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Theoretical Models of Choice and Strategy Behavior: Stable State Behavior in the Two-Choice Uncertain Outcome Situation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2025

Sidney Siegel
Sidney Siegel*
Affiliation:
The Pennsylvania State University
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Abstract

A theoretical approach to the understanding of human behavior in uncertain outcome situations is suggested, an approach which draws upon utility theory, decision-making theory, and statistical association theory. Experimental evidence supporting this approach as opposed to alternative approaches is summarized. Three different formalizations are presented, and a variety of experimental tests is suggested.

Information

Type
Original Paper
Information
Psychometrika , Volume 24 , Issue 4 , December 1959 , pp. 303 - 316
Copyright
Copyright © 1959 The Psychometric Society

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Footnotes

*

This paper was written while the author was at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, and it has benefited greatly from discussions with many colleagues there. In particular, some of the features of Models I and II emerged from work with Robert P. Abelson, and Model III was developed to its present state partly as a result of consultations with Claude Shannon, and John C. Harsanyi (of the Department of Economics at Stanford University). The treatment of all three models was sharpened during many discussions with Robert M. Solow.

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