two pilot surveys and several rounds of revisions of the expert survey questions, we reached out to 24,000 education experts from around the world in 2021.Footnote 34 More than 1,400 experts expressed interest in participating in the final survey. We then carried out an expert vetting process and fielded the final survey from January to May 2022. Appendix C provides a more detailed discussion of the pilot surveys, the expert vetting process, and the ethical considerations of this study. In the survey, experts were asked to respond to 27 questions related to our indicators through a set of ordinal responses, providing ratings for their country of expertise for every year between 1945Footnote 35 and 2021.Footnote 36
760 vetted experts completed the survey and provided responses that cover 160 countries. As figure 4 indicates, we have at least three unique coders for many countries across all regions of the world, though coverage is relatively more sparse for Africa and the Middle East. The median number of coders per country-year is five, with a minimum of one coder (e.g., for Angola, Burkina Faso, Bolivia, Gambia, etc.) and a maximum of 20 coders (Brazil, the United States). While democracies tend to have a greater number of coders than autocracies, many autocracies nonetheless draw on multiple coder responses (e.g., the mean number of coders for democracies and autocracies in 2021 is 6.58 and 4.83, respectively).Footnote 37
Figure 4 Number of Unique Coders by Country
Note: The number of coders may vary across indicators within a country as some experts may not have had the expertise to code all indicators for all years.
In addition, figure 5 plots over-time variation in the number of coders for one education indicator and one media indicator.Footnote 38 When limiting the sample to countries with at least three expert coders, our data covers around 120 countries for the most recent years, which represents over 60% of countries worldwide. Our full sample (i.e., including countries with fewer than three coders) covers about 90% of countries. The remaining countries that are not covered in our data are predominantly small states with fewer than one million inhabitants. These countries were however not targeted in the expert recruitment process.
Figure 5 Percentage and Number of Countries Covered in the V-Indoc Dataset
Note: The percentage of countries relative to the total number of countries in the V-Dem dataset (Coppedge et al. Reference Coppedge, Gerring, Knutsen, Lindberg, Teorell, Alizada and Altman2022) (left axis; solid lines) and the number of countries (right axis; dotted lines) are based on two indicators in the V-Indoc dataset: (1) education (the centralization of the school curriculum) and (2) media (state-owned print media).
Because the expert survey relies on human judgment, some responses may reflect coder bias (e.g., Little and Meng, Reference Little and Mengforthcoming). Coders may also draw on cognitive heuristics when responding to questions (e.g., Weidmann Reference Weidmann2023).Footnote 39 To mitigate these concerns, we follow the V-Dem project (Knutsen et al. Reference Knutsen, Marquardt, Seim, Coppedge, Edgell, Medzihorsky, Pemstein, Teorell, Gerring and Lindberg2023, 14–15) by designing very specific items that should be less prone to general bias and using ordinal response scales with specific definitions for each category; different categories are aimed to serve as distinct “benchmarks” to reduce ambiguity. While some bias may nonetheless be present in coder responses, V-Dem’s measurement model adjusts for variations in both expert scale perceptions and reliability when constructing estimates to further address such issues (Pemstein et al. Reference Pemstein, Marquardt, Tzelgov, Wang, Medzihorsky, Krusell, Miri and von Römer2020).
4.3. Measurement Model
We use V-Dem’s Bayesian item response theory measurement model to convert the expert-coded ordinal responses into a country-year format for each of our indicators (Pemstein et al. Reference Pemstein, Marquardt, Tzelgov, Wang, Medzihorsky, Krusell, Miri and von Römer2020). More specifically, these ordinal responses are regarded as subjective ratings of latent (i.e., not directly observable or measurable) concepts of indoctrination, which are mapped to a single continuous variable by the measurement model. When constructing estimates of these variables, the measurement model accounts for cross-coder divergences (i.e., differences across coder responses), disparate coder thresholds (i.e., different interpretations of responses), coder reliability (i.e., systematic or nonsystematic coder mistakes), and coder confidence ratings (i.e., coder confidence in their responses may vary across questions or years). This further reduces potential sources of bias that may be inherent in individual coder responses and strengthens the cross-national comparability of the estimates.Footnote 40
The measurement model then aggregates the indicators to construct our indices of indoctrination. The aggregation method for the indices depends on the number of indicators that comprise each index: indices that have more than two components (e.g., the indoctrination potential and democratic content indices in education) are aggregated using Bayesian factor analysis, while those that have two components are aggregated via averaging.
