National Intelligence Systems: Current Research and Future Prospects

doi:10.1017/CBO9781139174541

A series of investigations, especially in Great Britain and the United States, have focused attention on the performance of national intelligence services. At the same time, terrorism and a broad span of trans-national security challenges has highlighted the crucial role of intelligence. This book takes stock of the underlying intellectual sub-structure of intelligence. For intelligence, as for other areas of policy, serious intellectual inquiry is the basis for improving the performance of real-world institutions. The volume explores intelligence from an intellectual perspective, not an organizational one. Instead the book identifies themes that run through these applications, such as the lack of comprehensive theories, the unclear relations between providers and users of intelligence, and the predominance of bureaucratic organizations driven by collection. A key element is the development, or rather non-development, of intelligence toward an established set of methods and standards and, above all, an ongoing scientific discourse.

'This valuable book, written from five distinct national perspectives, is a landmark contribution. Its original and experienced thinking is essential reading for people concerned about re-inventing democratic intelligence for today’s assymetrical challenges.'

Anthony Campbell - Former Head of Intelligence Analysis in the Canadian Privy Council (Cabinet) Office

'What are intelligence’s special characteristics? What are the intellectual foundations for what it does? Here is a heavyweight attempt to develop answers to these key questions, for all concerned with intelligence everywhere.'

Michael Herman - Founder Director, Oxford Intelligence Group

'An outstanding collection that brings together many of the most talented scholars working on intelligence and security issues today in a wide-ranging survey of the state of the field. The wide range of approaches and the variety of topics covered ensure that this volume will be indispensable for both teaching and research for years to come.'

Peter Jackson - Aberystwyth University, UK

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Contents

Frontmatter
pp i-iv
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Contents
pp v-vi
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Preface
pp vii-viii
- By Gregory F. Treverton, RAND Corporation and Center for Asymmetric Threat Studies, Wilhelm Agrell, Lund University
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1 - Introduction
pp 1-8
- By Gregory F. Treverton, RAND Corporation, Wilhelm Agrell, Lund University
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PART 1 - DEFINING THE FIELD, ITS THEORY, HISTORIOGRAPHY, AND CHANGES AFTER THE COLD WAR
pp 9-10
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2 - Building a Theory of Intelligence Systems
pp 11-37
- By Michael Warner, Office of the Director of National Intelligence
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3 - Reflections on Intelligence Historiography since 1939
pp 38-57
- By Christopher Andrew, Cambridge University
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4 - A Theory of Intelligence and International Politics
pp 58-92
- By Jennifer E. Sims, Georgetown University
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5 - Intelligence Analysis after the Cold War – New Paradigm or Old Anomalies?
pp 93-114
- By Wilhelm Agrell, Lund University
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PART 2 - RESEARCH ON NEW CHALLENGES, METHODS, AND THREATS
pp 115-116
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6 - On Counterterrorism and Intelligence
pp 117-146
- By Neal A. Pollard, U.S. National Counterterrorism Center, Georgetown University
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7 - Technical Collection in the Post–September 11 World
pp 147-176
- By Jeffrey T. Richelson, National Security Archive
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PART 3 - INTELLIGENCE, POLITICS, AND OVERSIGHT
pp 177-178
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8 - The Intelligence–Policy Maker Relationship and the Politicization of Intelligence
pp 179-209
- By Olav Riste, Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies
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9 - Oversight of Intelligence: A Comparative Approach
pp 210-234
- By Wolfgang Krieger, University of Marburg
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10 - The Limits of Avowal: Secret Intelligence in an Age of Public Scrutiny
pp 235-264
- By Sir David Omand, King's College, London
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11 - The Science of Intelligence: Reflections on a Field That Never Was
pp 265-280
- By Wilhelm Agrell, Lund University, Gregory F. Treverton, RAND Corporation
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Index
pp 281-294
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National Intelligence Systems

Current Research and Future Prospects

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Contents

Frontmatter
pp i-iv

Contents
pp v-vi

Preface
pp vii-viii

1 - Introduction
pp 1-8

PART 1 - DEFINING THE FIELD, ITS THEORY, HISTORIOGRAPHY, AND CHANGES AFTER THE COLD WAR
pp 9-10

2 - Building a Theory of Intelligence Systems
pp 11-37

3 - Reflections on Intelligence Historiography since 1939
pp 38-57

4 - A Theory of Intelligence and International Politics
pp 58-92

5 - Intelligence Analysis after the Cold War – New Paradigm or Old Anomalies?
pp 93-114

PART 2 - RESEARCH ON NEW CHALLENGES, METHODS, AND THREATS
pp 115-116

6 - On Counterterrorism and Intelligence
pp 117-146

7 - Technical Collection in the Post–September 11 World
pp 147-176

PART 3 - INTELLIGENCE, POLITICS, AND OVERSIGHT
pp 177-178

8 - The Intelligence–Policy Maker Relationship and the Politicization of Intelligence
pp 179-209

9 - Oversight of Intelligence: A Comparative Approach
pp 210-234

10 - The Limits of Avowal: Secret Intelligence in an Age of Public Scrutiny
pp 235-264

11 - The Science of Intelligence: Reflections on a Field That Never Was
pp 265-280

Index
pp 281-294

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National Intelligence Systems

Current Research and Future Prospects

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