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Systematic review and meta-analysis of the effectiveness of ECT in reducing suicidal ideation, self-harm, suicide, and mortality

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 October 2025

Hamish Naismith*
Affiliation:
Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK North London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
Jack Wilson
Affiliation:
Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK
Harry Costello
Affiliation:
Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK
Neil M. Davies
Affiliation:
Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK Department of Statistical Sciences, University College London, London, UK Department of Public Health and Nursing, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
Alexandra Pitman
Affiliation:
Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK North London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
Robert Howard
Affiliation:
Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK North London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
*
Corresponding author: Hamish Naismith; Email: h.naismith@ucl.ac.uk
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Abstract

Suicide and self-harm in people with depression are major public health concerns; electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) is a treatment recommended in UK clinical guidelines for severe mood disorders. We aimed to investigate published literature on the effect of ECT on the incidence of suicide, self-harm, and the recorded presence of suicidal thoughts (suicide-related outcomes). We hypothesized that ECT would be associated with a reduced incidence of suicide-related outcomes and all-cause mortality. We reviewed systematically all eligible studies as specified in our protocol (PROSPERO 293393). We included studies that compared ECT against a comparator treatment, and which included suicide-related outcomes or mortality. We searched Medline, EMBASE, and PsycINFO on January 24, 2022, updated to February 12, 2025. We identified 12,313 records and, after deduplication, screened 8,281 records on title and abstract and 212 on full-text, identifying 17 eligible studies. Studies showed significant heterogeneity in methodology, outcomes, time points chosen, and study populations. Three included studies investigated change in the suicidality domain on psychological rating scales: two showed a reduction in the ECT group; the other was underpowered for this outcome. Meta-analysis of suicide outcomes showed significant statistical heterogeneity and did not detect differences in a consistent direction. Meta-analysis of other mortality outcomes showed reductions in the risk of all-cause mortality (log relative risk [logRR]: −0.29; 95% CI: −0.53, −0.05) and non-suicide mortality (logRR: −0.21; 95% CI: −0.35, −0.07). Further high-quality studies are needed, which should seek to minimize biases (particularly confounding by indication) and report a wider range of suicide-related outcomes.

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Review Article
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Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
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© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press

Introduction

Background

Suicide is a major social and public health concern: globally, at least 720,000 people per year die by suicide (World Health Organization, 2025). Self-harm, defined as ‘intentional self-poisoning or injury irrespective of the apparent purpose’ (NICE, 2022b), also causes significant morbidity: an estimated 14.6 million people globally engage in self-harm each year (Knipe et al., Reference Knipe, Padmanathan, Newton-Howes, Chan and Kapur2022). Suicidal ideation is also a concern because it indicates severe distress and is associated with suicide (Hubers et al., Reference Hubers, Moaddine, Peersmann, Stijnen, Van Duijn, Van Der Mast and Giltay2018).

The risks of suicide are increased in patients with psychiatric disorders, especially mood disorders (Harris & Barraclough, Reference Harris and Barraclough1997). Such risks might be reduced through effective treatments, including antidepressant medication and talking therapies (NICE, 2022a), although there is great scope to improve their effectiveness in terms of recovery (Cuijpers, Stringaris, & Wolpert, Reference Cuijpers, Stringaris and Wolpert2020). Electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) is also recommended in UK clinical guidelines for treatment of depression, mania, and catatonia when other treatments have been unsuccessful and the condition is life-threatening (NICE, 2022a, 2003).

The UK ECT Review Group (2003) found in their systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating its effectiveness in treating depression that, although most of the trials were relatively old and lacked long-term follow-up, ECT was significantly more effective than pharmacotherapy in reducing symptoms of depression. However, other authors have noted that new sham-controlled RCTs were unlikely to be ethically justifiable (Kirov et al., Reference Kirov, Jauhar, Sienaert, Kellner and McLoughlin2021). Given its effectiveness, ECT could plausibly reduce the risk of suicide and suicidality (defined as non-suicidal self-harm, suicidal thoughts, and suicide attempts) (McManus et al., Reference McManus, Walby, Barbosa, Appleby, Brugha, Bebbington and Knipe2022). However, direct evidence for this has been considered lacking (UK ECT Review Group, 2003) and this was also confirmed in a systematic review regarding the impact of ECT on all-cause mortality (Greenhalgh et al., Reference Greenhalgh, Knight, Hind, Beverley and Walters2005).