In sum, the measurement model generates posterior distributions that represent the range of probable values for each country-year estimate of the indicators and indices. The medians of these distributions can be treated as point estimates and will typically be the variable of choice for quantitative analysis. The dataset also provides the lower and upper bounds of the 68% credible interval, which captures the interval in which the measurement model places 68% of the probability mass for each estimate. The interval generally approximates bounds that extend one standard deviation from the median and reflects measurement uncertainty—narrower (wider) credible intervals are associated with greater (lower) certainty about our estimates.Footnote 41 As a general rule of thumb, one can be reasonably confident that the difference between two point estimates is not due to measurement error if their respective 68% credible intervals do not overlap (Pemstein et al. Reference Pemstein, Marquardt, Tzelgov, Wang, Medzihorsky, Krusell, Miri and von Römer2020). In addition, the dataset also presents information about the number of coder responses used to construct each country-year observation for our indicators and indices.Footnote 42 Estimates that draw on one or two coder responses could be less reliable or more susceptible to coding errors. As such, and in general, we suggest using observations that are coded by at least three experts to achieve higher confidence in the results or checking that results remain robust when dropping observations with fewer than three coders.
5. Data Validation
The V-Indoc dataset offers the most expansive measures of indoctrination to date as it covers 160 countries from 1945 to 2021 for a total of 10,923 country-year observations.Footnote 43 In this section, we explore and validate our measures using tests of face, convergent, and construct validity.
5.1. Face Validity
We first investigate the face validity of our measures by demonstrating that they conform to existing expectations about levels of indoctrination around the world (Adcock and Collier Reference Adcock and Collier2001). To this end, we examine the cross-national and cross-temporal variation in our three main indices of indoctrination in education—that is, indoctrination potential, democratic content, and patriotic content. For space reasons, we focus on education in this section. Corresponding plots for the indoctrination potential index in the media are presented in appendix G.Footnote 44
5.1.1. Cross-National Variation
Figure 6 shows cross-country scores for the indoctrination potential index in 2021, which range from 0 (low potential) to 1 (high potential). The patterns are consistent with expectations, as more authoritarian countries—notably North Korea (0.932) and China (0.866)—generally possess a higher potential for indoctrination (see figure 7). Furthermore, figure 8 plots levels of democratic and patriotic indoctrination content in 2021. As expected, consolidated democracies generally possess higher levels of democratic indoctrination content and lower levels of patriotic content than other types of regimes. As seen in figure 9, and unsurprisingly, the indoctrination content in North Korea is the least democratic (0.031) and the most patriotic (0.96). China’s indoctrination content is also less democratic (0.295) and more patriotic (0.824) than that of many countries.
Figure 6 Indoctrination Potential in Education (2021)
Figure 7 Indoctrination Potential in Education (2021): Bottom/Top Cases
Note: The figure plots point estimates along with the lower/upper bounds of the 68% credible intervals. It shows the five highest/lowest scoring countries on the index that are coded by at least three experts on average. The full list of countries can be seen in appendix H.
Figure 8 Indoctrination Content in Education (2021)
Figure 9 Indoctrination Content in Education (2021): Bottom/Top Cases
Note: The figure plots point estimates along with the lower/upper bounds of the 68% credible intervals. It shows the five highest/lowest scoring countries on the index that are coded by at least three experts on average. The full list of countries can be seen in appendix H.
