Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Home

Social democratic representation and welfare spending: a quantitative case study

  • Henning Finseraas (a1)

Abstract

The welfare state literature argues that Social Democratic party representation is of key importance for welfare state outcomes. However, few papers are able to separate the influence of parties from voter preferences, which implies that the partisan effects will be overstated. I study a natural experiment to identify a partisan effect. In 1995, the Labour Party (Ap) in the Norwegian municipality of Flå filed their candidate list too late and could not participate in the local election. Ap was the largest party in Flå in the entire post-World War period, but have not regained this position. I use the synthetic control method to study the effects on welfare spending priorities. I find small and insignificant partisan effects.

Copyright

Corresponding author

Corresponding author. E-mail: henning.finseraas@samfunnsforskning.no

References

Hide All
Abadie, A, Diamond, A and Hainmueller, J (2010) Synthetic control methods for comparative case studies: estimating the effect of california's tobacco control program. Journal of the American Statistical Association 105, 493505.
Abadie, A, Diamond, A and Hainmueller, J (2015) Comparative politics and the synthetic control method. American Journal of Political Science 59, 495510.
Athey, S and Imbens, GW (2017) The state of applied econometrics: causality and policy evaluation. The Journal of Economic Perspectives 31, 332.
Besley, T and Coate, S (1997) An economic model of representative democracy. Quarterly Journal of Economics 112, 85114.
Doudchenko, N and Imbens, G (2016) Balancing, regression, difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods: a synthesis. NBER Working Paper No. 22791.
Dube, A and Zipperer, B (2015) Pooling multiple case studies using synthetic controls: an application to minimum wage policies. IZA DP No. 8944.
Esping-Andersen, G (1990) The Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism. Cambridge: Polity Press.
Ferman, B, Pinto, C and Possebom, V (2017) Cherry picking with synthetic controls. MPRA Paper No. 78213.
Fiva, JH, Halse, A and Natvik, GJ (2015) Local Government Dataset. Department of Economics, University of Oslo.
Fiva, JH, Folke, O and Sørensen, RJ (2018) The power of parties: evidence from close municipal elections in Norway. The Scandinavian Journal of Economics 120, 330.
Folke, O (2014) Shades of brown and green: party effects in proportional election systems. Journal of the European Economic Association 12, 13611395.
Hibbs, D (1977) Political parties and macroeconomic policy. American Political Science Review 71, 14671487.
Hyytinen, A, Meriläinen, J, Saarimaa, T, Toivanen, O and Tukiainen, J (2018) Public employees as politicians: evidence from close elections. American Political Science Review 112, 6881.
Imbens, G and Rubin, D (2015) Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biological Sciences: An Introduction. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Kaul, A, Klößner, S, Pfeifer, G and Schieler, M (2017) Synthetic Control Methods: Never use all pre-intervention outcomes together with covariates. Working Paper.
Korpi, W and Palme, J (2003) New politics and class politics in the context of austerity and globalization: welfare state regress in 18 countries, 1975–95. American Political Science Review 97, 425446.
Lee, DS, Moretti, E and Butler, MJ (2004) Do voters affect or elect policies? Evidence from the US house. Quarterly Journal of Economics 119, 807859.
Munkerud, LC (2007) Undersøkelse av lokalpolitikere 2006/2007. En redegjørelse for undersøkelsens gjennomføring og datakvalitet—samt noen hovedtendenser. BI Handelshøyskolen Discussion Paper 1/2007.
Østerud, Ø and Selle, P (2006) Power and democracy in norway: the transformation of norwegian politics. Scandinavian Political Studies 29, 2546.
Pettersson-Lidbom, P (2008) Do parties matter for economic outcomes? A regression-discontinuity approach. Journal of the European Economic Association 6, 10371056.

Keywords

Type Description Title
PDF
Supplementary materials

Finseraas supplementary material
Online Appendix

 PDF (125 KB)
125 KB

Social democratic representation and welfare spending: a quantitative case study

  • Henning Finseraas (a1)

Metrics

Full text views

Total number of HTML views: 0
Total number of PDF views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

Abstract views

Total abstract views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

* Views captured on Cambridge Core between <date>. This data will be updated every 24 hours.

Usage data cannot currently be displayed