Previous systematic reviews have investigated the effect of ECT on suicide-related outcomes. Chen et al. (Reference Chen, Magnin, Brunelin, Leaune, Fang and Poulet2021) concluded that ECT reduced suicidal ideation, but noted inconsistent findings on suicide. Kucuker et al. (Reference Kucuker, Almorsy, Sonmez, Ligezka, Camsari, Lewis and Croarkin2021) concluded that, while earlier studies did not show a clinical effect of ECT on suicidal ideation and suicide, a majority of more recent studies did; the authors suggested this might be explained by improved study quality or refinements made to ECT techniques over time. Limitations of these previous studies, addressed in our review, include a lack of a preregistered protocol, not meta-analyzing results, and the need to update the reviews with more recent literature.

We were interested in the effect of ECT on the outcomes of suicidal ideation, self-harm, and suicide; we refer to these as suicide-related outcomes for brevity and because the UK definition of self-harm includes suicide attempt. We were also interested in the effect of ECT on non-suicide mortality, as there are also plausible mechanisms by which ECT could reduce this risk. For example, patients who are less depressed might adopt healthier behaviors and have better adherence to treatments for their physical health conditions (Rhee et al., Reference Rhee, Sint, Olfson, Gerhard, Busch and Wilkinson2021).

ECT is commonly offered as 6–12 sessions initially (NICE, 2003), administered 2–3 times per week for 2–4 weeks until maximal sustained clinical improvement is achieved; thereafter, the frequency of sessions is often tapered to minimize the risk of relapse (Espinoza & Kellner, Reference Espinoza and Kellner2022). After the acute course of ECT, antidepressant therapy is typically continued in the form of pharmacotherapy and psychological therapies. Maintenance ECT, which involves more infrequent sessions to prevent relapse, is offered on an outpatient basis to some patients (Espinoza & Kellner, Reference Espinoza and Kellner2022). Bilateral electrode placement is most commonly used, although right-unilateral placement, which causes fewer cognitive side-effects, is sometimes chosen (Kolshus, Jelovac, & McLoughlin, Reference Kolshus, Jelovac and McLoughlin2017). Refinements to the method of ECT administration over time have reduced some side effects, such as amnesia (Sackeim, Reference Sackeim2017). Retrograde amnesia of autobiographical events is often considered the most serious adverse effect (Sackeim, Reference Sackeim2014) and resolves more slowly than anterograde amnesia (Espinoza & Kellner, Reference Espinoza and Kellner2022). Minor side effects, including headache, jaw, and muscle pains, are common (Espinoza & Kellner, Reference Espinoza and Kellner2022).

Aims and hypotheses

We aimed to review the literature to investigate whether ECT is associated with a reduction in the incidence of suicide-related outcomes and of all-cause mortality, and aimed to quantify any such effects.

Methods

Search strategy and eligibility criteria

We preregistered our review on PROSPERO (reference: 293393). We included primary, quantitative studies evaluating ECT versus a control (any specified treatment, including sham ECT, pharmacotherapy, placebo, or treatment as usual). We included studies in which a suicide-related outcome or mortality was a prespecified outcome measured for each participant. We had no restrictions based on age, psychiatric conditions, or physical and/or psychiatric comorbidities. Eligible study designs included, but were not limited to, RCTs, cohort studies, and case–control studies; we excluded case reports, grey literature, editorials, and opinion articles.

All authors agreed on decisions about study eligibility that arose during screening but had been unanticipated at the protocol writing stage. This included that where records were not found via Ovid, a web search was performed; if this was also unsuccessful, the record was excluded. Studies investigating only maintenance ECT were excluded for two reasons: first, maintenance ECT is often of variable duration; second, maintenance ECT generally follows an acute course of ECT treatment, and the latter could change the baseline, pretreatment level of suicidal thoughts and self-harm. We excluded psychological autopsy studies due to the recognized issue of recall bias (Johal, Appleby, & Turnbull, Reference Johal, Appleby and Turnbull2024). We excluded studies with purely naturalistic designs (due to risk of confounding by indication) and where time points were unclear or unspecified.