The association between levels of democracy and our indoctrination indices can be observed more systematically in figure 10, which shows the distributions of V-Dem’s liberal democracy index and our three main education indices, along with pairwise correlations and scatterplots. In accordance with the maps, these plots indicate that democratic countries are more likely to score higher on the democratic content index and lower on the indoctrination potential and patriotic content indices.Footnote 45 Figure 11, which shows temporal trends in the indices across democracies and autocracies (as categorized by V-Dem), also corroborates such patterns.Footnote 46 The figure also reveals a noticeable downward and upward trend in the indoctrination potential and democratic content indices from around 1985 to 1990, respectively, which coincides with the rise of competitive authoritarian regimes and the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Figure 10 Democracy and the Indoctrination Indices in 2021
Note: Lines and confidence intervals are produced by LOESS smoothing. Both (1) country-labeled plots for the first column and (2) correlations between these indices and other measures of democracy can be seen in appendix I.
Figure 11 Indoctrination Potential and Content in Education across Regimes
Note: The figure plots point estimates along with the lower/upper bounds of the 68% credible intervals.
Nonetheless, these figures also indicate that variations in indoctrination strategies are not fully captured by levels of democracy/autocracy. For example, Norway is one of the most democratic countries but scores 0.566 on the indoctrination potential index in 2021, which is above the mean index score for that year and higher than the scores of a large subset of autocratic countries. Conversely, Benin ranks 95th out of 160 countries on V-Dem’s liberal democracy index in 2021, but its concurrent score on the democratic content index ranks 22nd, which exceeds the scores of many democratic countries such as Cyprus and Japan.
In addition, if a country possesses high potential for indoctrination but is not committed to instilling a specific ideology, or strives to deliver education content that is strongly autocratic/democratic but is handicapped by low potential for indoctrination, then indoctrination in general may have diminished effects. In other words, indoctrination may only have discernible effects when both indoctrination potential and content (whether autocratic or democratic) are high. In appendix K, we demonstrate one method of constructing a composite indoctrination index in education that captures both indoctrination potential and democratic indoctrination content and presents accompanying descriptive figures for this composite index.
5.1.2. Case Study: Russia
As we mentioned in the previous conceptual discussion (see section 4), some indicators are included in the aggregate indices of indoctrination potential and content pertaining to the official school curriculum. In this section, we use the case of Russia to explore the tension between the de jure and de facto changes using the V-Indoc data.
Figure 12 plots temporal trends across the three education indices for Russia (the top panel), as well as selected indicators included in these aggregate indices (the bottom panel). We focus on the following de facto indicators: (1) whether teachers can be fired for political reasons (part of indoctrination potential), (2) whether students are allowed to discuss what they are taught in history classes (part of democratic content), and (3) to what extent patriotic symbols are celebrated in schools (part of patriotic content). In addition, we combine our indicators with the data on education reforms (in Russia) from the World Education Reform Database (WERD) by Bromley and colleagues (Reference Bromley, Kijima, Overbey, Furuta, Choi and Santos2022). For Russia, the WERD codes the reforms between 1939 and 2011.
Figure 12 Indoctrination Potential and Content in Education (Russia)
Note: The figure plots point estimates along with the lower/upper bounds of the 68% credible intervals. The indices vary between 0 (low values) and 1 (high values). The indicators reflect interval measures converted by the measurement model, and vary between roughly −3 (low values) and 3 (high values). Red vertical lines indicate education reforms from the WERD (Bromley et al. Reference Bromley, Kijima, Overbey, Furuta, Choi and Santos2022). In the case of Russia, education reforms are coded in the WERD for the period between 1939 and 2011. The top panel plots aggregate indices of indoctrination potential and democratic/patriotic content. The bottom panel plots corresponding indicators for each of the aggregate indices: political teacher firing for the index of indoctrination potential; critical discussion inside the classroom for the index of democratic content; patriotism in the curriculum for the index of patriotic content.
After 1945 and until the late 1980s we do not observe significant variation in these indices: indoctrination potential remains high, and the content is both highly authoritarian and patriotic. This corresponds with the aftermath of the “Great Patriotic War” (World War II), which saw Soviet education ideology shift to being more militaristic and patriotic (Zajda Reference Zajda1980, 206–7) to cultivate obedient and loyal citizens (Koesel Reference Koesel, Koesel, Bunce and Weiss2020, 250).
