Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-nr4z6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-01T23:27:08.643Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Developing readiness levels for risk assessment in green transition engineering projects

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 May 2024

Andy Mattulat Filipovic*
Affiliation:
Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway Technical University of Denmark, Denmark
Torgeir Welo
Affiliation:
Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway
Josef Oehmen
Affiliation:
Technical University of Denmark, Denmark

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

This paper aims to develop a risk assessment framework that addresses both the complexities of the risk landscape that green transition portfolios face, but is recognizable and easily understandable by stakeholders. For this purpose, we build upon the framework of NASA Technology Readiness Levels (TRLs). This study analyzes six existing readiness levels framework that are held towards uncertainty factors from the Green Transition. The TRL scale are coupled with Risk, Uncertainty, and Ignorance to score the individual level of uncertainty. The paper ends with suggestion for further studies.

Type
Design for Sustainability
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
Copyright
The Author(s), 2024.

References

Eisenhardt, K.M. (1989), “Building Theories from Case Study Research”, The Academy of Management Review, Vol. 14 No. 4, pp. 532550.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Commission, European. (2019), “A European Green Deal | European Commission”, European Commission.Google Scholar
Evans, J.D. and Johnson, R.O. (2013), “Tools for Managing Early-Stage Business Model Innovation”, Research-Technology Management, ARLINGTON: Taylor & Francis, ARLINGTON, Vol. 56 No. 5, pp. 5256.Google Scholar
Filipovic, A.M., Welo, T., Willumsen, P.L. and Oehmen, J. (2023), “UNCERTAINTY MANAGEMENT IN PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT PORTFOLIOS : THE IMPACT OF GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY AGENDAS”, No. July, pp. 2428.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hallstedt, S. and Pigosso, D. (2017), “Sustainability Integration in a Technology Readiness Assessment Framework”, 21st International Conference on Engineering Design, ICED17, Vol. 5, Cambridge University Press, pp. 229238.Google Scholar
Denmark, Innovation Fund. (2019), Societal Readiness Levels ( SRL ) Defined According to Innovation Fund, available at: https://innovationsfonden.dk/sites/default/files/2019-03/societal_readiness_levels_-_srl.pdf.Google Scholar
Innovationsfonden. (2019), TRL : Technology Readiness Level, available at: https://innovationsfonden.dk/sites/default/files/2019-03/technology_readiness_levels_-_trl.pdf.Google Scholar
Jesus, G.T. and Junior, M.F.C. (2022), “Using Systems Architecture Views to Assess Integration Readiness Levels”, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, IEEE, Vol. 69 No. 6, pp. 39023912.Google Scholar
Kobos, P.H., Malczynski, L.A., Walker, L.T.N., Borns, D.J. and Klise, G.T. (2018), “Timing is everything: A technology transition framework for regulatory and market readiness levels”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 137 No. October 2014, pp. 211225.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
KTH Innovation, . (2023), “KTH Innovation Readiness LevelTM”, available at: https://kthinnovationreadinesslevel.com/.Google Scholar
Mankins, J.C. (2009), “Technology readiness assessments: A retrospective”, Acta Astronautica, Elsevier, Vol. 65 No. 9–10, pp. 12161223.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Messerly, P., Murniningtyas, E., Eloundou-Enyegue, P., Foli, E.G., Furman, E., Glassman, A. and Richarson, K. (2019), “Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: The Future is Now – Science for Achieving Sustainable Development”, United Nations, New York, No. November, p. 252.Google Scholar
Oehmen, J. and Kwakkel, J. (2022), “Risk, Uncertainty, and Ignorance in Engineering Systems Design”, Handbook of Engineering Systems Design: With 178 Figures and 54 Tables, Springer International Publishing, pp. 287317.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oehmen, J., Locatelli, G., Wied, M. and Willumsen, P. (2020), “Risk, uncertainty, ignorance and myopia: Their managerial implications for B2B firms”, Industrial Marketing Management, Elsevier, Vol. 88, pp. 330338.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olechowski, A., Eppinger, S.D. and Joglekar, N. (2015), “Technology Readiness Levels at 40: A Study of State-of-the-Art Use, Challenges, and Opportunities”, edited by Kocaoglu, D.F., Anderson, T.R., Daim, T.U., Kozanoglu, D.C., Niwa, K. and Perman, G. PICMET ’15 PORTLAND INTERNATIONAL CENTER FOR MANAGEMENT OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY, MIT, Dept Mech Engn, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Olechowski, A.L., Eppinger, S.D., Joglekar, N. and Tomaschek, K. (2020), “Technology readiness levels: Shortcomings and improvement opportunities”, Systems Engineering, Vol. 23 No. 4, pp. 395408.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ozcan, S., Stornelli, A. and Simms, C. (2023), “A Product Innovation Readiness Level Framework”, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, IEEE, Vol. PP, pp. 118.Google Scholar
De Rose, A., Buna, M., Strazza, C., Olivieri, N., Stevens, T., Peetes, L. and Tawil-Jamault, D. (2017), Technology Readiness Level: Guidance Principles for Renewable Energy Technologies - Final Report, Luxembourg, available at:https://doi.org/10.2777/863818.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rowan, N.J. and Casey, O. (2021), “Empower Eco multiactor HUB : A triple helix ‘ academia-industry- authority ’ approach to creating and sharing potentially disruptive tools for addressing novel and emerging new Green Deal opportunities under a United Nations Sustainable Development Goals ”, Current Opinion in Environmental Science & Health, Elsevier Ltd, Vol. 21, p. 100254.Google Scholar
Sadin, S.R., Povinelli, F.P. and Rosen, R. (1989), “The NASA technology push towards future space mission systems”, Acta Astronautica, Vol. 20, pp. 7377.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sauser, B., Ramirez-Marquez, J.E., Magnaye, R. and Tan, W. (2009), A Systems Approach to Expanding the Technology Readiness Level within Defense Acquisition, available at: www.acquisitionresearch.org.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schryen, G., Wagner, G., Benlian, A. and Paré, G. (2020), “A knowledge development perspective on literature reviews: Validation of a new typology in the IS field”, Communications of the Association for Information Systems, Vol. 46, pp. 134186.Google Scholar
Tan, R.R., Aviso, K.B. and Ng, D.K.S. (2019), “Optimization models for financing innovations in green energy technologies”, Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier Ltd, Vol. 113, p. 109258.Google Scholar
Vik, J., Mahlum, A., Petter, E. and Andre, R. (2021), “Balanced readiness level assessment ( BRLa ): A tool for exploring new and emerging technologies .”, Vol. 169 No. November 2020, available at:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120854.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Webster, J. and Watson, R.T. (2002), “Analyzing the Past to Prepare for the Future: Writing a Literature Review.”, MIS Quarterly, Vol. 26 No. 2, pp. xiiixxiii.Google Scholar
Yin, R.K. (2014), Case Study Research : Design and Methods, Case Study Research and Applications : Design and Methods, 5th ed., SAGE, Los Angeles, Calif.Google Scholar