We searched Ovid Medline, EMBASE, and PsycINFO on January 24, 2022 and updated to February 12, 2025. We searched for ECT and suicide-related outcomes and/or mortality in titles, abstracts, and keywords using both medical subject headings and free text terms, limited to English language records. We also included any additional records referenced in the three previous systematic reviews (Chen et al., Reference Chen, Magnin, Brunelin, Leaune, Fang and Poulet2021; Kucuker et al., Reference Kucuker, Almorsy, Sonmez, Ligezka, Camsari, Lewis and Croarkin2021; Odermatt et al., Reference Odermatt, Sarlon, Schaefer, Ulrich, Ridder, Schneider and Brühl2025) (see eSupplementary Material).

Data extraction and analysis

We used systematic review software to identify potential duplicate records (which were manually checked before removal) and for screening: EPPI-Reviewer version 6 (Thomas et al., Reference Thomas, Graziosi, Brunton, Ghouze, O’Driscoll and Koryakina2024) for the initial search, and Covidence (Veritas Health Innovation, 2024) for the update.

One author (HN) conducted all title and abstract and full-text screening, and a randomly selected 5% were double-screened by another author (JW). There was agreement about eligibility on >80% of articles, and consensus was reached after discussion with other authors (HC, RH, and AP).

Data extraction and risk of bias ratings were completed by one author (HN), with 10% of ratings checked by another author (AP). We used the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool 2 (Sterne et al., Reference Sterne, Savović, Page, Elbers, Blencowe, Boutron and Higgins2019) for RCTs and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (Wells et al., Reference Wells, Shea, O’Connell, Peterson, Welch, Losos and Tugwell2024) for observational studies.

We conducted meta-analyses using the metafor package (Viechtbauer, Reference Viechtbauer2010) in RStudio version 2024.12.1 (R Core Team, 2022). Due to data heterogeneity, we conducted a random-effects meta-analysis to estimate heterogeneity variance. We solely meta-analyzed results from studies that reported numbers of outcomes of interest (and denominators) in both ECT and comparator groups and compared these using logRR. These included results from survival analyses, cohort studies with matched groups, and pseudo-populations from studies using propensity score matching.

Results

We identified 12,308 records from database searches and 5 from the aforementioned three systematic reviews. We removed 4,032 duplicates and screened 8,281 records, of which 8,052 were excluded. We sought 229 reports; 17 were not retrieved. Of the 212 reports assessed for eligibility, we excluded a total of 195 for the following reasons: 127 with an ineligible study type; 3 did not include an ECT intervention; and 65 had no suicidality or mortality measure. This identified 17 final eligible studies (Figure 1).

Figure 1. PRISMA flow diagram (Haddaway, McGuinness, & Pritchard, Reference Haddaway, McGuinness and Pritchard2023).

Change in the suicidality domain of psychological rating scales

Two RCTs and one cohort study reported suicidality as an outcome (see Table 1), which were measured on psychological rating scales (details in eSupplementary Material).

Table 1. Suicidal ideation

Keshtkar, Ghanizadeh, and Firoozabadi (Reference Keshtkar, Ghanizadeh and Firoozabadi2011) conducted an RCT that analyzed patients referred for ECT with refractory depression in Iran. Participants were randomly assigned to either ECT or repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation, but were unblinded. They compared the mean suicidality score pre- and postintervention. They analyzed 73 participants, and found both interventions significantly decreased suicidality, but there was a greater reduction in the ECT group.

Lambourn and Gill (Reference Lambourn and Gill1978) conducted an RCT that included fewer participants (32) and in which ECT was compared to sham ECT. They did not find a significant difference in mean change in the suicidality domain scores between the ECT and sham ECT groups.