In the late 1980s, with perestroika and glasnost under Gorbachev, we observe a rise in the democratic content index after a series of education reforms were made to promote democratic ideas in the curriculum (Bromley et al. Reference Bromley, Kijima, Overbey, Furuta, Choi and Santos2022). At least de jure, Gorbachev promoted a more critical approach to education in the classroom (a dialogue instead of a monologue): “Whereas teachers were previously expected to teach that the Party was infallible, … as a result of glasnost, they [now could] acknowledge to students that the Party can indeed make mistakes” (Long Reference Long1990, 411, 414).
The first changes in the de facto indicators of political teacher firing (part of indoctrination potential) and critical discussion in the classroom (part of democratic content) precede the de jure changes of the late 1980s. The figure also shows a sharp decline in the indoctrination potential and patriotism indices after the collapse of the Soviet Union; the introduction of the 1992 Law on Education, which in part emphasized freedom and pluralism in education (Bromley et al. Reference Bromley, Kijima, Overbey, Furuta, Choi and Santos2022); and the approval of the first post-Soviet textbooks in history by the Ministry of Education in 1992 (Zajda Reference Zajda2017, 7).
Beginning in the 2000s, these trends started to reverse with Putin’s rise to power. At least as far back as 2003, Putin expressed the hope of further centralizing the education system and strengthening patriotic education. After meeting with history scholars, Putin expressed concerns that diverse narratives in history books should not “become a platform for a new political and ideological struggle” and that textbooks should “inspire, especially among young people, a feeling of pride for their own history and for their country” (Putin Reference Putin2003). Moreover, around the annexation of Crimea in 2014, the Russian government implemented various laws that would penalize “falsifying” history and criticizing Russia’s military glory in a way that is “disrespectful to society.” In 2014, Article 354.1 was added to Russia’s criminal code and used to prosecute the falsification of historical narratives (Levchenko Reference Levchenko2018). Teachers also began to face increased pressure to promote a single patriotic narrative in schools, as the standards for history education were revised in 2014 to promote a unified concept of teaching Russian history (Zajda Reference Zajda2017, 7), and Putin declared patriotism to be the main unifying national ideology in Russia in 2015 (Moscow Times 2016).
Such de jure changes are reflected in our key indices of indoctrination in education. The post-2000 patterns in our indices and indicators (as well as a high frequency of education reforms coded in the WERD during this period) correspond with Putin’s efforts to recentralize the education system and promote a dominant narrative that would resolve the various “contradictions” in the understanding of Russia’s history, and foster a “positive” take on Russia’s history to increase levels of patriotism among the youth. Interestingly, unlike the indicators of political teacher firing and critical discussion in the classroom, the de facto emphasis on patriotic symbols in schools remained high until the late 1980s, and then gradually decreased and stabilized at a lower level from the early 1990s until 2014. During this period, patriotism in the official curriculum—a more de jure component of patriotic content—was the main driver of the observed changes in the aggregate index. Unlike the indicator of patriotic symbols, the emphasis on patriotism in the official curriculum started to increase even prior to 2014. The political pressure on teachers increased (e.g., Kravtsova Reference Kravtsova2018) and critical discussion in the classroom decreased after the 2014 annexation of Crimea.
Overall, de jure changes in education policies should be expected to generally correspond with de facto changes in education, though of course, this may not always be the case (e.g., due to ineffective implementation [Viennet and Pont Reference Viennet and Pont2017]). In addition, not all changes in our indices and indicators are driven by actual reforms. In the case of Russia, for example, changes are driven by conflicts and perceived threats, consistent with the arguments made by Paglayan (Reference Paglayan2022a) and Aghion and colleagues (Reference Aghion, Jaravel, Persson and Rouzet2018).
