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    Maier, W. Hauth, I. Berger, M. and Saß, H. 2016. Zwischenmenschliche Gewalt im Kontext affektiver und psychotischer Störungen. Der Nervenarzt, Vol. 87, Issue. 1, p. 53.


    Vojt, Gabriele Thomson, Lindsay D.G. and Marshall, Lisa A. 2013. The predictive validity of the HCR-20 following clinical implementation: does it work in practice?. Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology, Vol. 24, Issue. 3, p. 371.


    Shepherd, Stephane M. and Sullivan, Danny 2016. Covert and Implicit Influences on the Interpretation of Violence Risk Instruments. Psychiatry, Psychology and Law, p. 1.


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Risk assessment and receiver operating characteristic curves

  • G. Szmukler (a1), B. Everitt (a2) and M. Leese (a1)
  • DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S003329171100208X
  • Published online: 03 October 2011
Abstract

Risk assessment is now regarded as a necessary competence in psychiatry. The area under the curve (AUC) statistic of the receiver operating characteristic curve is increasingly offered as the main evidence for accuracy of risk assessment instruments. But, even a highly statistically significant AUC is of limited value in clinical practice.

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Copyright
Corresponding author
*Address for correspondence: G. Szmukler, M.D., Professor of Psychiatry and Society, Health Service and Population Research Department, Institute of Psychiatry, King's College London, De Crespigny Park, London SE5 8AF, UK. (Email: george.szmukler@kcl.ac.uk)
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This list contains references from the content that can be linked to their source. For a full set of references and notes please see the PDF or HTML where available.

DJ Cooke , C Michie (2010). Limitations of diagnostic precision and predictive utility in the individual case: a challenge for forensic practice. Law and Human Behavior 34, 259274.

NS Gray , J Taylor , RJ Snowden (2008). Predicting violent reconvictions using the HCR-20. British Journal of Psychiatry 192, 384387.

GT Harris , ME Rice (2007). Characterizing the value of actuarial violence risk assessments. Criminal Justice and Behavior 34, 16381658.

GT Harris , ME Rice , VL Quinsey (1993). Violent recidivism of mentally disordered offenders: the development of a statistical prediction instrument. Criminal Justice and Behavior 20, 315335.

GT Harris , ME Rice , JA Camilleri (2004). Applying a forensic actuarial assessment (the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide) to nonforensic patients. Journal of Interpersonal Violence 19, 10631074.

J Monahan , HJ Steadman , PC Robbins , P Appelbaum , S Banks , T Grisso , K Heilbrun , EP Mulvey , L Roth , E Silver (2005). An actuarial model of violence risk assessment for persons with mental disorders. Psychiatric Services 56, 810815.

D Mossman (1994). Assessing predictions of violence: being accurate about accuracy. Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 62, 783792.

RJ Snowden , NS Gray , J Taylor , S Fitzgerald (2009). Assessing risk of future violence among forensic psychiatric inpatients with the Classification of Violence Risk (COVR). Psychiatric Services 60, 15221526.


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Psychological Medicine
  • ISSN: 0033-2917
  • EISSN: 1469-8978
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