Wang et al. (Reference Wang, Ren, Zhang, Zhong, Luo, Huang and Qiu2024) conducted a retrospective cohort study of adolescent inpatients in China with major depression, all of whom had clear suicidal ideation or suicide attempt. They compared patients who received ECT to patients who received antidepressant pharmacotherapy. They used propensity score matching: differences between groups were balanced, except for a longer duration of hospital stay in the ECT group. They found that significantly fewer patients treated with ECT had suicidal ideation at discharge.

Self-harm

Three included studies reported self-harm as an outcome. Jørgensen, Rozing, Kellner, and Osler (Reference Jørgensen, Rozing, Kellner and Osler2020) studied patients with a first hospital contact due to depression or recurrent depression. Their outcome included patients with discharge diagnoses of poisoning and intentional self-harm. They found that patients with mild depression had the highest risk of self-harm (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 2.69, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.65–4.50), followed by moderate, severe, and then severe depression with psychotic features (aHR: 1.40, 95% CI: 0.99–1.99).

Hedna et al. (Reference Hedna, Jonson, Sigström, Levinsson, Nordenskjöld and Waern2024) studied adults aged ≥75 with a diagnosis of moderate or severe depression recorded as the main cause of hospitalization. They compared patients who received ECT to controls who received no ECT during the 6-year study period, matched using exact and propensity score matching. They did not find a significant difference between groups in suicidal behavior (a composite outcome defined as suicide and nonfatal self-harm).

Salagre, Rohde, and Ostergaard (Reference Salagre, Rohde and Ostergaard2021) conducted a mirror-image study that analyzed the incidence of self-harm and suicide attempts pre- and post-ECT in patients with unipolar and bipolar depression, psychotic disorder, and personality disorder. They found statistically significant reductions in the incidence of self-harm/suicide attempts in the 1- and 3-month post-ECT periods across all diagnoses (for patients with depression and psychosis, reductions at later periods were also seen). Comparable mirror-image analyses in several matched control groups found a reduction in some groups, but effect sizes were smaller compared to the ECT analyses.

Suicide and other causes of mortality

Thirteen studies reported mortality, with some reporting multiple outcomes: eight reported all-cause mortality, nine reported suicide mortality, three reported nonsuicide mortality, and one reported a composite outcome of suicide and nonfatal self-harm (see Table 2).

Table 2. Observational studies reporting self-harm and mortality

Babigian and Guttmacher (Reference Babigian and Guttmacher1984) was a cohort study using a US psychiatric hospital register. This compared patients who received ECT to patients with a first hospitalization. Systematic differences were noted between groups: ECT recipients had a longer median length of stay and were significantly more likely to have depression and to be older. As a result, the authors restricted some of their analyses, including those for mortality, to patients with depression. They calculated mortality rates from the registry by dividing the number of deaths in each age group by the number of years at risk. A second analysis was conducted by following patients for 5-year periods (regardless of subsequent outcomes). They found no significant differences in the outcomes of suicide and all-cause mortality, apart from one demographic group: all adults aged ≥75, and women in this age group treated with ECT had lower all-cause mortality than the non-ECT group. They reported similar mortality rates for suicide between the ECT and non-ECT groups, but accidental and circulatory deaths were significantly lower in the ECT group.

Liang, Chung, Tsai, and Chien (Reference Liang, Chung, Tsai and Chien2017) conducted a cohort study using data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). They found ECT was not a statistically significant predictor of in-hospital mortality.

Liang et al. (Reference Liang, Chung, Ho, Tsai and Chien2018), also using the NHIRD, investigated the risk of suicide in inpatients with unipolar or bipolar depression. Their control group was patients who received pharmacotherapy, matched on age, sex, and diagnosis, and, to ensure similar illness severity, those who had had at least three psychiatric hospitalizations. They reported a 19.7% lower risk of suicide in ECT recipients compared to controls: aHR: 0.803, 95% CI: 0.621–0.938. There were significant associations between reduced mortality and unipolar depression (aHR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.597–0.946) but not for bipolar disorder overall. Further analyses stratified by affective state in bipolar disorder showed a significant reduction in suicide mortality for bipolar depression (aHR: 0.805; 95% CI: 0.514–0.987), but no significant associations for mania and mixed affective states.