5.2. Convergent Validity
A measure with convergent validity should share empirical associations with other measures of the same concept (Adcock and Collier Reference Adcock and Collier2001). Given the relative dearth of comprehensive comparative data on indoctrination, we focus on the indicators that factor into our indices of indoctrination. We validate our indicators against comparable variables from multiple sources, such as expert-coded variables from V-Dem, factual data from the World Bank, and published academic works. It should be noted that this exercise is not possible or limited for some indicators as alternative measures may not exist, offer restricted coverage, or only partially overlap with the content of our indicators. We identify potential validation variables for 22 of our 27 indicators.Footnote 47
In table 1, we report the five highest and lowest correlations (for validation variables that are continuous) and correct classification rates (for validation variables that are categorical)Footnote 48 from this exercise. Appendix L reports the full list with more detailed information about the validation variables. On average, the mean magnitude of the correlations/classifications is 0.57,Footnote 49 which can be considered to be quite strong given the content of many validation variables only partially overlap with those of our indicators. For example, the correlation between the education requirements for primary school teachers indicator and the World Bank’s teacher training variable is the weakest, though this is likely because the former distinguishes between different levels of education requirements while the latter simply measures the percentage of teachers who have received the minimum training requirement.Footnote 50 We also note that our media indicators appear to consistently perform very well in these tests despite being coded by education experts.
Table 1 Highest and Lowest Correlations/Classifications
Note: Underlined values represent classification matches conducted with ordinal versions of the V-Indoc variables. See appendix L for the complete list and more information about the validation variables.
5.3. Construct Validity
Construct validation is based on the premise that a valid measure of a concept should behave as theoretically expected when used in evaluations of hypotheses that involve the concept (Adcock and Collier Reference Adcock and Collier2001). To this end, we test whether our index of indoctrination potential in education corroborates Linz’s (Reference Linz2000) argument that military regimes are less likely to engage in indoctrination relative to other types of autocratic regimes. According to Linz (163–69), military authoritarian regimes are characterized by vague “mentalities that are more difficult to diffuse among the masses [and] less susceptible to be used in education,” and the military regime’s lack of ideology limits its ability to engage in “political socialization and indoctrination.”
We first classify autocratic regimes as dominant-party, personalist, military, or monarchy using the Autocratic Regimes dataset (Geddes, Wright, and Frantz Reference Geddes, Wright and Frantz2014). We estimate a country fixed-effects regression model with the indoctrination potential index as the dependent variable and dummy variables for each of the autocratic regime types with military regimes excluded as the reference category. We also include logged GDP per capita as a general control for levels of economic development and state capacity. The analysis covers 103 countries from 1946 to 2010 for a total of 4,018 observations. We also repeat the analysis after constraining our sample to observations for which the mean number of coders for the indoctrination potential index is at least three. This reduces our sample to 72 countries and 2,563 observations. Coefficient plots of the results and corresponding 95% confidence intervals are presented in figure 13, and summaries of the variables and full results are reported in appendix M.
Figure 13 Indoctrination Potential in Education across Autocratic Regime Types
Note: Military regimes are excluded as the reference category in the fixed-effects model. The figure plots coefficient estimates along with the lower/upper bounds of the 95% confidence intervals. The full results are reported in table M-5 in appendix M.
In accordance with Linz’s prediction, the results indicate that both dominant-party and personalist autocratic regimes exhibit higher levels of indoctrination potential than those ruled by the military.Footnote 51 These findings suggest that the centralization of decision-making power in the hands of a single leader (Geddes, Wright, and Frantz Reference Geddes, Wright and Frantz2014; Linz Reference Linz2000, 87–90) in personalist regimes might extend to the centralization of education. For example, Stalin was known to personally edit and approve school textbooks (Brandenberger Reference Brandenberger2012), reflecting his desire to personally control education. On the other hand, and interestingly, the model indicates that the level of indoctrination potential observed in monarchies is far lower than that observed in other types of autocratic regimes, including military regimes.Footnote 52 Moreover, our results remain robust when constraining our sample to observations that rely on at least three coders.