As described above, Jørgensen et al. (Reference Jørgensen, Rozing, Kellner and Osler2020) studied patients with a first hospital contact due to depression. They found a decreased risk of mortality in the ECT group. In analyses stratified by depression severity, in the group with severe depression with psychotic features, the aHR for all-cause mortality was lower for patients who received ECT compared to those who did not (aHR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.58–0.82). In the group with mild depression, the aHR for patients who received ECT versus those who did not was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.71–1.14). For the outcome of suicide, in patients with mild depression, the risk of suicide was higher in patients who received ECT compared to patients who did not (aHR: 6.99, 95% CI: 3.30–14.43). The risk was also elevated in patients who received ECT in stratified analyses for moderate and severe depression and depression with psychotic features (aHR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.55–2.20).

Rönnqvist, Nilsson, and Nordenskjöld (Reference Rönnqvist, Nilsson and Nordenskjöld2021) conducted a cohort study of patients with any record of inpatient care for moderate-to-severe depression. Their outcome was suicide, the definition of which included deaths following events of undetermined intent. Overall, there was a significantly decreased risk of suicide within 12 months of discharge in patients who received ECT compared to the non-ECT group (HR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.52–0.99). In analyses stratified by severity, only the severe depression group result was significant: the risk of suicide was reduced in the 3 months following admission (aHR: 0.20, 95% CI: 0.08–0.54). ECT was significantly associated with reduced suicide risk in patients aged 45–64 and >65 years but not in patients aged <45 years.

Kaster et al. (Reference Kaster, Blumberger, Gomes, Sutradhar, Wijeysundera and Vigod2022) conducted a cohort study of patients with unipolar or bipolar depression admitted for more than 3 days. Patients who received ECT were compared to patients unexposed to ECT in that calendar year. They used propensity score matching on over 100 covariates. They reported a decreased risk of suicide mortality (HR: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.31–0.92) and all-cause mortality (HR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.58–0.97) but not nonsuicide mortality at 1 year following discharge. In an additional analysis, they analyzed the number of inpatient ECT treatments received (see Supplementary Results).

Munk-Olsen et al. (Reference Munk-Olsen, Laursen, Videbech, Mortensen and Rosenberg2007) conducted a Danish registry cohort study, which included patients with depressive and psychotic disorders. Patients who received ECT had a reduced relative risk of death from natural causes: adjusted relative risk (aRR): 0.82 (95% CI: 0.74–0.90). The risks of death by unnatural causes, including suicide, were not significantly different. They further analyzed the risk of suicide at two time points. First, in the analysis according to days since discharge, they used patients discharged 30 days ago as the reference and found all other groups had an elevated risk (highest in patients discharged within the past 7 days, aRR: 9.49, 95% CI: 6.80–13.24). Second, in the analysis by recency of ECT treatment, the reference group was all patients who received no ECT treatment (regardless of admission status/recency of discharge); risk was elevated in two of the three ECT groups: patients who received ECT within the past 7 days (aRR: 4.82, 95% CI: 2.12–10.95) and over 4 weeks ago (aRR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01–1.52).

Osler, Rozing, Jorgensen, and Jorgensen (Reference Osler, Rozing, Jorgensen and Jorgensen2022) studied mortality in patients with and without comorbidities. They found a lower mortality risk in ECT-treated patients compared to non-ECT-treated patients, regardless of whether they had a comorbidity (aHR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.43–0.71) or not (aHR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.28–0.53). They reported an increased risk of unnatural deaths (including suicide): the risk at 30–365 days following ECT was increased in patients with comorbidities (aHR: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.80–3.62) and those without (aHR: 2.49, 95% CI: 1.84–3.35). They interpreted this as likely due to confounding by indication, because the increased risk effect extended well beyond the acute treatment course (0–5,196 days following ECT).

Two studies had an older adult sample. Rhee et al. (Reference Rhee, Sint, Olfson, Gerhard, Busch and Wilkinson2021) studied US Medicare-insured adults aged ≥65 years. They analyzed suicide and all-cause mortality at different time points following hospitalization. The ECT group had a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality at all time points up to 1 year (1-year aHR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.56–0.66). For suicide, there was a reduced risk at up to 90 days (aHR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.34–0.92), but not thereafter. They also found that patients who received subtherapeutic ECT (defined as <5 treatments within the first 30 days of treatment) had a similar survival trajectory to non-ECT controls. The authors suggested their findings constituted evidence against the hypothesis that lower mortality in ECT recipients could reflect selection bias (i.e. that more medically unwell patients are not selected for ECT).

As described under the self-harm category, Hedna et al. (Reference Hedna, Jonson, Sigström, Levinsson, Nordenskjöld and Waern2024) studied depressed adults aged ≥75. They did not replicate the finding in Rhee et al. of reduced risk of suicide, but they used a composite outcome of suicide and nonfatal self-harm. Their result was not incompatible with a short-term reduction in suicide risk: at ≤3 months, the univariable odds ratio (OR) for suicidal behavior was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.44–1.23). For all-cause mortality, they found a significant reduction in favor of ECT at ≤3 months following hospital discharge: multivariable OR: 0.32 (95% CI: 0.22–0.48). The risk was also reduced from 4 months to 1 year post-discharge: OR: 0.65 (95% CI: 0.50–0.83).

Three studies in this outcome category studied veteran samples. Peltzman, Shiner, and Watts (Reference Peltzman, Shiner and Watts2020) was a case–control study of Veterans’ Health Administration mental health service users. The exposure was defined as receipt of ECT in the index year or the year prior. On the unmatched analysis, there were significant differences between the two groups on demographic characteristics, prevalence of psychiatric diagnoses, and suicide risk (elevated in the ECT group). After propensity score matching, OR of suicide death in the year after ECT was 1.56 (95% CI: 1.11–2.18), but this was no longer significant in the adjusted model (OR: 1.31, 95% CI: 0.94–1.96).

Ahmadi et al. (Reference Ahmadi, Moss, Simon, Nemeroff and Atre-Vaidya2016) conducted a nested case–control study of patients with depression and comorbid post-traumatic stress disorder. They reported an estimated 46% reduction in risk of all-cause mortality (RR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.24–0.86), and a 64% reduction in risk of suicide in patients receiving ECT compared to a matched non-ECT group (RR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.10–0.45).

Watts, Peltzman, and Shiner (Reference Watts, Peltzman and Shiner2021) conducted a cohort study, which included outpatients receiving ECT, and used as a comparator group patients who were discharged following hospitalization (excluding those whose primary reason for admission was a substance misuse disorder). Outcomes were assessed at 30 days and 1 year, indexed from the first treatment date for the ECT group and the discharge date for the inpatient group. The groups were significantly different in terms of demographics, prevalence of diagnoses, and service use before propensity score matching. Compared to the matched group, the ECT group had a lower 1-year risk of nonsuicide mortality (OR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.66–0.95); the result for all-cause mortality was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.79–1.11).

Risk of bias

Most observational studies were of good quality, and many used registry data (Tables 3 and 4). Liang et al. (Reference Liang, Chung, Tsai and Chien2017) scored poorly on comparability: details of adjustment for patient characteristics were unclear, and follow-up was only until hospital discharge. Three studies were of fair quality: one mirror-image study (Salagre et al., Reference Salagre, Rohde and Ostergaard2021) and two case–control studies in which the sample was veterans, which are not representative of the typical population receiving ECT (Ahmadi et al., Reference Ahmadi, Moss, Simon, Nemeroff and Atre-Vaidya2016; Peltzman et al., Reference Peltzman, Shiner and Watts2020).

Table 3. Observational studies were rated using the Newcastle-Ottawa rating scale

Table 4. RCTs rated using RoB2 (McGuinness & Higgins, Reference McGuinness and Higgins2021)

Keshtkar et al. (Reference Keshtkar, Ghanizadeh and Firoozabadi2011) was considered at high risk of bias due to participants being unblinded to the interventions. There were some concerns about bias in Lambourn et al. (Reference Lambourn and Gill1978) in three domains, but the participants were blinded.