These results corroborate Linz’s argument concerning indoctrination and autocratic regime type, which lends positive evidence regarding the validity of the indoctrination potential index.Footnote 53 Furthermore, the results present some novel insights into how autocratic regimes might differ in their potential capacity to indoctrinate. Without the V-Indoc data, it was unknown that monarchies may be the least likely of all regime types to use indoctrination. This finding could be investigated in more detail in future research.
6. Conclusion
What is indoctrination? Why and when do states invest in it? And what are the political consequences of indoctrination? We require a clear concept and comprehensive comparative measures of indoctrination to systematically answer such questions. Synthesizing insights from the literature on education, socialization, and nation building, among others, we have argued that indoctrination is a regime-driven process of socializing “ideal-type” citizens who espouse the values, principles, and norms of a given regime. Indoctrination is a multidimensional process that involves not only content that corresponds to a regime’s ideology but also the institutional potential of inculcating the entire population with a coherent message through control of the creation of the content and the agents who propagate it. Indoctrination targets people throughout different times of their lives: regimes use education to leverage the powerful long-term effects of early life socialization and the media to continue reinforcement in later life.
Unlike existing datasets that focus on the quality and quantity of education, our indicators are tailored to capture the multidimensional nature of indoctrination. The expert-coded data introduced in the paper allow for broad and consistent temporal and geographic coverage of 160 countries between 1945 and 2021. With the help of topic-specific country experts, we have gathered information on mostly de facto indoctrination that cannot be fully observed through de jure indicators. While expert surveys might suffer from certain biases (Little and Meng, Reference Little and Mengforthcoming; Marquardt and Pemstein Reference Marquardt and Pemstein2018), they are more feasible in terms of coverage. Nevertheless, our dataset is limited temporally as it starts only in 1945, thus missing the initial wave of education expansion in the age of nation and state building, particularly in established democracies. Future data collection can address this gap.
The breadth and depth of our V-Indoc dataset allows the systematic study of comparative questions of how and when regimes invest in indoctrination and the implications of indoctrination on regime survival and political attitudes. Our expert-coded indicators can potentially be compared to similar indicators coded from primary and secondary archival sources (e.g., Del Río, Knutsen, and Lutscher Reference Del Río, Knutsen and Lutscher2023; Guevara, Paglayan, and Pérez Navarro Reference Guevara, Paglayan and Navarro2018). Our education data will allow researchers to explore substantive as well as methodological questions.
We consider that one of the main advantages of our novel V-Indoc dataset is that it allows scholars to test various conceptualizations of indoctrination and measure them empirically. Those who prefer a narrower definition of indoctrination (compared to our broader definition of regime-led socialization) could use the original V-Indoc indicators instead of the constructed indices. For example, following the definition of indoctrination more widely used in the philosophy of education, the indicator for critical thinking can be used as a standalone proxy to represent indoctrination whereby the absence of critical engagement with education content constitutes the presence of indoctrination.
Despite its richness, the V-Indoc data has some limitations. For example, the data focuses on indoctrination in formal public or publicly funded schools and the media only. Future research should further explore how these two central channels relate to other potential indoctrination settings, such as voluntary associations and the workplace.
Acknowledgments
The research for this project is generously funded by a European Research Council Consolidator Grant “Democracy under Threat: How Education Can Save It” (DEMED) (grant number 865305). We thank Aaron Benavot, Patricia Bromley, Adrián Del Río Rodríguez, Barbara Geddes, Scott Gehlbach, Jane Gingrich, Lloyd Gruber, Sergey Guriev, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Karrie Koesel, Staffan Lindberg, Philipp Lutscher, Seraphine Maerz, Kyle Marquardt, Pippa Norris, Agustina Paglayan, Jen Pan, Dan Pemstein, Anatoli Rapoport, Ora John Reuter, Michele Schweisfurth, Brigitte Seim, Daniel Treisman, Antoni Verger, and Matthias vom Hau for feedback on earlier drafts of this paper. Special thanks to Polina Denisova, Isabel Kempner, Anam Kuraishi, Anna Sarasiti, and Yilin Su for their invaluable research assistance in recruiting our education experts.
Supplementary Material
To view supplementary material for this article, please visit http://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592723002967.
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