Meta-analysis

We could not include each study from Table 1 in our meta-analyses; not every study reported the number of events for all three outcomes (all-cause, suicide, and nonsuicide mortality), and we excluded studies where the denominator was not reported or was unclear (as for Babigian & Guttmacher, Reference Babigian and Guttmacher1984).

Meta-analyses of all-cause mortality (seven studies), nonsuicide mortality (two studies), and suicide (six studies) are presented in Figure 2. We included outcomes at 12 months if these were reported; if not, we used results for the entire study period: 9 years in Ahmadi et al. (Reference Ahmadi, Moss, Simon, Nemeroff and Atre-Vaidya2016), 11.3 years in Jørgensen et al. (Reference Jørgensen, Rozing, Kellner and Osler2020), and 13 years in Liang et al. (Reference Liang, Chung, Ho, Tsai and Chien2018). We also included studies that reported unadjusted results (Jørgensen et al., Reference Jørgensen, Rozing, Kellner and Osler2020) and results from groups that were balanced by propensity score matching (Kaster et al., Reference Kaster, Blumberger, Gomes, Sutradhar, Wijeysundera and Vigod2022; Rönnqvist et al., Reference Rönnqvist, Nilsson and Nordenskjöld2021). It should also be noted that cohort studies and survival analyses deal with censoring differently.

Figure 2. Forest plots of the effect of ECT on all-cause, nonsuicide, and suicide mortality (including leave one out analysis).

The forest plot for suicide showed high statistical heterogeneity (I 2 = 96.39%) and did not show differences in a consistent direction of effect for ECT or comparator treatments across all studies. We conducted a leave-one-out estimate, which showed that heterogeneity would remain high regardless of which study was excluded, and that the result would still neither favor ECT nor comparator treatments.

Meta-analysis of all-cause mortality and nonsuicide mortality was in favor of ECT, with significant heterogeneity in the all-cause mortality results (I 2 = 91.43%).

Discussion

Main findings

We found in our systematic review that of the three included studies that investigated the outcome of suicidal ideation, two showed a significant reduction (Keshtkar et al., Reference Keshtkar, Ghanizadeh and Firoozabadi2011; Wang et al., Reference Wang, Ren, Zhang, Zhong, Luo, Huang and Qiu2024).

Three included studies had self-harm as an outcome and reported conflicting results, which could be due to the differing definitions of self-harm and the clinical populations included.

The high statistical heterogeneity in our meta-analyses likely reflects the fact that, due to our broad inclusion criteria, the observational studies identified for our review employed a variety of study designs, including case–control, nested case–control, and cohort designs, which often utilized registry data. As a result, a range of outcome measures were presented, including RR, HR, and OR.

Our meta-analyses showed ECT was associated with a reduction in all-cause and nonsuicide mortality, despite substantial heterogeneity. This finding could be attributable to selection bias, that is, ECT not being offered to patients in poorer physical health who were more likely to die. However, Rhee et al. (Reference Rhee, Sint, Olfson, Gerhard, Busch and Wilkinson2021) found that patients who were offered ECT, but had a subtherapeutic course, had a similar survival trajectory to the non-ECT group; they suggest the physical health of ECT recipients may improve along with their mental health.

Our meta-analysis for suicide did not show differences in a consistent direction across all studies. There was considerable clinical heterogeneity, and the incidence of suicide varied depending on the time point reported, psychiatric diagnoses studied, and degree of symptom severity. Munk-Olsen et al. (Reference Munk-Olsen, Laursen, Videbech, Mortensen and Rosenberg2007) reported patients who had received ECT within the past 7 days and over 4 weeks ago had an increased risk of suicide compared to patients who received no ECT treatment. This was likely affected by selection bias, and the study was not limited to patients with depression: it also included patients with psychotic illnesses. One study of patients with depression also found an increased risk of suicide, but included outpatients (Jørgensen et al., Reference Jørgensen, Rozing, Kellner and Osler2020). The study also reported that the HR for suicide was lower in those with psychotic depression compared to mild depression, suggesting the results for severe depression were less affected by residual confounding. Three published studies found ECT was associated with a short-lived protective effect on suicide at 3 months: Rhee et al. (Reference Rhee, Sint, Olfson, Gerhard, Busch and Wilkinson2021), Rönnqvist et al. (Reference Rönnqvist, Nilsson and Nordenskjöld2021), and Kaster et al. (Reference Kaster, Blumberger, Gomes, Sutradhar, Wijeysundera and Vigod2022). The latter two studies used propensity score matching to specifically address confounding by indication, which is a common limitation of the literature on this topic. Of two studies investigating suicide outcomes that were limited to patients with at least moderate depression, one reported a lower risk of suicide in the ECT group (Rönnqvist et al., Reference Rönnqvist, Nilsson and Nordenskjöld2021) and the other reported no increased risk of suicidal behavior (Hedna et al., Reference Hedna, Jonson, Sigström, Levinsson, Nordenskjöld and Waern2024).

It is possible that ECT has no effect on suicide mortality. However, the absence of a consistent difference in suicide mortality across studies may be explained by the clinical heterogeneity described above. Although the results were highly heterogeneous, studies that restricted the study population to patients with a higher severity of depression and accounted for confounding by indication through a wide range of covariates were more likely to show a reduction in suicide mortality. This interpretation would be in keeping with a recent systematic review and meta-analysis investigating the effect of ECT on mortality in individuals diagnosed with depression (Odermatt et al., Reference Odermatt, Sarlon, Schaefer, Ulrich, Ridder, Schneider and Brühl2025). They found a reduction in suicide mortality in this subgroup and, consistent with our findings, a reduction in all-cause mortality in patients treated with ECT.

Clinical and research implications

Clinical guidelines should be revised to be more realistic about whether ECT reduces suicide risk (and instead specifically suicidal ideation/attempt and overall mortality). Any future RCTs should use longer follow-up periods. A more detailed analysis of the impact of ECT would be facilitated by reporting a wider range of suicide-related outcomes (including suicidal ideation, planning, and attempts). Further studies investigating the risk of suicide are needed, which carefully control for confounding by indication and compare less clinically heterogeneous populations. Further investigation of potential dose–response relationships on these outcomes would be an important research question to address in future studies.

Strengths and limitations

Strengths of this study include preregistration of the protocol, use of comprehensive search criteria, independent screening, risk of bias rating by clinicians, and meta-analysis. Limitations included amendments due to unanticipated decisions about eligibility arising during screening and the use of a single rater for much of the study screening, data extraction, and risk of bias assessments, which could have contributed to the risk of error or bias. Restricting our search to English and excluding grey literature may have excluded some relevant literature. For self-harm, we were unable to meta-analyze the results, because there were only three studies, which used different self-harm definitions. We acknowledge the absence of lived experience perspectives, which are important for contextualizing results.

Conclusion

This study found that when prescribed for appropriate indications, ECT is a safe treatment associated with a reduced incidence of mortality, particularly for patients with more severe depression and for older adults. Meta-analysis for suicide did not show a difference in a consistent direction. It is possible that ECT has no effect on suicide mortality. Our included studies that investigated patients with depression of at least moderate severity showed either decreased risk or no increased risk. These findings should be interpreted in the context that the literature on associations between suicidality and ECT is complicated by high heterogeneity in study design, clinical populations studied, follow-up duration, and outcome measures reported.

Supplementary material

The supplementary material for this article can be http://doi.org/10.1017/S0033291725102183.

Funding statement

HN is supported by an Alzheimer’s Society doctoral fellowship. HN, HC, ND, AP, and RH are supported by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) University College London Hospitals (UCLH) NHS Foundation Trust Biomedical Research Centre (BRC).

Competing interests

The authors declare none.

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Figure 0

Figure 1. PRISMA flow diagram (Haddaway, McGuinness, & Pritchard, 2023).

Figure 1

Table 1. Suicidal ideation

Figure 2

Table 2. Observational studies reporting self-harm and mortality

Figure 3

Table 3. Observational studies were rated using the Newcastle-Ottawa rating scale

Figure 4

Table 4. RCTs rated using RoB2 (McGuinness & Higgins, 2021)

Figure 5

Figure 2. Forest plots of the effect of ECT on all-cause, nonsuicide, and suicide mortality (including leave one out analysis).

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